{"id":326470,"date":"2025-08-01T00:34:17","date_gmt":"2025-08-01T00:34:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/news-events\/data\/trade-crude-oil-2\/"},"modified":"2025-08-01T00:34:17","modified_gmt":"2025-08-01T00:34:17","slug":"trade-crude-oil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/vt\/knowledge-base\/learning\/trade-crude-oil\/","title":{"rendered":"Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4: C\u00e1c Khung \u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ed4n \u0111\u1ecbnh"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"root\"><div id=\"wrap-img-root\"><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":213970,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[47,46,28],"class_list":["post-326470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-learning","tag-beginner","tag-how","tag-investment"],"acf":{"h1":"Pocket Option Giao D\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u Th\u00f4: Khung Ph\u00e2n T\u00edch To\u00e1n H\u1ecdc N\u00e2ng Cao","h1_source":{"label":"H1","type":"text","formatted_value":"Pocket Option Giao D\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u Th\u00f4: Khung Ph\u00e2n T\u00edch To\u00e1n H\u1ecdc N\u00e2ng Cao"},"description":"Giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ee9ng minh t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0o. Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd cho giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.","description_source":{"label":"Description","type":"textarea","formatted_value":"Giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ee9ng minh t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0o. Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd cho giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c."},"intro":"Vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh th\u1ea1o c\u00e1ch giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i s\u1ef1 ph\u1ecfng \u0111o\u00e1n. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0 khung \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 thu l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi - ngay c\u1ea3 trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn.","intro_source":{"label":"Intro","type":"text","formatted_value":"Vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh th\u1ea1o c\u00e1ch giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i s\u1ef1 ph\u1ecfng \u0111o\u00e1n. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0 khung \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 thu l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi - ngay c\u1ea3 trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn."},"body_html":"<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc chi ph\u1ed1i s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 t\u00ednh thanh kho\u1ea3n cao v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y. Kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh li\u00ean quan. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t khung c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4, s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u01b0\u1eddng tu\u00e2n theo c\u00e1c qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c h\u00e0m to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc kh\u00e1c nhau. C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cung-c\u1ea7u, ph\u00ed b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh theo m\u00f9a v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng nh\u01b0 Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Vi ph\u00e2n Ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean trong M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Gi\u00e1 D\u1ea7u<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh vi ph\u00e2n ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean (SDEs) m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a gi\u00e1. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng Brownian H\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc (GBM), \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh<\/th><th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh<\/th><th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng trong Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng Brownian H\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc<\/td><td>dS = \u03bcSdt + \u03c3SdW<\/td><td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n cho s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a gi\u00e1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>H\u1ed3i quy Trung b\u00ecnh (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck)<\/td><td>dS = \u03b7(\u03bc-S)dt + \u03c3dW<\/td><td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a gi\u00e1 tr\u1edf v\u1ec1 trung b\u00ecnh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nh\u1ea3y-Khu\u1ebfch t\u00e1n<\/td><td>dS = \u03bcSdt + \u03c3SdW + SdJ<\/td><td>T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>GARCH<\/td><td>\u03c3\u00b2\u209c = \u03c9 + \u03b1\u2081\u03b5\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081 + \u03b2\u2081\u03c3\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081<\/td><td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a s\u1ef1 c\u1ee5m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft cho c\u00e1ch giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tinh vi h\u01a1n m\u00e0 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c thu\u1ed9c t\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u thay v\u00ec d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n theo h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro \u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cho C\u00e1c Nh\u00e0 Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. S\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi t\u00ednh to\u00e1n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed v\u00e0 d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t. K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Ti\u00eau ch\u00ed Kelly:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro<\/th><th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh<\/th><th>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n V\u00ed d\u1ee5<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Ti\u00eau ch\u00ed Kelly<\/td><td>f* = (bp - q)\/b<\/td><td>V\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 55%, r\u1ee7i ro\/l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 1:1: f* = 0.1 ho\u1eb7c 10% v\u1ed1n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb R\u1ee7i ro (VaR)<\/td><td>VaR = S\u2080\u03c3\u221at \u00d7 z<\/td><td>V\u1edbi v\u1ecb tr\u00ed $10,000, VaR h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y (95%) = $450<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb tr\u00ed<\/td><td>Pos = (V\u1ed1n \u00d7 R\u1ee7i ro%) \u00f7 D\u1eebng L\u1ed7<\/td><td>$50,000 \u00d7 2% \u00f7 $1.50 d\u1eebng = 667 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y khi h\u1ecd giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 v\u00e0 ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho ph\u00e9p th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1ch. \u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0 ng\u1ee5 \u00fd cung c\u1ea5p th\u00f4ng tin quan tr\u1ecdng cho \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn, \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn log l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/th><th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p T\u00ednh to\u00e1n<\/th><th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng Giao d\u1ecbch<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng L\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/td><td>\u03c3 = \u221a[\u03a3(x - \u03bc)\u00b2 \/ n]<\/td><td>X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Ng\u1ee5 \u00fd<\/td><td>\u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c suy ra t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng Black-Scholes<\/td><td>\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ph\u1ea1m vi Th\u1ef1c trung b\u00ecnh (ATR)<\/td><td>ATR = (ATR tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u00d7 13 + TR hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i) \u00f7 14<\/td><td>\u0110\u1eb7t kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch d\u1eebng l\u1ed7<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u0110\u1ed9 r\u1ed9ng D\u1ea3i Bollinger<\/td><td>(D\u1ea3i tr\u00ean - D\u1ea3i d\u01b0\u1edbi) \u00f7 D\u1ea3i gi\u1eefa<\/td><td>X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 co l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. C\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao h\u01a1n y\u00eau c\u1ea7u k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n, d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng mang l\u1ea1i c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn nh\u01b0 straddles ho\u1eb7c strangles m\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea cho Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn tinh vi \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc gi\u1eefa d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n li\u00ean quan. C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y khai th\u00e1c c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u00e1 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00edch h\u1ee3p, h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ed3i quy. Khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, b\u1ea1n th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t \u0111ang \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a h\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/th><th>Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th><th>V\u00ed d\u1ee5 Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Giao d\u1ecbch Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch WTI-Brent<\/td><td>H\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u00e1<\/td><td>Mua WTI, b\u00e1n Brent khi ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 2 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch Crack<\/td><td>M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u00e1 gi\u1eefa d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m tinh ch\u1ebf<\/td><td>Giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch crack 3:2:1 khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ecfi chu\u1ea9n theo m\u00f9a<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Giao d\u1ecbch C\u1eb7p D\u1ea7u-C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu<\/td><td>\u0110\u1ed3ng t\u00edch h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng<\/td><td>Mua d\u00e0i XOM, b\u00e1n ng\u1eafn d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 khi t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Giao d\u1ecbch Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch L\u1ecbch<\/td><td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 contango\/backwardation<\/td><td>Mua th\u00e1ng sau, b\u00e1n th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc trong contango c\u1ef1c \u0111oan<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0y v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. Ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 xem \u0111a bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n Z-Score cho Giao d\u1ecbch Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n Z-score l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ecfi trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u1ee7a n\u00f3:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>B\u01b0\u1edbc<\/th><th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c<\/th><th>V\u00ed d\u1ee5 (Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch WTI-Brent)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1. T\u00ednh chu\u1ed7i ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/td><td>Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch = Gi\u00e1 T\u00e0i s\u1ea3n A - Gi\u00e1 T\u00e0i s\u1ea3n B<\/td><td>WTI ($70) - Brent ($72) = -$2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2. T\u00ednh trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/td><td>\u03bc = \u03a3(Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch) \u00f7 n<\/td><td>\u03bc = -$1.50 (trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3. T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n<\/td><td>\u03c3 = \u221a[\u03a3(Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch - \u03bc)\u00b2 \u00f7 n]<\/td><td>\u03c3 = $0.75<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4. T\u00ednh Z-score<\/td><td>Z = (Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i - \u03bc) \u00f7 \u03c3<\/td><td>Z = (-$2 - (-$1.50)) \u00f7 $0.75 = -0.67<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi Z-score v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 \u00b12), c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n h\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt, kh\u00e1ch quan \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea thay v\u00ec \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt: N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cho Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3\u2014n\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean c\u00e1c kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc bao g\u1ed3m trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng, dao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng, \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o\/ra t\u1ed1i \u01b0u khi h\u1ecd giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ch\u1eadp \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m m\u1ecbn d\u1eef li\u1ec7u gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Dao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt chu\u1ea9n h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n qu\u00e1 mua\/qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Fibonacci retracements s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 v\u00e0ng (1.618) \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 thay \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea1o h\u00e0m b\u1eadc nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u00e0m gi\u00e1<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean quy t\u1eafc \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 thay v\u00ec d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i ch\u1ee7 quan. N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Pocket Option c\u00f3 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/th><th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th><th>T\u1ea1o T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Trung b\u00ecnh \u0110\u1ed9ng L\u0169y th\u1eeba (EMA)<\/td><td>EMA = Gi\u00e1 \u00d7 k + EMAtr\u01b0\u1edbc&nbsp;\u00d7 (1-k)trong \u0111\u00f3 k = 2 \u00f7 (n+1)<\/td><td>Mua khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u00ean EMA, b\u00e1n khi d\u01b0\u1edbi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI)<\/td><td>RSI = 100 - [100 \u00f7 (1 + RS)]trong \u0111\u00f3 RS = L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn Trung b\u00ecnh \u00f7 L\u1ed7 Trung b\u00ecnh<\/td><td>Qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n d\u01b0\u1edbi 30, qu\u00e1 mua tr\u00ean 70<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MACD<\/td><td>MACD = EMA12&nbsp;- EMA26T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u = EMA9&nbsp;c\u1ee7a MACD<\/td><td>Mua khi MACD v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D\u1ea3i Bollinger<\/td><td>Gi\u1eefa = SMA20Tr\u00ean\/D\u01b0\u1edbi = SMA \u00b1 (2 \u00d7 \u03c3)<\/td><td>H\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh khi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m d\u1ea3i<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Giao d\u1ecbch<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 tinh ch\u1ec9nh h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tham s\u1ed1 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u cho c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt m\u00e0 s\u1ebd t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a<\/th><th>C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th><th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0o Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a Tham s\u1ed1<\/td><td>T\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm l\u01b0\u1edbi, thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n di truy\u1ec1n, m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo<\/td><td>T\u00ecm c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi<\/td><td>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1 v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m tra ngo\u00e0i m\u1eabu<\/td><td>X\u00e1c th\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng qua c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>T\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe<\/td><td>T\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a (L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn - T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Kh\u00f4ng r\u1ee7i ro) \u00f7 \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n<\/td><td>C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro trong c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo<\/td><td>Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 v\u1edbi l\u1ea5y m\u1eabu ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean<\/td><td>Ki\u1ec3m tra c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u00f4ng qua s\u1ef1 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng thay v\u00ec c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c ru\u1ed9t. Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c quy tr\u00ecnh t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a n\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi m\u1ea1o hi\u1ec3m v\u1ed1n th\u1ef1c.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Chu\u1ed7i Th\u1eddi gian cho D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o Gi\u00e1 D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tinh vi nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0y m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a c\u00e1c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c th\u1eddi gian trong gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec3u t\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan, t\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan t\u1eebng ph\u1ea7n, t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a kh\u00e1c nhau bao g\u1ed3m ARIMA (Trung b\u00ecnh Di \u0111\u1ed9ng T\u00edch h\u1ee3p T\u1ef1 h\u1ed3i quy), GARCH (T\u1ed5ng qu\u00e1t H\u00f3a T\u1ef1 h\u1ed3i quy C\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n Heteroskedasticity) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ARIMA n\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 tuy\u1ebfn t\u00ednh trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u theo th\u1ee9 t\u1ef1 th\u1eddi gian<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh GARCH \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft s\u1ef1 c\u1ee5m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Vector Autoregression (VAR) k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 m\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u1ea1ng n\u01a1-ron ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c m\u1eabu phi tuy\u1ebfn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch s\u00f3ng ph\u00e2n gi\u1ea3i chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian kh\u00e1c nhau<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Chu\u1ed7i Th\u1eddi gian<\/th><th>\u0110\u1eb7c t\u1ea3 To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th><th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>ARIMA(p,d,q)<\/td><td>(1-\u03c6\u2081B-...-\u03c6\u209aB\u1d56)(1-B)\u1d48y\u209c = (1+\u03b8\u2081B+...+\u03b8qBq)\u03b5\u209c<\/td><td>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>GARCH(1,1)<\/td><td>\u03c3\u00b2\u209c = \u03c9 + \u03b1\u2081\u03b5\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081 + \u03b2\u2081\u03c3\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081<\/td><td>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cho giao d\u1ecbch quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ARIMA theo m\u00f9a<\/td><td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ARIMA v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n theo m\u00f9a<\/td><td>N\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00e0ng n\u0103m trong nhu c\u1ea7u\/gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>M\u1ea1ng n\u01a1-ron<\/td><td>y = f(w\u2080 + \u03a3w\u1d62x\u1d62) v\u1edbi k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t phi tuy\u1ebfn<\/td><td>Nh\u1eadn d\u1ea1ng m\u1eabu ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u gi\u00e1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian tinh vi n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u1eabu bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n. N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n gi\u00e1 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean suy lu\u1eadn th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea thay v\u00ec di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i ch\u1ee7 quan.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n: C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng D\u1ea7u<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u1eabu gi\u00e1, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n trong giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u. C\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 n\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec3u to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng cung-c\u1ea7u, \u0111\u1ed9 co gi\u00e3n t\u1ed3n kho, kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. C\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a b\u1eb1ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch h\u1ed3i quy, ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p kinh t\u1ebf l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 suy lu\u1eadn th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/th><th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng<\/th><th>T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn Gi\u00e1 D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>M\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho<\/td><td>H\u1ed3i quy tuy\u1ebfn t\u00ednh so v\u1edbi thay \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u00e1<\/td><td>X\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng 1 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng = gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 $0.4-0.6 (x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>C\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t<\/td><td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 co gi\u00e3n (% thay \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u00e1 \u00f7 % thay \u0111\u1ed5i cung)<\/td><td>C\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t 1% = t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 1.2-1.5% (ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP<\/td><td>H\u1ed3i quy \u0111a bi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn tr\u1ec5<\/td><td>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 1% = t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u 0.8-1.2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0110\u00f4 la<\/td><td>Ki\u1ec3m tra t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n qu\u1ea3 (Granger)<\/td><td>H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan -0.7 \u0111\u1ebfn -0.8 (m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00edch h\u1ee3p v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kh\u00e1ch quan v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cung-c\u1ea7u thay v\u00ec di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i tin t\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ed3i quy \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed9 co gi\u00e3n t\u1ed3n kho x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u01b0u tr\u1eef<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp gi\u00e1 s\u00e0n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t bi\u00ean<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo m\u00f9a x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c m\u1eabu ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ch\u00e9o h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi kh\u00ed t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean, ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Giao d\u1ecbch Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n cho Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Giao d\u1ecbch thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho \u0111\u1ec9nh cao c\u1ee7a \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. C\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ea3m x\u00fac, mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9, t\u00ednh nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u1eeb t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3\u2014ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n\u2014k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch m\u1ea1ch l\u1ea1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Lo\u1ea1i Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n<\/th><th>Th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th><th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n Theo Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td><td>B\u1ed9 l\u1ecdc Kalman, l\u00e0m m\u1ecbn l\u0169y th\u1eeba, ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9<\/td><td>Th\u00e1p v\u00e0o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed v\u1edbi x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n H\u1ed3i quy Trung b\u00ecnh<\/td><td>Ki\u1ec3m tra th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, z-scores, t\u00ednh to\u00e1n n\u1eeda \u0111\u1eddi<\/td><td>V\u00e0o khi \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 2\u03c3, tho\u00e1t t\u1ea1i trung b\u00ecnh ho\u1eb7c d\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n T\u1ea1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/td><td>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng s\u1ed5 l\u1ec7nh, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td><td>\u0110\u1eb7t gi\u00e1 th\u1ea7u-h\u1ecfi li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u1edbi qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd t\u1ed3n kho<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng H\u1ecdc m\u00e1y<\/td><td>T\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c, m\u00e1y vector h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, m\u1ea1ng n\u01a1-ron<\/td><td>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u00f3 tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 theo thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n, b\u1ea1n \u0111ang t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n tr\u00ean t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p quy\u1ec1n truy c\u1eadp API cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tinh vi n\u00e0y trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea cho d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ee7i ro so v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t T\u1ed1i \u0111a \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u00ednh to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn g\u1ed9p so v\u1edbi t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t g\u1ed9p<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 r\u1ee7i ro-l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 duy nh\u1ea5t<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t<\/th><th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c<\/th><th>Di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i cho Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe<\/td><td>(R\u209a - R\u1da0) \u00f7 \u03c3\u209a<\/td><td>&gt;1.0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 t\u1ed1t, &gt;2.0 xu\u1ea5t s\u1eafc<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sortino<\/td><td>(R\u209a - R\u1da0) \u00f7 \u03c3\u2099<\/td><td>Gi\u1ed1ng Sharpe nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ea1t bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ea3m<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>T\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t T\u1ed1i \u0111a<\/td><td>Max(\u0111\u1ec9nh-\u0111\u00e1y) \u00f7 \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/td><td>C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t 15-30%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Calmar<\/td><td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn H\u00e0ng n\u0103m \u00f7 T\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t T\u1ed1i \u0111a<\/td><td>&gt;0.5 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p ti\u00eau ch\u00ed \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 kh\u00e1ch quan cho c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch li\u00ean t\u1ee5c tinh ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea thay v\u00ec thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y ho\u1eb7c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u1edbi th\u1eafng v\u00e0 thua.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf: T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p C\u00e1c C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc duy nh\u1ea5t m\u00e0 thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p nhi\u1ec1u ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c khung giao d\u1ecbch to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n. S\u1ef1 t\u00edch h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u tr\u00ean c\u00e1c chi\u1ec1u ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kh\u00e1c nhau v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u00edch h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c ma tr\u1eadn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1eeb c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc kh\u00e1c nhau d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>\u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/th><th>Tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/th><th>Tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/th><th>Tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/th><th>Lo\u1ea1i Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c T\u1ed1i \u01b0u<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Cao, Tin t\u1ee9c L\u1edbn<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn, k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed gi\u1ea3m<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 Tin t\u1ee9c L\u1edbn<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>Theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi th\u00e1p<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ph\u1ea1m vi<\/td><td>40%<\/td><td>10%<\/td><td>50%<\/td><td>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc B\u00e1o c\u00e1o\/D\u1eef li\u1ec7u T\u1ed3n kho<\/td><td>10%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch b\u1ed9 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u00edch h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng \u0111a bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng, l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc kh\u00e1c nhau th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch m\u1ea1ch l\u1ea1c.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p: C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi C\u00e1c S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng D\u1ea7u<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 minh h\u1ecda \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y, h\u00e3y xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1ch c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch tinh vi ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp OPEC ho\u1eb7c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1ed3n kho h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee1 v\u1ecb tr\u00ed ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 di chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c sau th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1ch c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n li\u00ean quan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng thay v\u00ec b\u1ecb n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n h\u00f3a b\u1edfi ch\u00fang. Khung \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cung c\u1ea5p c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u00e0 kh\u00e1ch quan trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n khi c\u1ea3m x\u00fac th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00e9m.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn: L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc trong Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 t\u00f9y \u00fd sang ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian, c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n, kh\u00e1ch quan h\u01a1n m\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ch\u00eca kh\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 c\u00e1c kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m tr\u1eebu t\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng nh\u01b0 Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 tin cao h\u01a1n.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng quan tr\u1ecdng. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch n\u1eafm v\u1eefng c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u00f9y \u00fd ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt, c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng thay v\u00ec ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>H\u00e3y nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cung c\u1ea5p khung, giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u1eabn \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng, h\u1ecdc h\u1ecfi li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt. C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e2ng cao quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh\u2014ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng thay th\u1ebf nhu c\u1ea7u hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 t\u01b0 duy chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p s\u1ef1 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1edbi tr\u1ef1c gi\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 trong c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p ng\u00e0y nay.<\/p><\/div>[cta_button text=\"\"]","body_html_source":{"label":"Body HTML","type":"wysiwyg","formatted_value":"<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc chi ph\u1ed1i s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 t\u00ednh thanh kho\u1ea3n cao v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y. Kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh li\u00ean quan. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t khung c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4, s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u01b0\u1eddng tu\u00e2n theo c\u00e1c qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c h\u00e0m to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc kh\u00e1c nhau. C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cung-c\u1ea7u, ph\u00ed b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh theo m\u00f9a v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng nh\u01b0 Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Vi ph\u00e2n Ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean trong M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Gi\u00e1 D\u1ea7u<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh vi ph\u00e2n ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean (SDEs) m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a gi\u00e1. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng Brownian H\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc (GBM), \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh<\/th>\n<th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh<\/th>\n<th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng trong Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng Brownian H\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc<\/td>\n<td>dS = \u03bcSdt + \u03c3SdW<\/td>\n<td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n cho s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a gi\u00e1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>H\u1ed3i quy Trung b\u00ecnh (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck)<\/td>\n<td>dS = \u03b7(\u03bc-S)dt + \u03c3dW<\/td>\n<td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a gi\u00e1 tr\u1edf v\u1ec1 trung b\u00ecnh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Nh\u1ea3y-Khu\u1ebfch t\u00e1n<\/td>\n<td>dS = \u03bcSdt + \u03c3SdW + SdJ<\/td>\n<td>T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GARCH<\/td>\n<td>\u03c3\u00b2\u209c = \u03c9 + \u03b1\u2081\u03b5\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081 + \u03b2\u2081\u03c3\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081<\/td>\n<td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a s\u1ef1 c\u1ee5m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft cho c\u00e1ch giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tinh vi h\u01a1n m\u00e0 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c thu\u1ed9c t\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u thay v\u00ec d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n theo h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro \u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cho C\u00e1c Nh\u00e0 Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. S\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi t\u00ednh to\u00e1n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed v\u00e0 d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t. K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Ti\u00eau ch\u00ed Kelly:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro<\/th>\n<th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh<\/th>\n<th>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n V\u00ed d\u1ee5<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Ti\u00eau ch\u00ed Kelly<\/td>\n<td>f* = (bp &#8211; q)\/b<\/td>\n<td>V\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 55%, r\u1ee7i ro\/l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 1:1: f* = 0.1 ho\u1eb7c 10% v\u1ed1n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb R\u1ee7i ro (VaR)<\/td>\n<td>VaR = S\u2080\u03c3\u221at \u00d7 z<\/td>\n<td>V\u1edbi v\u1ecb tr\u00ed $10,000, VaR h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y (95%) = $450<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb tr\u00ed<\/td>\n<td>Pos = (V\u1ed1n \u00d7 R\u1ee7i ro%) \u00f7 D\u1eebng L\u1ed7<\/td>\n<td>$50,000 \u00d7 2% \u00f7 $1.50 d\u1eebng = 667 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y khi h\u1ecd giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 v\u00e0 ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho ph\u00e9p th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1ch. \u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0 ng\u1ee5 \u00fd cung c\u1ea5p th\u00f4ng tin quan tr\u1ecdng cho \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn, \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn log l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/th>\n<th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p T\u00ednh to\u00e1n<\/th>\n<th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng Giao d\u1ecbch<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng L\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/td>\n<td>\u03c3 = \u221a[\u03a3(x &#8211; \u03bc)\u00b2 \/ n]<\/td>\n<td>X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Ng\u1ee5 \u00fd<\/td>\n<td>\u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c suy ra t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng Black-Scholes<\/td>\n<td>\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ph\u1ea1m vi Th\u1ef1c trung b\u00ecnh (ATR)<\/td>\n<td>ATR = (ATR tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u00d7 13 + TR hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i) \u00f7 14<\/td>\n<td>\u0110\u1eb7t kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch d\u1eebng l\u1ed7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0110\u1ed9 r\u1ed9ng D\u1ea3i Bollinger<\/td>\n<td>(D\u1ea3i tr\u00ean &#8211; D\u1ea3i d\u01b0\u1edbi) \u00f7 D\u1ea3i gi\u1eefa<\/td>\n<td>X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 co l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. C\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao h\u01a1n y\u00eau c\u1ea7u k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n, d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng mang l\u1ea1i c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn nh\u01b0 straddles ho\u1eb7c strangles m\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea cho Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn tinh vi \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc gi\u1eefa d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n li\u00ean quan. C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y khai th\u00e1c c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u00e1 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00edch h\u1ee3p, h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ed3i quy. Khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, b\u1ea1n th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t \u0111ang \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a h\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/th>\n<th>Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th>\n<th>V\u00ed d\u1ee5 Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Giao d\u1ecbch Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch WTI-Brent<\/td>\n<td>H\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u00e1<\/td>\n<td>Mua WTI, b\u00e1n Brent khi ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 2 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch Crack<\/td>\n<td>M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u00e1 gi\u1eefa d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m tinh ch\u1ebf<\/td>\n<td>Giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch crack 3:2:1 khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ecfi chu\u1ea9n theo m\u00f9a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Giao d\u1ecbch C\u1eb7p D\u1ea7u-C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu<\/td>\n<td>\u0110\u1ed3ng t\u00edch h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng<\/td>\n<td>Mua d\u00e0i XOM, b\u00e1n ng\u1eafn d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 khi t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Giao d\u1ecbch Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch L\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 contango\/backwardation<\/td>\n<td>Mua th\u00e1ng sau, b\u00e1n th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc trong contango c\u1ef1c \u0111oan<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0y v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. Ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 xem \u0111a bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n Z-Score cho Giao d\u1ecbch Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n Z-score l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ecfi trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u1ee7a n\u00f3:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>B\u01b0\u1edbc<\/th>\n<th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c<\/th>\n<th>V\u00ed d\u1ee5 (Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch WTI-Brent)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>1. T\u00ednh chu\u1ed7i ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/td>\n<td>Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch = Gi\u00e1 T\u00e0i s\u1ea3n A &#8211; Gi\u00e1 T\u00e0i s\u1ea3n B<\/td>\n<td>WTI ($70) &#8211; Brent ($72) = -$2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2. T\u00ednh trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/td>\n<td>\u03bc = \u03a3(Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch) \u00f7 n<\/td>\n<td>\u03bc = -$1.50 (trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>3. T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n<\/td>\n<td>\u03c3 = \u221a[\u03a3(Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch &#8211; \u03bc)\u00b2 \u00f7 n]<\/td>\n<td>\u03c3 = $0.75<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>4. T\u00ednh Z-score<\/td>\n<td>Z = (Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i &#8211; \u03bc) \u00f7 \u03c3<\/td>\n<td>Z = (-$2 &#8211; (-$1.50)) \u00f7 $0.75 = -0.67<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi Z-score v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 \u00b12), c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n h\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt, kh\u00e1ch quan \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea thay v\u00ec \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt: N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cho Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3\u2014n\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean c\u00e1c kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc bao g\u1ed3m trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng, dao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng, \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o\/ra t\u1ed1i \u01b0u khi h\u1ecd giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ch\u1eadp \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m m\u1ecbn d\u1eef li\u1ec7u gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Dao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt chu\u1ea9n h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n qu\u00e1 mua\/qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Fibonacci retracements s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 v\u00e0ng (1.618) \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 thay \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea1o h\u00e0m b\u1eadc nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u00e0m gi\u00e1<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean quy t\u1eafc \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 thay v\u00ec d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i ch\u1ee7 quan. N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Pocket Option c\u00f3 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/th>\n<th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th>\n<th>T\u1ea1o T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Trung b\u00ecnh \u0110\u1ed9ng L\u0169y th\u1eeba (EMA)<\/td>\n<td>EMA = Gi\u00e1 \u00d7 k + EMAtr\u01b0\u1edbc&nbsp;\u00d7 (1-k)trong \u0111\u00f3 k = 2 \u00f7 (n+1)<\/td>\n<td>Mua khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u00ean EMA, b\u00e1n khi d\u01b0\u1edbi<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI)<\/td>\n<td>RSI = 100 &#8211; [100 \u00f7 (1 + RS)]trong \u0111\u00f3 RS = L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn Trung b\u00ecnh \u00f7 L\u1ed7 Trung b\u00ecnh<\/td>\n<td>Qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n d\u01b0\u1edbi 30, qu\u00e1 mua tr\u00ean 70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MACD<\/td>\n<td>MACD = EMA12&nbsp;&#8211; EMA26T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u = EMA9&nbsp;c\u1ee7a MACD<\/td>\n<td>Mua khi MACD v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>D\u1ea3i Bollinger<\/td>\n<td>Gi\u1eefa = SMA20Tr\u00ean\/D\u01b0\u1edbi = SMA \u00b1 (2 \u00d7 \u03c3)<\/td>\n<td>H\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh khi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m d\u1ea3i<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Giao d\u1ecbch<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 tinh ch\u1ec9nh h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tham s\u1ed1 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u cho c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt m\u00e0 s\u1ebd t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a<\/th>\n<th>C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th>\n<th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0o Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a Tham s\u1ed1<\/td>\n<td>T\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm l\u01b0\u1edbi, thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n di truy\u1ec1n, m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo<\/td>\n<td>T\u00ecm c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi<\/td>\n<td>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1 v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m tra ngo\u00e0i m\u1eabu<\/td>\n<td>X\u00e1c th\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng qua c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe<\/td>\n<td>T\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a (L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn &#8211; T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Kh\u00f4ng r\u1ee7i ro) \u00f7 \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n<\/td>\n<td>C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro trong c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo<\/td>\n<td>Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 v\u1edbi l\u1ea5y m\u1eabu ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean<\/td>\n<td>Ki\u1ec3m tra c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u00f4ng qua s\u1ef1 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng thay v\u00ec c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c ru\u1ed9t. Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c quy tr\u00ecnh t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a n\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi m\u1ea1o hi\u1ec3m v\u1ed1n th\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Chu\u1ed7i Th\u1eddi gian cho D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o Gi\u00e1 D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tinh vi nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0y m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a c\u00e1c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c th\u1eddi gian trong gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec3u t\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan, t\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan t\u1eebng ph\u1ea7n, t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a kh\u00e1c nhau bao g\u1ed3m ARIMA (Trung b\u00ecnh Di \u0111\u1ed9ng T\u00edch h\u1ee3p T\u1ef1 h\u1ed3i quy), GARCH (T\u1ed5ng qu\u00e1t H\u00f3a T\u1ef1 h\u1ed3i quy C\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n Heteroskedasticity) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ARIMA n\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 tuy\u1ebfn t\u00ednh trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u theo th\u1ee9 t\u1ef1 th\u1eddi gian<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh GARCH \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft s\u1ef1 c\u1ee5m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Vector Autoregression (VAR) k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 m\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u1ea1ng n\u01a1-ron ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c m\u1eabu phi tuy\u1ebfn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch s\u00f3ng ph\u00e2n gi\u1ea3i chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian kh\u00e1c nhau<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Chu\u1ed7i Th\u1eddi gian<\/th>\n<th>\u0110\u1eb7c t\u1ea3 To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th>\n<th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>ARIMA(p,d,q)<\/td>\n<td>(1-\u03c6\u2081B-&#8230;-\u03c6\u209aB\u1d56)(1-B)\u1d48y\u209c = (1+\u03b8\u2081B+&#8230;+\u03b8qBq)\u03b5\u209c<\/td>\n<td>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GARCH(1,1)<\/td>\n<td>\u03c3\u00b2\u209c = \u03c9 + \u03b1\u2081\u03b5\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081 + \u03b2\u2081\u03c3\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081<\/td>\n<td>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cho giao d\u1ecbch quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ARIMA theo m\u00f9a<\/td>\n<td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ARIMA v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n theo m\u00f9a<\/td>\n<td>N\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00e0ng n\u0103m trong nhu c\u1ea7u\/gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>M\u1ea1ng n\u01a1-ron<\/td>\n<td>y = f(w\u2080 + \u03a3w\u1d62x\u1d62) v\u1edbi k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t phi tuy\u1ebfn<\/td>\n<td>Nh\u1eadn d\u1ea1ng m\u1eabu ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u gi\u00e1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian tinh vi n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u1eabu bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n. N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n gi\u00e1 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean suy lu\u1eadn th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea thay v\u00ec di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i ch\u1ee7 quan.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n: C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng D\u1ea7u<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u1eabu gi\u00e1, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n trong giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u. C\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 n\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec3u to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng cung-c\u1ea7u, \u0111\u1ed9 co gi\u00e3n t\u1ed3n kho, kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. C\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a b\u1eb1ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch h\u1ed3i quy, ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p kinh t\u1ebf l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 suy lu\u1eadn th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/th>\n<th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng<\/th>\n<th>T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn Gi\u00e1 D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>M\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho<\/td>\n<td>H\u1ed3i quy tuy\u1ebfn t\u00ednh so v\u1edbi thay \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u00e1<\/td>\n<td>X\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng 1 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng = gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 $0.4-0.6 (x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>C\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t<\/td>\n<td>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 co gi\u00e3n (% thay \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u00e1 \u00f7 % thay \u0111\u1ed5i cung)<\/td>\n<td>C\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t 1% = t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 1.2-1.5% (ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP<\/td>\n<td>H\u1ed3i quy \u0111a bi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn tr\u1ec5<\/td>\n<td>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 1% = t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u 0.8-1.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0110\u00f4 la<\/td>\n<td>Ki\u1ec3m tra t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n qu\u1ea3 (Granger)<\/td>\n<td>H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan -0.7 \u0111\u1ebfn -0.8 (m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00edch h\u1ee3p v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kh\u00e1ch quan v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cung-c\u1ea7u thay v\u00ec di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i tin t\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ed3i quy \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed9 co gi\u00e3n t\u1ed3n kho x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u01b0u tr\u1eef<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp gi\u00e1 s\u00e0n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t bi\u00ean<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo m\u00f9a x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c m\u1eabu ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ch\u00e9o h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi kh\u00ed t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean, ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Giao d\u1ecbch Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n cho Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Giao d\u1ecbch thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho \u0111\u1ec9nh cao c\u1ee7a \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. C\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ea3m x\u00fac, mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9, t\u00ednh nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u1eeb t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3\u2014ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n\u2014k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch m\u1ea1ch l\u1ea1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Lo\u1ea1i Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n<\/th>\n<th>Th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/th>\n<th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n Theo Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td>\n<td>B\u1ed9 l\u1ecdc Kalman, l\u00e0m m\u1ecbn l\u0169y th\u1eeba, ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9<\/td>\n<td>Th\u00e1p v\u00e0o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed v\u1edbi x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n H\u1ed3i quy Trung b\u00ecnh<\/td>\n<td>Ki\u1ec3m tra th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, z-scores, t\u00ednh to\u00e1n n\u1eeda \u0111\u1eddi<\/td>\n<td>V\u00e0o khi \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 2\u03c3, tho\u00e1t t\u1ea1i trung b\u00ecnh ho\u1eb7c d\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n T\u1ea1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/td>\n<td>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng s\u1ed5 l\u1ec7nh, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td>\n<td>\u0110\u1eb7t gi\u00e1 th\u1ea7u-h\u1ecfi li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u1edbi qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd t\u1ed3n kho<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng H\u1ecdc m\u00e1y<\/td>\n<td>T\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c, m\u00e1y vector h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, m\u1ea1ng n\u01a1-ron<\/td>\n<td>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u00f3 tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi b\u1ea1n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 theo thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n, b\u1ea1n \u0111ang t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n tr\u00ean t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p quy\u1ec1n truy c\u1eadp API cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tinh vi n\u00e0y trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea cho d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ee7i ro so v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t T\u1ed1i \u0111a \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u00ednh to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn g\u1ed9p so v\u1edbi t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t g\u1ed9p<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 r\u1ee7i ro-l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 duy nh\u1ea5t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t<\/th>\n<th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c<\/th>\n<th>Di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i cho Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe<\/td>\n<td>(R\u209a &#8211; R\u1da0) \u00f7 \u03c3\u209a<\/td>\n<td>&gt;1.0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 t\u1ed1t, &gt;2.0 xu\u1ea5t s\u1eafc<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sortino<\/td>\n<td>(R\u209a &#8211; R\u1da0) \u00f7 \u03c3\u2099<\/td>\n<td>Gi\u1ed1ng Sharpe nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ea1t bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ea3m<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t T\u1ed1i \u0111a<\/td>\n<td>Max(\u0111\u1ec9nh-\u0111\u00e1y) \u00f7 \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/td>\n<td>C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t 15-30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Calmar<\/td>\n<td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn H\u00e0ng n\u0103m \u00f7 T\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t T\u1ed1i \u0111a<\/td>\n<td>&gt;0.5 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p ti\u00eau ch\u00ed \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 kh\u00e1ch quan cho c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch li\u00ean t\u1ee5c tinh ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea thay v\u00ec thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y ho\u1eb7c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u1edbi th\u1eafng v\u00e0 thua.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf: T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p C\u00e1c C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc duy nh\u1ea5t m\u00e0 thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p nhi\u1ec1u ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c khung giao d\u1ecbch to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n. S\u1ef1 t\u00edch h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u tr\u00ean c\u00e1c chi\u1ec1u ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kh\u00e1c nhau v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u00edch h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c ma tr\u1eadn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1eeb c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc kh\u00e1c nhau d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/th>\n<th>Tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/th>\n<th>Tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/th>\n<th>Tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/th>\n<th>Lo\u1ea1i Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c T\u1ed1i \u01b0u<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Cao, Tin t\u1ee9c L\u1edbn<\/td>\n<td>20%<\/td>\n<td>60%<\/td>\n<td>20%<\/td>\n<td>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn, k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed gi\u1ea3m<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 Tin t\u1ee9c L\u1edbn<\/td>\n<td>60%<\/td>\n<td>20%<\/td>\n<td>20%<\/td>\n<td>Theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi th\u00e1p<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ph\u1ea1m vi<\/td>\n<td>40%<\/td>\n<td>10%<\/td>\n<td>50%<\/td>\n<td>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc B\u00e1o c\u00e1o\/D\u1eef li\u1ec7u T\u1ed3n kho<\/td>\n<td>10%<\/td>\n<td>30%<\/td>\n<td>60%<\/td>\n<td>Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch b\u1ed9 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u00edch h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng \u0111a bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng, l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc kh\u00e1c nhau th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch m\u1ea1ch l\u1ea1c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p: C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi C\u00e1c S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng D\u1ea7u<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>\u0110\u1ec3 minh h\u1ecda \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y, h\u00e3y xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1ch c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch tinh vi ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp OPEC ho\u1eb7c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1ed3n kho h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee1 v\u1ecb tr\u00ed ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 di chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c sau th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ed3i quy trung b\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1ch c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n li\u00ean quan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng thay v\u00ec b\u1ecb n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n h\u00f3a b\u1edfi ch\u00fang. Khung \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cung c\u1ea5p c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u00e0 kh\u00e1ch quan trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n khi c\u1ea3m x\u00fac th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00e9m.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn: L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc trong Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 t\u00f9y \u00fd sang ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian, c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n, kh\u00e1ch quan h\u01a1n m\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ch\u00eca kh\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 c\u00e1c kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m tr\u1eebu t\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng nh\u01b0 Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 tin cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Khi c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng quan tr\u1ecdng. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch n\u1eafm v\u1eefng c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u00f9y \u00fd ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt, c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng thay v\u00ec ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>H\u00e3y nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cung c\u1ea5p khung, giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u1eabn \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng, h\u1ecdc h\u1ecfi li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt. C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e2ng cao quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh\u2014ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng thay th\u1ebf nhu c\u1ea7u hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 t\u01b0 duy chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p s\u1ef1 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1edbi tr\u1ef1c gi\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 trong c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p ng\u00e0y nay.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n    <div class=\"po-container po-container_width_article\">\n        <a href=\"\/en\/quick-start\/\" class=\"po-line-banner po-article-page__line-banner\">\n            <svg class=\"svg-image po-line-banner__logo\" fill=\"currentColor\" width=\"auto\" height=\"auto\"\n                 aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                <use href=\"#svg-img-logo-white\"><\/use>\n            <\/svg>\n            <span class=\"po-line-banner__btn\"><\/span>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    \n"},"faq":[{"question":"C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t cho giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 l\u00e0 g\u00ec?","answer":"C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 Ph\u1ea1m vi Th\u1ef1c Trung b\u00ecnh (ATR), c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u01b0 Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI), c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 theo d\u00f5i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng nh\u01b0 \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng Trung b\u00ecnh \u0110\u1ed9ng L\u0169y th\u1eeba (EMAs), v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea nh\u01b0 D\u1ea3i Bollinger. Nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00e1ch quan h\u01a1n khi giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4."},{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p khi giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4?","answer":"K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf cho giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean r\u1ee7i ro. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 r\u1ee7i ro m\u1ed9t t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 nh\u1ecf (1-2%) c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n cho m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c l\u00e0: K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf = (K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc T\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n \u00d7 T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 R\u1ee7i ro) \u00f7 Kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch D\u1eebng l\u1ed7. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, v\u1edbi v\u1ed1n $10,000, r\u1ee7i ro 2%, v\u00e0 d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 $1, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 200 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng ho\u1eb7c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu."},{"question":"Nh\u1eefng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0o gi\u00fap d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4?","answer":"C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian nh\u01b0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) v\u00e0 GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ngo\u00e0i ra, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed3ng li\u00ean k\u1ebft cho c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n li\u00ean quan, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ed3i quy cho c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u."},{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00f4i \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh?","answer":"L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i bao g\u1ed3m T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe (l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ee7i ro), K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng (l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh tr\u00ean m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch), T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m giao d\u1ecbch th\u1eafng), H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (t\u1ed5ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn chia cho t\u1ed5ng l\u1ed7), v\u00e0 M\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a (s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e1y). M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd n\u00ean duy tr\u00ec k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c trong c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau."},{"question":"M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0o t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh kh\u00e1c?","answer":"D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c. N\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan \u00e2m v\u1edbi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (kho\u1ea3ng -0.7 \u0111\u1ebfn -0.8), m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan d\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n (d\u01b0\u01a1ng trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf, \u00e2m trong c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c cung), v\u00e0 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a th\u00f4ng qua ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00edch h\u1ee3p."}],"faq_source":{"label":"FAQ","type":"repeater","formatted_value":[{"question":"C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t cho giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 l\u00e0 g\u00ec?","answer":"C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 Ph\u1ea1m vi Th\u1ef1c Trung b\u00ecnh (ATR), c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u01b0 Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI), c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 theo d\u00f5i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng nh\u01b0 \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng Trung b\u00ecnh \u0110\u1ed9ng L\u0169y th\u1eeba (EMAs), v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea nh\u01b0 D\u1ea3i Bollinger. Nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00e1ch quan h\u01a1n khi giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4."},{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p khi giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4?","answer":"K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf cho giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean r\u1ee7i ro. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 r\u1ee7i ro m\u1ed9t t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 nh\u1ecf (1-2%) c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n cho m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c l\u00e0: K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf = (K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc T\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n \u00d7 T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 R\u1ee7i ro) \u00f7 Kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch D\u1eebng l\u1ed7. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, v\u1edbi v\u1ed1n $10,000, r\u1ee7i ro 2%, v\u00e0 d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 $1, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 200 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng ho\u1eb7c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu."},{"question":"Nh\u1eefng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0o gi\u00fap d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4?","answer":"C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian nh\u01b0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) v\u00e0 GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ngo\u00e0i ra, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed3ng li\u00ean k\u1ebft cho c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n li\u00ean quan, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ed3i quy cho c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u."},{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00f4i \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh?","answer":"L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i bao g\u1ed3m T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe (l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ee7i ro), K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng (l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh tr\u00ean m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch), T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m giao d\u1ecbch th\u1eafng), H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (t\u1ed5ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn chia cho t\u1ed5ng l\u1ed7), v\u00e0 M\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a (s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e1y). M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd n\u00ean duy tr\u00ec k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c trong c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau."},{"question":"M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0o t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh kh\u00e1c?","answer":"D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c. N\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan \u00e2m v\u1edbi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (kho\u1ea3ng -0.7 \u0111\u1ebfn -0.8), m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan d\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n (d\u01b0\u01a1ng trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf, \u00e2m trong c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c cung), v\u00e0 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a th\u00f4ng qua ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00edch h\u1ee3p."}]}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.8 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Giao d\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u 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