- Exchange rates: Fluctuations of the Vietnamese dong against major currencies (USD, EUR, JPY) have a direct impact on the profits of export businesses.
- International trade policies: Free trade agreements (FTAs), trade wars, or trade defense measures affect the market access of Vietnamese exports.
- Global economic cycles: Demand in key export markets fluctuates according to economic cycles.
- Monetary policy: Interest rates and monetary policy affect the cost of capital and the ability to expand production of export businesses.
The Vietnamese export industry stock market is entering a strong development stage with many attractive profit potentials. This article provides an overview of investment opportunities, in-depth analysis of leading export companies, and effective investment strategies specifically for Vietnamese investors in the context of many fluctuations in international trade.
Overview of Export Industry Stocks in Vietnam
In the context of a global economy experiencing many fluctuations, export industry stocks in Vietnam emerge as an attractive investment option with sustainable growth potential. Vietnam has proven its position as one of the countries with impressive export growth in the region, achieving an average growth rate of 8-10% annually during the period 2020-2024.
Investors interested in export industry stocks need to understand the main growth drivers of this sector in Vietnam. These factors include competitive labor costs, favorable geographical location, diverse free trade agreements (FTAs), and the ability to quickly adapt to global market trends.
Pocket Option — one of the leading trading platforms — has pointed out that Vietnamese export stocks have good resilience against global economic shocks thanks to the diversification of export markets and the adaptability of Vietnamese enterprises. Particularly, during the 2023-2024 period, when global supply chains faced many challenges, many Vietnamese export stock groups still maintained impressive business results.
| Year | Export turnover (billion USD) | Growth (%) | Average performance of export stocks (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 281.5 | 6.5 | 7.2 |
| 2021 | 336.3 | 19.4 | 21.3 |
| 2022 | 371.8 | 10.6 | 12.7 |
| 2023 | 389.2 | 4.7 | 8.9 |
| 2024 (expected) | 420.5 | 8.0 | 13.5 |
Export Sub-sectors and Investment Potential
When considering export industry stocks, Vietnamese investors need to understand the main sub-sectors and the unique characteristics of each field. Each sub-sector has its own growth drivers and risks, requiring different investment strategies.
Textiles, Apparel and Footwear
Textiles, apparel, and footwear are among Vietnam’s traditional and key export industries. Businesses in this field have succeeded in transitioning from simple processing to ODM (Original Design Manufacturing) and building their own brands, increasing profit margins.
Export stocks in the textile industry such as TCM, VGT, TNG have demonstrated strong recovery capacity after the COVID-19 pandemic. According to Pocket Option’s analysis, Vietnam’s textile industry benefits from the “”China+1″” trend as many international manufacturers seek alternative production locations outside China.
| Stock code | Sector | Main export markets | ROE (%) | P/E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGT | Textiles & Apparel | US, EU, Japan | 15.8 | 9.2 |
| TCM | Textiles & Apparel | US, South Korea | 17.3 | 8.7 |
| TNG | Textiles & Apparel | EU, US | 16.4 | 7.9 |
| BBC | Footwear | US, EU | 14.2 | 8.5 |
Seafood and Agricultural Products
Vietnam is a leading global exporter of seafood and agricultural products, with items such as shrimp, pangasius, rice, coffee, and cashews. Export stocks in this sector typically have high cyclicality, depending on weather factors, diseases, and global commodity price fluctuations.
Stocks such as VHC, MPC, ANV in the seafood industry and stocks like LTG, SJF in the agricultural sector are popular choices in the investment portfolios of many investors interested in export stocks. This is especially true as Vietnam benefits from free trade agreements such as CPTPP, EVFTA, and RCEP.
| Stock code | Main products | Export proportion in revenue (%) | Gross profit margin (%) | Outlook for 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VHC | Pangasius, basa fish | 88 | 15.7 | Positive |
| MPC | Shrimp | 92 | 13.2 | Positive |
| ANV | Pangasius | 85 | 14.8 | Neutral |
| LTG | Rice | 75 | 10.3 | Positive |
| SJF | Coffee, cashews | 82 | 9.7 | Neutral |
Analysis of Export Stocks Based on Economic Cycles
One of the important factors when investing in export stocks is understanding economic cycles and their impact on export businesses. Experts at Pocket Option point out that export stocks typically have a high correlation with the economic conditions of key export markets such as the US, EU, China, and Japan.
During periods of strong global economic growth, export stocks usually deliver superior performance. Conversely, when the global economy faces difficulties, export businesses must deal with declining orders and price competition pressure.
Below is an analysis of the performance of Vietnamese export stocks during different economic periods:
| Economic phase | Average performance of export stocks | Most effective export sub-sector | Suitable investment strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strong growth | +18-25% | Electronics, Technology | Long-term accumulation |
| Stable growth | +10-15% | Textiles, Seafood | Portfolio diversification |
| Slowdown | +5-8% | Agricultural products, Wood | Selective stocks with strong fundamentals |
| Recession | -5 to -15% | Essential food products | Defensive, seeking value stocks |
| Recovery | +15-20% | Textiles, Furniture | Buy when market is still low |
Currently, as the global economy is in a period of uneven recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, investors should pay attention to export stocks with high adaptability and diversified export markets to minimize risks.
Factors Affecting Vietnamese Export Stocks
To successfully invest in export stocks, Vietnamese investors need to monitor and analyze the macro and micro factors affecting the performance of export businesses. Pocket Option recommends investors pay attention to the following factors:
Macroeconomic Factors
Over the years, Vietnam’s export stock group has demonstrated good adaptability to changes in macroeconomic factors. For example, when the USD appreciated significantly in 2022-2023, many Vietnamese export businesses took advantage of this opportunity to increase profits from USD payments.
| Macroeconomic factor | Impact | Sub-sector most affected | Response strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD/VND rate increase | Positive for pure export businesses | Textiles, Seafood, Wood | Increase proportion of pure export stocks |
| Trade war | Two-sided: opportunity for order shift but indirect risks | Electronics, Textiles | Choose businesses with diverse markets |
| Rising raw material prices | Negative, reducing profit margins | Seafood, Plastics | Choose businesses with ability to transfer costs |
| Interest rate increases in export markets | Negative, reducing consumer demand | Furniture, Consumer goods | Reduce proportion of non-essential goods stocks |
Effective Investment Strategies for Export Stocks
Based on historical data analysis and trading experience, Pocket Option offers several effective investment strategies for Vietnamese investors interested in export stocks:
- Cyclical allocation strategy: Adjust investment proportions in different export sub-sectors based on the stage of the global economic cycle.
- Leading company investment strategy: Focus on export businesses with leading positions, large scale, high competitiveness, and good adaptability to market fluctuations.
- Market diversification strategy: Prioritize investment in businesses with diverse export markets to minimize risks from dependence on a single market.
- Value chain investment strategy: Select export businesses that are moving up to higher value-added segments in the global value chain.
Below is an example of a reasonably allocated investment portfolio for investors interested in export stocks in 2025:
| Sub-sector | Proportion (%) | Representative stock codes | Selection rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Textiles & Apparel | 25 | TCM, VGT, GMC | Order shifting trend from China |
| Seafood | 20 | VHC, MPC | Demand recovery in US and EU markets |
| Wood and furniture | 15 | GDT, TTF | Competitive advantages in price and quality |
| Electronics and components | 20 | VNM, PHR | FDI investment trend in high-tech industries |
| Agricultural products | 15 | LTG, SJF | Climate change creating opportunities for Vietnamese agricultural products |
| Cash/Flexible | 5 | – | Reserve for new investment opportunities |
Risk Management When Investing in Export Stocks
Investing in export stocks not only brings attractive profit opportunities but also involves many risks that need to be managed effectively. Pocket Option recommends investors apply the following risk management measures:
- Portfolio diversification: Avoid concentrating too much on a specific export sub-sector or a small number of stocks.
- Monitor macroeconomic indicators: Pay attention to signs of economic recession in key export markets, exchange rate fluctuations, and changes in trade policies.
- Set reasonable stop-loss levels: Determine acceptable loss thresholds for each investment in advance and strictly adhere to them.
- Proper capital allocation: Don’t invest too much in one stock, no matter how promising it may seem.
- Develop investment scenarios: Prepare different response scenarios for unexpected market fluctuations.
One of the specific risks of export stocks is exchange rate risk. Although a stronger USD usually benefits export businesses, large and sudden exchange rate fluctuations can cause difficulties in business planning and contract negotiation. Investors should prioritize businesses with effective exchange rate risk hedging strategies.
| Risk type | Manifestation | Preventive measures |
|---|---|---|
| Exchange rate risk | Strong fluctuations of USD/VND | Choose businesses with exchange rate risk hedging tools |
| Trade risk | Trade barriers, tariffs | Invest in businesses with diverse export markets |
| Competition risk | Competitive pressure from low-cost countries | Choose businesses with sustainable competitive advantages |
| Supply chain risk | Disruption of raw material supply | Prioritize businesses with autonomous raw material sources |
| Liquidity risk | Difficulty buying/selling stocks when needed | Choose stocks with good liquidity |
Future Trends of Vietnamese Export Stocks
Looking to the future, Vietnamese export stocks are facing many new opportunities and challenges. Based on analysis from Pocket Option and industry experts, several important trends can be identified that will shape the development of Vietnamese export businesses in the next 3-5 years:
- Global supply chain shifts: The “”China+1″” and “”nearshoring”” trends will continue to bring opportunities for Vietnamese export businesses as multinational corporations seek alternative production locations.
- Green transition: Requirements for sustainable development, carbon emission reduction, and environmentally friendly production will become mandatory standards for accessing developed markets.
- Digital transformation: Application of technology, automation, and digitalization of production processes will help Vietnamese export businesses improve productivity and maintain competitive advantages.
- Market diversification: Besides traditional markets such as the US, EU, and Japan, Vietnamese export businesses will expand to new markets like the Middle East, Africa, and South America.
Investors should pay attention to export businesses leading in adaptation to these trends. Export stocks capable of meeting ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) requirements, investing in technology, and building their own brands will have superior growth potential in the future.
Conclusion
Export industry stocks continue to be one of the attractive investment choices for Vietnamese investors as the economy increasingly integrates deeply with the global market. With competitive advantages in production costs, geographical location, and an expanding network of free trade agreements, Vietnamese export businesses have great opportunities to develop and expand market share internationally.
However, to successfully invest in export stocks, investors need in-depth knowledge about the characteristics of each sub-sector, a clear understanding of factors affecting export business performance, and application of investment strategies appropriate for each market phase.
Pocket Option provides analytical tools, in-depth reports, and a modern trading platform helping Vietnamese investors access timely market information and make smart investment decisions. With the right knowledge and appropriate strategy, investing in export stocks can bring sustainable profits and help diversify your investment portfolio.
Remember that success in export stock investment comes not only from choosing the right stocks but also from the ability to adapt to market changes and patience in pursuing a long-term investment strategy. Pocket Option is committed to accompanying Vietnamese investors on the journey of smart investment in export stocks — one of the important growth drivers of Vietnam’s economy in the future.
FAQ
What are export sector stocks and why are they of interest in Vietnam?
Export sector stocks are stocks of companies where export activities constitute a large proportion of their revenue. In Vietnam, they are of interest for several reasons: Vietnam's economy has a strong export orientation, free trade agreements provide competitive advantages, and export businesses typically have geographically diverse revenue streams, helping to spread risk in the context of domestic economic fluctuations.
How do you evaluate the potential of an export sector stock?
To evaluate the potential of export stocks, investors should consider: the proportion of export revenue, diversity of export markets, competitiveness of products in international markets, exchange rate risk hedging strategies, negotiation capability and order retention, as well as the ability to meet increasingly stringent international environmental and social standards.
What are the main risks when investing in Vietnamese export sector stocks?
The main risks include: exchange rate fluctuations that can affect profits, trade policy changes in key export markets, intense competition from countries with low production costs such as Bangladesh or Cambodia, supply chain disruptions for raw materials, and increasingly stringent requirements for product standards, environmental and social responsibility.
Which export stock groups currently have the best prospects in Vietnam?
Currently, export stock groups with good prospects in Vietnam include: textiles and garments (benefiting from the trend of order shifting away from China), electronic products and components (thanks to FDI waves in high-tech sectors), furniture and wood products (due to advantages in raw materials and labor costs), and seafood (as demand in major markets like the US and EU is recovering).
What tools does Pocket Option provide to support investment in export sector stocks?
Pocket Option provides many tools to support investment in export stocks such as: advanced technical analysis platform with in-depth indicators, updated market research reports on key export sectors, performance comparison tools between export stocks, exchange rate fluctuation alerts and potential impacts on export businesses, as well as webinars and courses on investment strategies for Vietnamese export stocks.