Pocket Option - LIG Stock: Renewable Energy Investment Opportunity 2025
The Vietnamese stock market in 2025 opens up many attractive opportunities, and LIG stock of LICOGI 13 is emerging as a notable choice thanks to its strategy of transitioning to renewable energy. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the prospects, risks, and investment strategies for LIG stock, giving Vietnamese investors a comprehensive view and helping them make informed decisions in the current economic context.
Overview of LIG Stock: Comprehensive Analysis and Current Position on HOSE
LIG stock - the stock code of LICOGI 13 Joint Stock Company - is attracting special attention from investors with a market capitalization of 780 billion VND (as of March 2025). LICOGI 13, established in 1960 and equitized in 2004, is not only a company with 64 years of experience in the construction sector but also one of the pioneering units in transitioning to renewable energy business models in Vietnam.
Ranked 8th in the top 10 listed construction companies with the highest revenue growth in 2024, LIG stock has positioned itself as a noteworthy investment choice for investors seeking opportunities in infrastructure and energy sectors. Price fluctuations in the first 6 months of 2025 with a range of +/-18% reflect the liquidity and growing interest from the market.
With Vietnam's GDP expected to grow by 6.8% in 2025 and a large public investment program reaching 667 trillion VND, construction and infrastructure companies like LICOGI 13 are facing unprecedented development opportunities. In particular, the "Power Development Plan VIII" policy with a target of achieving 50% renewable energy by 2045 creates ideal conditions for the company's green transition strategy.
| Basic Information | LIG Stock Details (Updated 03/2025) |
|---|---|
| Company name | LICOGI 13 Joint Stock Company |
| Stock code | LIG |
| Listed exchange | HOSE (Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange) |
| Main business sectors | Construction projects (65%), Energy (25%), Real estate (10%) |
| Charter capital | 525 billion VND |
| Market capitalization | 780 billion VND |
| P/E (TTM) | 9.85 |
In-depth Financial Analysis: Understanding LICOGI 13 Stock Potential
The financial results of LICOGI 13 stock over the past 3 years show a stable growth trend with improved profit margins - a positive sign for long-term investors. In particular, ROE increased from 11.2% to 12.5%, reflecting increasingly better capital utilization efficiency by management, exceeding the construction industry average (10.8%) in Vietnam.
Business Performance: Trend Analysis and Industry Comparison
Q4/2024 revenue reached 582 billion VND (an increase of 18.3% year-on-year), of which the renewable energy segment contributed 147 billion VND - up 42% compared to Q4/2023. This demonstrates the effectiveness of LICOGI 13's diversification strategy into green energy, helping the company reduce dependence on the cyclical nature of the traditional construction industry.
| Financial Indicators | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | Growth 2023 vs 2021 | Compared to Industry Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (billion VND) | 2,153.6 | 1,982.7 | 1,749.3 | +23.1% | +2.5% |
| Net Profit (billion VND) | 94.7 | 84.9 | 75.8 | +24.9% | +3.2% |
| Net Profit Margin (%) | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| EPS (VND) | 1,853 | 1,648 | 1,479 | +25.3% | +1.7% |
| ROE (%) | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | +1.3% | +1.7% |
Compared with 5 direct competitors in the construction and energy industry, LICOGI 13 demonstrates a return on equity (ROE) 1.7% higher than the industry average. However, the net profit margin is 0.9% lower and needs to be improved in the coming quarters through increasing the proportion of energy projects with higher profit margins.
Debt and Asset Structure: Financial Sustainability Analysis
LICOGI 13's debt structure has improved significantly, with the debt-to-total-assets ratio decreasing from 68.2% to 66.3% over 3 years. This is the result of a financial restructuring strategy that the company has implemented since 2021, helping to reduce interest expenses by 12.3% in 2023 compared to 2022.
| Indicator | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets (billion VND) | 2,852.3 | 2,647.6 | 2,445.9 | ↑ Increase 8.3% CAGR |
| Total Liabilities (billion VND) | 1,891.5 | 1,779.3 | 1,668.4 | ↑ Increase 6.5% CAGR |
| Equity (billion VND) | 960.8 | 868.3 | 777.5 | ↑ Increase 11.1% CAGR |
| Debt-to-Assets Ratio | 66.3% | 67.2% | 68.2% | ↓ Decrease 1.9% |
| Interest Expenses (billion VND) | 85.4 | 97.3 | 101.2 | ↓ Decrease 15.6% |
Notably, the equity growth rate (11.1% CAGR) exceeding the debt growth rate (6.5% CAGR) shows that LICOGI 13 is strengthening its financial position through retained earnings and share issuance. With a current ratio of 1.45 (higher than the safe level of 1.2), the company has sufficient ability to meet its short-term debt obligations.
Detailed Technical Analysis: Effective LIG Stock Trading Models
The technical chart of lig stock over the past 12 months reveals clear trading patterns that investors can leverage. Notably, the "Cup & Handle" pattern formed from October 2024 to January 2025 created a good buying point at 12,500 VND and yielded a 21.6% profit after 6 weeks.
The Pocket Option platform provides advanced technical analysis tools with a filter of 20 indicators specific to the Vietnamese market. When applying Bollinger Bands (20,2) combined with MACD (12,26,9), investors were able to identify 7/9 precise entry points for LIG stock in Q1/2025, yielding a success rate of 78% - much higher than the market average of 62%.
| Price Range (VND) | Role | Price Zone Strength | Average Trading Volume | Recommended Trading Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11,800 - 12,500 | Strong Support | Tested 4 times since 09/2024 | 1.2 million shares/session | Accumulate when price touches this zone + RSI < 30 |
| 14,200 - 14,800 | Medium Resistance | 3 reversals occurred | 850 thousand shares/session | Take partial profits + set trailing stop |
| 16,800 - 17,500 | Strong Resistance | Historical peak, 2 failures | 1.5 million shares/session | Take all profits, wait for breakout confirmation |
Current technical indicators (March 2025) show:
- RSI (14): 47.8 - neutral state, neither overbought nor oversold
- MACD: -0.12, Signal line: -0.18 - about to create a Golden Cross signal
- Bollinger Bands: Price is approaching the middle band after recovering from the lower band
- 10-day average trading volume: 925,000 shares - up 18% from the previous month
- MA50 (13,580) is converging with MA200 (13,750) - may create a Golden Cross in the next 2-3 weeks
The Fibonacci Retracement tool on Pocket Option identifies important Fibonacci support levels at 12,850 (0.618 level) and 13,450 (0.5 level) - ideal buying points if the stock corrects in the short term. Additionally, this platform provides automatic alerts when LIG stock breaks through important resistance or support levels.
Key Projects 2025-2026: The Real Growth Drivers of LICOGI 13
LICOGI 13's project portfolio is the key factor determining the prospects of lig stock in the next 24 months. The company is currently implementing 7 major projects with a total contract value of 11,650 billion VND, expected to contribute 4,820 billion VND in revenue during 2025-2026.
Renewable Energy Projects: Source of Long-term Stable Revenue
With the goal of increasing the revenue proportion from the energy segment to 40% by 2027, LICOGI 13 is focusing on developing 3 large-scale renewable energy projects. This is a sector that directly benefits from the "Power Development Plan VIII" with tax incentives and attractive FIT (Feed-in Tariff) pricing mechanisms.
| Project | Energy Type | Capacity (MW) | Completion Progress | Contract Value (billion VND) | Expected Revenue 2025-2026 (billion VND) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quang Tri Wind Power (Phase 1) | Wind Power | 50 | 65% - Completion Q3/2025 | 2,350 | 850 (2025) + 320 (2026) |
| Ninh Thuan Solar Power Expansion | Solar Power | 75 | 78% - Completion Q4/2024 | 1,780 | 320 (2025) + 280 (2026) |
| Soc Trang Nearshore Wind Power Project | Nearshore Wind Power | 100 | 32% - Completion Q2/2026 | 4,850 | 650 (2025) + 1,250 (2026) |
In particular, the Soc Trang nearshore wind power project is expected to generate a gross profit margin of 18.5% - 4.2% higher than traditional construction projects. This project will be commercially operational from Q3/2026 and provide a stable cash flow of 450-500 billion VND/year for 20 years, according to the PPA contract signed with EVN.
Experts from Pocket Option assess that the renewable energy project portfolio will be the main growth driver for LICOGI 13 during 2025-2030, as the profit margin from this segment is 40% higher than the traditional infrastructure construction segment.
Detailed SWOT Analysis: Comprehensive Assessment of LIG Stock Potential
A detailed assessment of the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and challenges of LIG stock helps Vietnamese investors gain a comprehensive view before making decisions. LICOGI 13 is at a strategic transformation stage, moving toward a more sustainable business model with a higher proportion from renewable energy.
| Strengths | Weaknesses |
|---|---|
| 64 years of construction experience with strong reputationSigned portfolio of 15 projects worth 11,650 billion VND until 2027Pioneer in transitioning to renewable energy since 2019Strategic partner of 3 leading corporations in the energy sectorSenior management has an average of 22 years of industry experience | Debt ratio of 66.3% - 8.5% higher than industry averageNet profit margin of 4.4% - lower than top competitors (5.3%)50% of revenue still depends on public investment projectsAverage liquidity only reaches 65% compared to peer stocksLow cash dividend rate (5%) relative to growth potential |
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| Opportunities | Threats |
|---|---|
| Public investment for 2024-2030 reaches 667 trillion VND (+42% compared to 2017-2023)New FIT pricing mechanism for renewable energy expected to apply from Q3/2025FDI into Vietnam reached 28 billion USD (2024), up 8.2% YoY, creating infrastructure demand22 large-scale PPP projects approved with total capital of 125 trillion VNDOpportunity to penetrate Cambodia and Laos markets with 3 projects with signed MOUs | Competition from 42 listed construction companies and 5 large private groupsSteel price up 23.5% YTD, cement up 12.8% YTD creating cost pressureChanges in wind power incentive policies effective from 01/2024Public investment disbursement rate in Q1/2025 only reached 12.7% of annual planInterest rates expected to increase 0.5-0.75% in 2025 affecting capital costs |
In-depth analysis shows that LICOGI 13 is in a favorable position to take advantage of the public investment wave and green energy transition in Vietnam. However, pressure from rising material costs and intense competition are challenges that need to be effectively managed in the short term.
Detailed Investment Strategy: Optimizing Profits with LIG Stock in 2025
Based on comprehensive analysis, we have developed detailed investment strategies for LIG stock suitable for 3 main investor groups in the Vietnamese market. The technical analysis and portfolio management tools from Pocket Option will effectively support the implementation of these strategies.
Strategy for Long-term Investors: Phased Accumulation
Long-term investors aiming to hold licogi 13 stock for 3-5 years should apply a systematic accumulation strategy, focusing particularly on important price points:
- Allocate 30% of investment capital in the 12,500-13,000 VND price range (strong support zone)
- Add 30% when the stock successfully tests the MA200 line at around 13,750 VND
- Allocate 20% when the company announces Q2/2025 business results (expected July 2025)
- Keep the remaining 20% to take advantage of deep market corrections (>15%)
- Set long-term profit-taking level in the 21,000-23,000 VND range (expected P/E 12-13)
The DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) strategy with a fixed investment of 5-10 million VND/month for 12 consecutive months has proven effective with an average return of 18.7% after 24 months for LIG stock, according to backtest data from Pocket Option.
Strategy for Medium-term Investors: Leveraging Project Cycles
Medium-term investors (6-18 months) should combine analysis of LICOGI 13's project cycles with technical indicators to optimize entry and exit points:
- Buy when the stock creates a "Double Bottom" or "Inverse Head & Shoulders" pattern
- Focus on Q2-Q3 periods each year - when the company typically signs major contracts
- Monitor the revenue plan completion rate (>45% after 6 months is a positive signal)
- Apply an 8-10% trailing stop strategy to protect profits in an uptrend
- Use Pocket Option's alert system when there are signs of trend weakening
The "RSI Divergence" pattern combined with sudden increase in trading volume has given accurate buy signals in 5/6 cases analyzed on LIG stock in the past 18 months, with an average return of 15.8% for each trade.
Strategy for Short-term Investors: Optimizing Entry-Exit Points
Short-term trading (1-30 days) with licogi 13 stock requires high discipline and in-depth technical analysis:
- Prioritize trading in the direction of the main trend identified by MA50 and MA200
- Use Stochastic indicator (14,3,3) combined with Bollinger Bands (20,2) to identify entry points
- Establish a minimum risk:reward ratio of 1:2 for each trade
- Apply strict capital management principles: maximum 5% capital for each trade
- Use OBV volume analysis tool to confirm the strength of price momentum
The Fibonacci Extensions tool on Pocket Option helps precisely identify the target price of 14,850 VND (1.618 level) when LIG stock breaks out of the 12,800-13,200 VND accumulation zone in February 2025, yielding a 12.5% profit in just 18 trading sessions.
Conclusion and Specific Outlook for LIG Stock in 2025-2026
LIG stock is in an important transformation phase, with growth potential based on three main factors: (1) Developing renewable energy project portfolio, (2) New growth cycle of public investment for 2024-2030, and (3) Gradual improvement of core financial indicators.
Key positive factors supporting the upward momentum of LIG stock:
- Revenue from renewable energy expected to reach 820 billion VND in 2025 (+42% YoY)
- Total backlog value of 11,650 billion VND, ensuring stable revenue until 2027
- ROE continuously improved for 3 consecutive years, expected to reach 13.2% by the end of 2025
- Debt-to-assets ratio decreased by 1.9% in 3 years and is expected to continue decreasing
- M&A strategy with 2 small energy companies will be completed in Q2/2025
However, risk factors need to be considered:
- Increasing raw material cost pressure may reduce the profit margin by 0.3-0.5% in 2025
- Intense competition with 5 major competitors in public bidding projects
- Interest rates expected to increase by 0.5-0.75% in 2025 affecting borrowing costs
- Risk of delays in the Soc Trang wind power project due to weather and supply chain factors
- Strong cyclical nature of the construction industry can cause quarterly business results to fluctuate
Pocket Option provides in-depth analysis tools and investment portfolio management systems to help Vietnamese investors monitor and optimize strategies with LIG stock. In particular, the new "Portfolio Optimizer" feature launched in Q1/2025 helps determine the appropriate weight of LIG in a diversified investment portfolio.
At the current valuation (P/E 9.85), LIG stock is trading 12% lower than the industry average. Based on projected profit growth analysis and the strategy of transitioning to renewable energy, a reasonable target price for LIG stock by the end of 2025 is 17,800-19,200 VND (P/E 11-12), equivalent to a potential increase of 25-35% from the current price level.