{"id":307250,"date":"2025-07-15T20:57:44","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T20:57:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/news-events\/data\/bitcoin-bull-run-2\/"},"modified":"2025-07-15T20:57:44","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T20:57:44","slug":"bitcoin-bull-run","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/vt\/interesting\/trading-strategies\/bitcoin-bull-run\/","title":{"rendered":"Ch\u1ea1y \u0110ua Bitcoin: 7 Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c T\u1ea1o D\u1ef1ng T\u00e0i S\u1ea3n \u0110\u00e3 Mang L\u1ea1i L\u1ee3i Nhu\u1eadn Tr\u00ean 1,000%"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":247728,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[48,28,44],"class_list":["post-307250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading-strategies","tag-crypto","tag-investment","tag-strategy"],"acf":{"h1":"B\u1ea3n K\u1ebf Ho\u1ea1ch T\u0103ng Tr\u01b0\u1edfng Bitcoin \u0110\u1ec9nh Cao c\u1ee7a Pocket Option","h1_source":{"label":"H1","type":"text","formatted_value":"B\u1ea3n K\u1ebf Ho\u1ea1ch T\u0103ng Tr\u01b0\u1edfng Bitcoin \u0110\u1ec9nh Cao c\u1ee7a Pocket Option"},"description":"C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn $10K th\u00e0nh h\u01a1n $1M trong c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi t\u0103ng 300% ti\u1ebfp theo v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Pocket Option.","description_source":{"label":"Description","type":"textarea","formatted_value":"C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn $10K th\u00e0nh h\u01a1n $1M trong c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi t\u0103ng 300% ti\u1ebfp theo v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Pocket Option."},"intro":"M\u1ed7i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra h\u01a1n 20,000 tri\u1ec7u ph\u00fa m\u1edbi, tuy nhi\u00ean 94% nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n n\u00e0y. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 c\u00e1ch nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 $10,000 th\u00e0nh danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y--v\u00e0 7 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang n\u1ed5i l\u00ean ngay b\u00e2y gi\u1edd. Kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn tr\u00ean 1,200% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021 trong khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c khung l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c c\u00f3 s\u1eb5n cho b\u1ea1n h\u00f4m nay.","intro_source":{"label":"Intro","type":"text","formatted_value":"M\u1ed7i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra h\u01a1n 20,000 tri\u1ec7u ph\u00fa m\u1edbi, tuy nhi\u00ean 94% nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n n\u00e0y. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 c\u00e1ch nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 $10,000 th\u00e0nh danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y--v\u00e0 7 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang n\u1ed5i l\u00ean ngay b\u00e2y gi\u1edd. Kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn tr\u00ean 1,200% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021 trong khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c khung l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c c\u00f3 s\u1eb5n cho b\u1ea1n h\u00f4m nay."},"body_html":"

Gi\u1ea3i ph\u1eabu c\u1ee7a Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng: Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 Bitcoin Bull Run<\/h2><\/div>

T\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t chu k\u1ef3 4 n\u0103m c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng t\u1eeb 700-900%. M\u1ed7i \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin \u0111\u1ec1u theo c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n khi h\u1ec7 sinh th\u00e1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00e0nh t\u1eeb 100 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 1,2 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la ng\u00e0y nay. Hi\u1ec3u nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cung c\u1ea5p b\u1ea3n thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi chu k\u1ef3 ti\u1ebfp theo t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c.<\/p><\/div>

S\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a Michael Saylor t\u1eeb CEO c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng sang ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Bitcoin th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ni\u1ec1m tin \u1edf quy m\u00f4 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c. Khi MicroStrategy c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c mua Bitcoin \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 250 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8 n\u0103m 2020, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00ea b\u00ecnh g\u1ecdi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \"t\u1ef1 s\u00e1t doanh nghi\u1ec7p.\" B\u1ea3y th\u00e1ng sau, t\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin \u0111\u00f3, c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a MicroStrategy \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 642%, v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n ch\u00ednh Bitcoin 137% v\u00e0 th\u00eam 5,2 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ed5 \u0111\u00f4ng.<\/p><\/div>

Chu k\u1ef3 Bitcoin Bull Run<\/th>Th\u1eddi gian Ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/th>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0110\u1ec9nh cao<\/th>Ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c Ch\u00ednh<\/th>C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
\u0110\u1ee3t T\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean n\u0103m 2013<\/td>89 ng\u00e0y<\/td>1,061%<\/td>Kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Cyprus<\/td>Winklevoss Twins: 11 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u2192 900 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la (t\u0103ng 8,082%)<\/td><\/tr>
\u0110\u1ee3t T\u0103ng th\u1ee9 hai n\u0103m 2013<\/td>63 ng\u00e0y<\/td>523%<\/td>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn<\/td>Roger Ver: 1 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u2192 53 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la trong v\u00f2ng 7 th\u00e1ng<\/td><\/tr>
Chu k\u1ef3 Bull n\u0103m 2017<\/td>352 ng\u00e0y<\/td>2,089%<\/td>B\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 ICO, FOMO b\u00e1n l\u1ebb<\/td>Tim Draper: 18 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u2192 594 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la t\u1eeb BTC b\u1ecb t\u1ecbch thu c\u1ee7a Silk Road<\/td><\/tr>
Chu k\u1ef3 2020-2021<\/td>469 ng\u00e0y<\/td>1,657%<\/td>Ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/td>MicroStrategy: 250 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u2192 5,7 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u1ecb tr\u00ed kho b\u1ea1c<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

Trong khi c\u00e1c g\u00e3 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c chi\u1ebfm l\u0129nh ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u01a1n th\u00f4ng qua \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. James Howells, m\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia IT, \u0111\u00e3 khai th\u00e1c 7,500 Bitcoin v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2009 ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng m\u00e1y t\u00ednh x\u00e1ch tay c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. S\u1ed1 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a anh\u2014tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 d\u01b0\u1edbi 100 \u0111\u00f4 la khi t\u1ea1o ra\u2014\u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh 146,2 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11 n\u0103m 2021, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 anh n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng \u0111\u00e3 v\u1ee9t b\u1ecf \u1ed5 c\u1ee9ng ch\u1ee9a kh\u00f3a ri\u00eang t\u01b0 trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh d\u1ecdn d\u1eb9p nh\u00e0 c\u1eeda.<\/p><\/div>

C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p h\u01a1n mang l\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c khai th\u00e1c chuy\u00ean bi\u1ec7t. M\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch Pocket Option \u1ea9n danh \u0111\u00e3 ghi l\u1ea1i c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin 2020-2021, theo d\u00f5i m\u1ecdi giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng trung b\u00ecnh chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u00f4 la trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u 2018-2020, sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u00edch l\u0169y chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trong ba giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn 47,000 \u0111\u00f4 la th\u00e0nh 567,000 \u0111\u00f4 la\u2014l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 1,106%\u2014b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tho\u00e1t b\u1ea3y giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2021.<\/p><\/div>

L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf T\u00e2m l\u00fd: 4 Khung T\u00e2m l\u00fd T\u1ea1o ra H\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u<\/h2><\/div>

Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng v\u00e0 k\u1ebb thua cu\u1ed9c trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt hay k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9\u2014m\u00e0 l\u00e0 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt t\u00e2m l\u00fd. H\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tu\u00e2n theo c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ea3m x\u00fac c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t c\u1eadp c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khai th\u00e1c cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m l\u00fd, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng.<\/p><\/div>

Christine Ledger, m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u b\u00e1c s\u0129 \u0111\u00e3 ngh\u1ec9 h\u01b0u \u1edf tu\u1ed5i 41 sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin n\u0103m 2017, cho r\u1eb1ng danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 3,7 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 do chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb c\u1ea3m x\u00fac h\u01a1n l\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt: \"T\u00f4i cam k\u1ebft v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed m\u00e0 t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n m\u1ea5t m\u00e1t\u201412% gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb r\u00f2ng thanh kho\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i\u2014sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng kh\u1ecfi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y. Khi s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 1 n\u0103m 2017 k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m 32%, t\u00f4i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c tri\u1ec3n khai qu\u1ef9 'd\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh' \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, t\u0103ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i l\u00ean 17%. Nh\u1eefng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua \u1edf m\u1ee9c 942 \u0111\u00f4 la cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng chi\u1ebfm 357,000 \u0111\u00f4 la trong s\u1ed1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i.\"<\/p><\/div>

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh T\u00e2m l\u00fd<\/th>Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Nghi\u1ec7p d\u01b0<\/th>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p<\/th>Khung Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
N\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 B\u1ecf l\u1ee1 (FOMO)<\/td>Mua \u1edf \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9 khi tin t\u1ee9c truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 70-85% v\u00e0o chu k\u1ef3)<\/td>T\u00edch l\u0169y c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u; ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt khi truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean qu\u00e1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>K\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 vi\u1ebft s\u1eb5n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u0103ng ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u1edf c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc; b\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ec3n Google Trends theo d\u00f5i kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm \"mua Bitcoin\"<\/td><\/tr>
B\u00e1n th\u00e1o Ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n<\/td>Thanh l\u00fd v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 30%+ m\u00e0 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed cho th\u1ea5y tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi<\/td>Xem bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc; t\u0103ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/td>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c mua ba t\u1ea7ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ri\u00eang bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m 30%, 45% v\u00e0 60%<\/td><\/tr>
Thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn Neo<\/td>T\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i mua sau khi gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n (\"T\u00f4i s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ee3i n\u00f3 gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i\")<\/td>\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng thay v\u00ec gi\u00e1 v\u00e0o c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n ho\u1eb7c m\u1ee9c l\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/td>\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Stock-to-Flow, MVRV Z-Score v\u00e0 Realized Price \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c ph\u1ea1m vi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb h\u1ee3p l\u00fd \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp v\u1edbi l\u1ecbch s\u1eed mua<\/td><\/tr>
Thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn<\/td>Ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 th\u00f4ng tin t\u0103ng gi\u00e1\/gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ea3m x\u00fac hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3<\/td>C\u1ed1 \u00fd t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp; g\u00e1n tr\u1ecdng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n cho ph\u00e2n t\u00edch m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn v\u1edbi thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n<\/td>Ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0103n th\u00f4ng tin c\u00f3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac y\u00eau c\u1ea7u th\u1eddi gian xem x\u00e9t c\u1ea3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n c\u00f3 uy t\u00edn tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

Robert Wilson, m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd b\u00e1n l\u1ebb \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 2,790% trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin n\u0103m 2017, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 200 gi\u1edd v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o t\u00e2m l\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi tri\u1ec3n khai v\u1ed1n: \"T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 l\u1eadp tr\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Khi Bitcoin gi\u1ea3m 39% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2017, t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd ph\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m g\u00ec trong l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3\u2014t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh mua thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n \u1edf n\u0103m m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eefa 3,800 v\u00e0 2,900 \u0111\u00f4 la. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u1ea3m x\u00fac kh\u1ecfi vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i.\"<\/p><\/div>

Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh t\u00e2m l\u00fd giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Pocket Option \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft c\u00e1c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t c\u1ea3m x\u00fac n\u00e0y, y\u00eau c\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham gia ghi l\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ki\u1ec3m tra k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c h\u00f3a ti\u00eau ch\u00ed quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh cao h\u01a1n 3,7 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2020-2021, v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng l\u00ean 5,2 l\u1ea7n trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao.<\/p><\/div>

L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Khai th\u00e1c Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/h3><\/div>

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin \u01b0u t\u00fa kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u2014h\u1ecd c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng khai th\u00e1c n\u00f3 nh\u01b0 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Trong khi c\u00e1c c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng coi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c khung to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c dao \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c b\u1ed9 t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n.<\/p><\/div>

Emily Chang, m\u1ed9t k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2016 v\u1edbi 35,000 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0 tho\u00e1t ra v\u1edbi 1,7 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021, \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng thu ho\u1ea1ch bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi mua v\u00e0 gi\u1eef \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n 46% trong chu k\u1ef3:<\/p><\/div>

  • Ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 70% v\u1ecb tr\u00ed Bitcoin c\u1ee7a c\u00f4 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea1m t\u1edbi (kh\u00f4ng b\u00e1n trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1)<\/li>
  • Ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh 30% nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb tr\u00ed giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng m\u1ed9t thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n<\/li>
  • \u0110\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh mua t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 15%, 25% v\u00e0 40% d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 30 ng\u00e0y<\/li>
  • Thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c 30%, 70% v\u00e0 100% tr\u00ean gi\u00e1 mua trung b\u00ecnh c\u00f3 tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4<\/li><\/ul><\/div>

    \"S\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec3m\u2014n\u00f3 l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i,\" Chang gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. \"Trong khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb ph\u00e0n n\u00e0n v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2021, h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft th\u00eam 34% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i t\u1eeb ba l\u1ea7n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. C\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ea3m x\u00fac th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho vi\u1ec7c ngh\u1ec9 h\u01b0u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u1edf tu\u1ed5i 34.\"<\/p><\/div>

    Ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n: 7 T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0110\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady Tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c Chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng L\u1edbn<\/h2><\/div>

    Trong khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin s\u1eafp t\u1edbi. Nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n 3-7 th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p><\/div>

    Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/th>T\u01b0\u01a1ng quan Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/th>Th\u1eddi gian C\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o Trung b\u00ecnh<\/th>Ng\u00e0y T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u 2013<\/th>Ng\u00e0y T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u 2017<\/th>Ng\u00e0y T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u 2020-21<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
    Giao c\u1eaft V\u00e0ng Kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n Khai th\u00e1c<\/td>0.83<\/td>142 ng\u00e0y (4.7 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>13 th\u00e1ng 6, 2013<\/td>21 th\u00e1ng 3, 2017<\/td>8 th\u00e1ng 8, 2020<\/td><\/tr>
    N\u00e9n T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 NVT<\/td>0.78<\/td>67 ng\u00e0y (2.2 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>4 th\u00e1ng 9, 2013<\/td>23 th\u00e1ng 5, 2017<\/td>12 th\u00e1ng 10, 2020<\/td><\/tr>
    Thay \u0111\u1ed5i V\u1ecb tr\u00ed R\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee3 m\u1ecf<\/td>0.74<\/td>96 ng\u00e0y (3.2 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>11 th\u00e1ng 7, 2013<\/td>18 th\u00e1ng 4, 2017<\/td>26 th\u00e1ng 9, 2020<\/td><\/tr>
    T\u0103ng V\u1ed1n h\u00f3a Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Stablecoin<\/td>0.91<\/td>38 ng\u00e0y (1.3 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>Kh\u00f4ng \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng (tr\u01b0\u1edbc stablecoin)<\/td>29 th\u00e1ng 6, 2017<\/td>5 th\u00e1ng 11, 2020<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

    Thomas Drake, m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n 4,2 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o Bitcoin tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2020, d\u1ef1a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5: \"M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea trong t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 ba chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin l\u1edbn l\u00e0 giao c\u1eaft v\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n khai th\u00e1c, x\u1ea3y ra khi trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 90 ng\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua trung b\u00ecnh 365 ng\u00e0y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng an ninh m\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 m\u1ecf, \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ecdi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u sai k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013.\"<\/p><\/div>

    S\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng stablecoin cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd kh\u00e1c m\u00e0 Drake theo d\u00f5i h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y: \"Khi v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng stablecoin t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 40% trong m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian ba th\u00e1ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y v\u1ed1n \u0111ang t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 n\u0103m 2020, ngu\u1ed3n cung stablecoin \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 63% so v\u1edbi qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Bitcoin b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c t\u1eeb 13,800 \u0111\u00f4 la l\u00ean 64,800 \u0111\u00f4 la. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn v\u1edbi t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan 91% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi stablecoin xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.\"<\/p><\/div>

    B\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Pocket Option hi\u1ec7n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch theo d\u00f5i c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ti\u1ec1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1ec1 h\u01a1n 2,700 t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o trung b\u00ecnh th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 37% so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c tin t\u1ee9c.<\/p><\/div>

    Tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 On-Chain: L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Chuy\u00ean gia<\/h3><\/div>

    Trong khi bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 gi\u00e1 cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1i nh\u00ecn h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch blockchain cung c\u1ea5p kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe m\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 h\u00e0nh vi c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin tinh vi t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y b\u1eb1ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/p><\/div>

    Martin Svensson, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn kho\u1ea3n th\u1eeba k\u1ebf 135,000 euro th\u00e0nh h\u01a1n 2,9 tri\u1ec7u euro trong chu k\u1ef3 2020-2021, cho r\u1eb1ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 nh\u1edd ph\u00e2n t\u00edch on-chain: \"Khi t\u00f4i nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ec9 Bitcoin n\u1eafm gi\u1eef h\u01a1n 1 BTC \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i l\u00e0 828,000 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2020, trong khi s\u1ed1 d\u01b0 tr\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m 7% xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba n\u0103m, t\u00f4i nh\u1eadn ra m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh si\u1ebft cung ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2016-2017 g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00f9ng khung th\u1eddi gian.\"<\/p><\/div>

    C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain ch\u00ednh c\u00f3 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ee9ng minh v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea bao g\u1ed3m:<\/p><\/div>

    • Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch HODL Waves - Theo d\u00f5i c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0 \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ef1 t\u00edch l\u0169y c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u1ecbch s\u1eed gi\u1eef qua to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng (ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c 85% trong vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00e1c thay \u0111\u1ed5i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1edbn)<\/li>
    • Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng S\u1ed1 d\u01b0 S\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch - Gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t d\u00f2ng r\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Bitcoin \u0111\u1ebfn\/t\u1eeb c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y ra b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 25,000 BTC h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2016<\/li>
    • T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 HODL V\u1ed1n h\u00f3a Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n - \u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 HODL waves, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 d\u01b0\u1edbi 0.4 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y t\u1ed1i \u01b0u<\/li>
    • Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 SOPR (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0110\u1ea7u ra \u0110\u00e3 chi) - X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u1ec7u c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7u ra \u0111\u00e3 chi c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn hay l\u1ed7, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u1ea7n b\u1eadt b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng tr\u00ean 1.0 sau khi gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng<\/li><\/ul><\/div>

      C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Svensson cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1ch tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 on-chain t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1eddi gian quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh: \"Khi SOPR gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi 1.0 nh\u01b0ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong tu\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y 24 th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2020, n\u00f3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t. T\u00f4i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c t\u0103ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00ean 43% \u1edf m\u1ee9c 10,800 \u0111\u00f4 la, n\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i mua \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Bitcoin b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 64,800 \u0111\u00f4 la. T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u on-chain duy nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ea1o ra 1,2 tri\u1ec7u euro trong t\u1ed5ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i.\"<\/p><\/div>

      X\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng Danh m\u1ee5c: Khung Ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 60\/30\/10 T\u1ea1o ra 4,3 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la<\/h2><\/div>

      Quy m\u00f4 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh. Trong khi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u00e1m \u1ea3nh v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin tinh vi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c khung ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng.<\/p><\/div>

      Katherine Martinez, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 r\u1eddi b\u1ecf s\u1ef1 nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh sau khi ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n danh m\u1ee5c ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh t\u1eeb 178,000 \u0111\u00f4 la l\u00ean 4,3 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la, \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 r\u1ee7i ro theo t\u1ea7ng mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong chu k\u1ef3 2020-2021:<\/p><\/div>

      Th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n Danh m\u1ee5c<\/th>Ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 Ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/th>K\u00edch ho\u1ea1t C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1i<\/th>Giao th\u1ee9c Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
      V\u1ecb tr\u00ed Bitcoin C\u1ed1t l\u00f5i<\/td>60% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/td>C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1i khi ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 75% do gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng (x\u1ea3y ra hai l\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m 2021)<\/td>L\u01b0u tr\u1eef l\u1ea1nh \u0111a ch\u1eef k\u00fd v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c kh\u00f3a 3-of-5; kh\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u01b0u tr\u1eef tr\u00ean ba \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1eadt l\u00fd<\/td><\/tr>
      B\u1ed9 khu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i Bull Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/td>20% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/td>Xoay v\u00f2ng khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb Bitcoin gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi 55% (k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 2021)<\/td>Xoay v\u00f2ng theo ng\u00e0nh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i 30 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n tr\u00ean n\u0103m ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac<\/td><\/tr>
      Stablecoin Chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt<\/td>15% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/td>Tri\u1ec3n khai khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee3 h\u00e3i & Tham lam d\u01b0\u1edbi 20; t\u00edch l\u0169y tr\u00ean 75 (k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t b\u1ed1n l\u1ea7n trong chu k\u1ef3)<\/td>Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i tr\u00ean ba lo\u1ea1i stablecoin v\u1edbi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh n\u00e0o v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 40% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 stablecoin<\/td><\/tr>
      Thu ho\u1ea1ch Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td>5% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/td>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1ee5 \u00fd v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 120% trung b\u00ecnh 90 ng\u00e0y (k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t b\u1ea3y l\u1ea7n)<\/td>C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u1edfng\/r\u1ee7i ro t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u 4:1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

      \"Khung c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p t\u00f4i n\u1eafm b\u1eaft 86% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 trong khi tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 71% s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 sau \u0111\u00f3,\" Martinez gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. \"H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tin sai r\u1eb1ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a r\u1ee7i ro, nh\u01b0ng khung c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i ch\u1ee9ng minh \u0111i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac qua c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau trong khi duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 tham gia t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.\"<\/p><\/div>

      C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Martinez k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p l\u1eadp k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch d\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng cho c\u1ea3 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1: \"T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho n\u0103m qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau, bao g\u1ed3m m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed3ng lo\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. S\u1ef1 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb n\u00e0y lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf vi\u1ec7c ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ea3m x\u00fac trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng\u2014m\u1ed7i chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a cho vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n thay v\u00ec c\u1ea3m x\u00fac ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.\"<\/p><\/div>

      Ph\u00f2ng th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng danh m\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a Pocket Option cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c 15 ph\u00fat. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd cho th\u1ea5y ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Martinez s\u1ebd ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o qua t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 b\u1ed1n chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013, gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf c\u00e1c khung c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n h\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh theo kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p><\/div>

      L\u00e0m ch\u1ee7 Th\u1eddi gian: Khung V\u00e0o v\u00e0 Ra 4 Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n N\u1eafm b\u1eaft 96% L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/h2><\/div>

      Trong khi \"th\u1eddi gian trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\" v\u1eabn l\u00e0 l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean h\u1ee3p l\u00fd cho c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, t\u00ednh chu k\u1ef3 c\u1ef1c \u0111oan c\u1ee7a ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed th\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn cho vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. S\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho s\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n thay \u0111\u1ed5i cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 300%.<\/p><\/div>

      Alexander Ivanov, ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2016 v\u1edbi 23,000 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0 tho\u00e1t ra kh\u1ecfi chu k\u1ef3 2017 v\u1edbi 1,47 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la, \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn b\u1ed1n giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o v\u00e0 ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, n\u1eafm b\u1eaft 96% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1ed1i \u0111a l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft:<\/p><\/div>

      Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/th>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Th\u1eddi gian Ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th>K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0110\u00e3 x\u00e1c minh trong Chu k\u1ef3 2017<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
      Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n T\u00edch l\u0169y<\/td>Trung b\u00ecnh chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u00f4 la c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 nh\u00e2n 3x tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 30%+<\/td>Mua h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng 250 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u1edbi th\u00eam 750 \u0111\u00f4 la \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i s\u00e1u ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/td>\u0110\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u00e1 v\u00e0o trung b\u00ecnh 1,640 \u0111\u00f4 la\u2014th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 62% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh chu k\u1ef3 19,763 \u0111\u00f4 la<\/td><\/tr>
      Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng S\u1edbm<\/td>X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ba ng\u00e0y<\/td>T\u0103ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed l\u00ean 40% khi RSI h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua 65 v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng trung b\u00ecnh 90 ng\u00e0y 3.5x<\/td>N\u1eafm b\u1eaft 86% c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i parabol \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean (4,200 \u0111\u00f4 la \u0111\u1ebfn 7,800 \u0111\u00f4 la)<\/td><\/tr>
      Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n H\u1ee3p nh\u1ea5t Gi\u1eefa Chu k\u1ef3<\/td>Mua chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui Fibonacci tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m<\/td>T\u1eadp trung 35% t\u1ed5ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui 0.382 v\u00e0 0.5 khi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh 20 ng\u00e0y<\/td>42% t\u1ed5ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua \u1edf m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 47% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i sau \u0111\u00f3<\/td><\/tr>
      Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i \u0110\u1ec9nh<\/td>Ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi t\u1ed1t nghi\u1ec7p v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c tho\u00e1t ra t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c trong c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 h\u01b0ng ph\u1ea5n ch\u00ednh<\/td>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tho\u00e1t 7 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c gia t\u0103ng 15%, t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c khi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 quan t\u00e2m c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang (Google Trends, t\u1ea1o t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n m\u1edbi, \u0111\u01b0a tin truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng) \u0111\u1ea1t c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/td>Thanh l\u00fd 85% v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u1edf gi\u00e1 trung b\u00ecnh 16,240 \u0111\u00f4 la\u2014trong v\u00f2ng 18% c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ec9nh chu k\u1ef3<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

      \"H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ef1 ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i m\u00ecnh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o ho\u1eb7c ra ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o,\" Ivanov gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. \"T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t khung to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00f4i s\u1ebd n\u1eafm b\u1eaft ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 n\u00e0o m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n y\u00eau c\u1ea7u th\u1eddi gian ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c ho\u1eb7c k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ea3m x\u00fac. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u00ec n\u00f3 th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y\u2014nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a m\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i l\u1edbn.\"<\/p><\/div>

      Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tho\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Ivanov t\u1ecf ra \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb: \"T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Google Trends cho 'mua Bitcoin', \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u1ed1 c\u1ea3m x\u00fac tr\u00ean m\u1ea1ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u1ea1o t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n m\u1edbi tr\u00ean Coinbase v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 MVRV Z-score. Khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u00f4i t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 hay c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf m\u1ecdi s\u1ef1 g\u1eafn b\u00f3 c\u1ea3m x\u00fac trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00e2m l\u00fd\u2014b\u00e1n v\u00e0o h\u01b0ng ph\u1ea5n.\"<\/p><\/div>

      C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt bi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft th\u00e0nh t\u1ea1o ra t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. \"B\u00e0i h\u1ecdc \u0111au \u0111\u1edbn t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014 l\u00e0 ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a g\u00ec,\" Ivanov l\u01b0u \u00fd. \"Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng n\u0103m 2017 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c khi n\u00e0o v\u00e0 l\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o t\u00f4i s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng khi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf m\u1ecdi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac.\"<\/p><\/div>

      Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro: C\u00e1ch Chuy\u00ean gia B\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 92% L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn Qua S\u1ef1 S\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 73%<\/h2><\/div>

      \u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng li\u00ean t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro tinh vi. Trong khi s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ngo\u1ea1n m\u1ee5c trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eadp trung \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi.<\/p><\/div>

      David Chen, qu\u1ef9 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n Bitcoin 41% trong chu k\u1ef3 2020-2021 trong khi tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u00edt h\u01a1n 59%, th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t khung qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 92% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec9nh:<\/p><\/div>

      K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro<\/th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th>Hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 \u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
      K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb tr\u00ed B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng<\/td>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro\/l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u 3.4:1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c minh tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u khung th\u1eddi gian<\/td>Gi\u1ea3m k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh 37% trong khi duy tr\u00ec 94% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td><\/tr>
      Hedging T\u01b0\u01a1ng quan Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/td>\u0110\u1eb7t quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt tr\u00ean c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u00f3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan cao khi s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan-bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 2.3 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n<\/td>Cung c\u1ea5p b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 67% trong \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2021 trong khi b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7<\/td><\/tr>
      Ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td>Gi\u1ea3m c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 trung b\u00ecnh 20 ng\u00e0y theo c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc (15%, 30%, 45%)<\/td>B\u1ea3o to\u00e0n v\u1ed1n nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n 46% trong ba \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u1edbn so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb t\u0129nh<\/td><\/tr>
      T\u1ea1o \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ed3i Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/td>C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n thanh to\u00e1n b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng, phi tuy\u1ebfn t\u00ednh trong c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ef1c \u0111oan theo c\u1ea3 hai h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td>T\u1ea1o ra hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i 19.3% trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n parabol cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

      \"C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nghi\u1ec7p d\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng, trong khi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn-r\u1ee7i ro m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u00e1m \u1ea3nh,\" Chen gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. \"Trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin, t\u00f4i \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh n\u1eafm b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 trong khi \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 30%+ kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y l\u00e0m t\u0103ng v\u1ed1n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7.\"<\/p><\/div>

      Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Chen n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3: \"T\u00f4i coi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01a1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed theo c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh thay v\u00ec c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c \u0111\u00f4 la c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh, t\u00f4i duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac r\u1ee7i ro g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c dao \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ecbch t\u00ednh. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p t\u00f4i duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong su\u1ed1t to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7t s\u1ee9c c\u1ea3m x\u00fac khi\u1ebfn h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.\"<\/p><\/div>

      Ph\u00f2ng th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a Pocket Option bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c m\u00e1y t\u00ednh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch gi\u1ea3m trung b\u00ecnh c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 51% trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2020-2021 trong khi duy tr\u00ec 92% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb t\u0129nh.<\/p><\/div>

      S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a C\u00e1c Tham s\u1ed1 L\u1ed7<\/h3><\/div>

      Tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadp trung ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin \u01b0u t\u00fa \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 l\u1ed7 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi v\u00e0o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed. \u01afu ti\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o ra c\u1ea3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf t\u00e2m l\u00fd v\u00e0 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p><\/div>

      Sarah Nakamoto, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ban \u0111\u1ea7u 31,000 \u0111\u00f4 la th\u00e0nh h\u01a1n 1,3 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la qua hai chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin, cho r\u1eb1ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd l\u1ed7 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t: \"T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd ngh\u0129 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bao nhi\u00eau t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb tr\u00ed\u2014t\u00f4i t\u00ednh to\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n t\u00f4i s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng m\u1ea5t, sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y gi\u1eef t\u00f4i trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea3m x\u00fac kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc.\"<\/p><\/div>

      C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a Nakamoto bao g\u1ed3m:<\/p><\/div>

      • X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 t\u1ed1i \u0111a ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 27% (t\u00ednh to\u00e1n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed)<\/li>
      • Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t gi\u1ea3m v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 thay v\u00ec gi\u00e1<\/li>
      • Duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef v\u1ed1n chuy\u00ean d\u1ee5ng (23% t\u1ed5ng danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh<\/li>
      • Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ki\u1ec3m tra c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi s\u00e1u k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1eadp trung r\u1ee7i ro<\/li><\/ul><\/div>

        \"H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 qu\u00e1 cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi h\u1ecd th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 tr\u1ea3i qua c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3,\" Nakamoto gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. \"B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c ng\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eeb kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i, t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng qua to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u2014cho ph\u00e9p t\u00f4i t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i tho\u00e1t ra trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n y\u1ebfu t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi do qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e9m.\"<\/p><\/div>

        B\u1ea3n thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf cho Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng: 5 Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c V\u01b0\u1ee3t qua C\u00e1c Chu k\u1ef3 Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/h2><\/div>
        \n

        Gi\u1ea3i ph\u1eabu c\u1ee7a Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng: Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 Bitcoin Bull Run<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n
        \n

        T\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t chu k\u1ef3 4 n\u0103m c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng t\u1eeb 700-900%. M\u1ed7i \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin \u0111\u1ec1u theo c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n khi h\u1ec7 sinh th\u00e1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00e0nh t\u1eeb 100 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 1,2 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la ng\u00e0y nay. Hi\u1ec3u nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cung c\u1ea5p b\u1ea3n thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi chu k\u1ef3 ti\u1ebfp theo t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n

        S\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a Michael Saylor t\u1eeb CEO c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng sang ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Bitcoin th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ni\u1ec1m tin \u1edf quy m\u00f4 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c. Khi MicroStrategy c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c mua Bitcoin \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 250 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8 n\u0103m 2020, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00ea b\u00ecnh g\u1ecdi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 “t\u1ef1 s\u00e1t doanh nghi\u1ec7p.” B\u1ea3y th\u00e1ng sau, t\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin \u0111\u00f3, c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a MicroStrategy \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 642%, v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n ch\u00ednh Bitcoin 137% v\u00e0 th\u00eam 5,2 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ed5 \u0111\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n
        \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
        Chu k\u1ef3 Bitcoin Bull Run<\/th>\nTh\u1eddi gian Ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/th>\nL\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0110\u1ec9nh cao<\/th>\nCh\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c Ch\u00ednh<\/th>\nC\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
        \u0110\u1ee3t T\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean n\u0103m 2013<\/td>\n89 ng\u00e0y<\/td>\n1,061%<\/td>\nKh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Cyprus<\/td>\nWinklevoss Twins: 11 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u2192 900 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la (t\u0103ng 8,082%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
        \u0110\u1ee3t T\u0103ng th\u1ee9 hai n\u0103m 2013<\/td>\n63 ng\u00e0y<\/td>\n523%<\/td>\nTh\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn<\/td>\nRoger Ver: 1 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u2192 53 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la trong v\u00f2ng 7 th\u00e1ng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
        Chu k\u1ef3 Bull n\u0103m 2017<\/td>\n352 ng\u00e0y<\/td>\n2,089%<\/td>\nB\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 ICO, FOMO b\u00e1n l\u1ebb<\/td>\nTim Draper: 18 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u2192 594 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la t\u1eeb BTC b\u1ecb t\u1ecbch thu c\u1ee7a Silk Road<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
        Chu k\u1ef3 2020-2021<\/td>\n469 ng\u00e0y<\/td>\n1,657%<\/td>\nCh\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/td>\nMicroStrategy: 250 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la \u2192 5,7 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u1ecb tr\u00ed kho b\u1ea1c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
        \n

        Trong khi c\u00e1c g\u00e3 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c chi\u1ebfm l\u0129nh ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u01a1n th\u00f4ng qua \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. James Howells, m\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia IT, \u0111\u00e3 khai th\u00e1c 7,500 Bitcoin v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2009 ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng m\u00e1y t\u00ednh x\u00e1ch tay c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. S\u1ed1 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a anh\u2014tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 d\u01b0\u1edbi 100 \u0111\u00f4 la khi t\u1ea1o ra\u2014\u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh 146,2 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11 n\u0103m 2021, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 anh n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng \u0111\u00e3 v\u1ee9t b\u1ecf \u1ed5 c\u1ee9ng ch\u1ee9a kh\u00f3a ri\u00eang t\u01b0 trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh d\u1ecdn d\u1eb9p nh\u00e0 c\u1eeda.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n

        C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p h\u01a1n mang l\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c khai th\u00e1c chuy\u00ean bi\u1ec7t. M\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch Pocket Option \u1ea9n danh \u0111\u00e3 ghi l\u1ea1i c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin 2020-2021, theo d\u00f5i m\u1ecdi giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng trung b\u00ecnh chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u00f4 la trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u 2018-2020, sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u00edch l\u0169y chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trong ba giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn 47,000 \u0111\u00f4 la th\u00e0nh 567,000 \u0111\u00f4 la\u2014l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 1,106%\u2014b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tho\u00e1t b\u1ea3y giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2021.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n

        L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf T\u00e2m l\u00fd: 4 Khung T\u00e2m l\u00fd T\u1ea1o ra H\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n
        \n

        Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng v\u00e0 k\u1ebb thua cu\u1ed9c trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt hay k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9\u2014m\u00e0 l\u00e0 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt t\u00e2m l\u00fd. H\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tu\u00e2n theo c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ea3m x\u00fac c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t c\u1eadp c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khai th\u00e1c cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m l\u00fd, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n

        Christine Ledger, m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u b\u00e1c s\u0129 \u0111\u00e3 ngh\u1ec9 h\u01b0u \u1edf tu\u1ed5i 41 sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin n\u0103m 2017, cho r\u1eb1ng danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 3,7 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 do chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb c\u1ea3m x\u00fac h\u01a1n l\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt: “T\u00f4i cam k\u1ebft v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed m\u00e0 t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n m\u1ea5t m\u00e1t\u201412% gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb r\u00f2ng thanh kho\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i\u2014sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng kh\u1ecfi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y. Khi s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 1 n\u0103m 2017 k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m 32%, t\u00f4i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c tri\u1ec3n khai qu\u1ef9 ‘d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh’ \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, t\u0103ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i l\u00ean 17%. Nh\u1eefng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua \u1edf m\u1ee9c 942 \u0111\u00f4 la cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng chi\u1ebfm 357,000 \u0111\u00f4 la trong s\u1ed1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n
        \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
        M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh T\u00e2m l\u00fd<\/th>\nPh\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Nghi\u1ec7p d\u01b0<\/th>\nChi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p<\/th>\nKhung Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
        N\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 B\u1ecf l\u1ee1 (FOMO)<\/td>\nMua \u1edf \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9 khi tin t\u1ee9c truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 70-85% v\u00e0o chu k\u1ef3)<\/td>\nT\u00edch l\u0169y c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u; ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt khi truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean qu\u00e1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>\nK\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 vi\u1ebft s\u1eb5n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u0103ng ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u1edf c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc; b\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ec3n Google Trends theo d\u00f5i kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm “mua Bitcoin”<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
        B\u00e1n th\u00e1o Ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n<\/td>\nThanh l\u00fd v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 30%+ m\u00e0 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed cho th\u1ea5y tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi<\/td>\nXem bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc; t\u0103ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/td>\nChi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c mua ba t\u1ea7ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ri\u00eang bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m 30%, 45% v\u00e0 60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
        Thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn Neo<\/td>\nT\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i mua sau khi gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n (“T\u00f4i s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ee3i n\u00f3 gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i”)<\/td>\n\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng thay v\u00ec gi\u00e1 v\u00e0o c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n ho\u1eb7c m\u1ee9c l\u1ecbch s\u1eed<\/td>\n\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Stock-to-Flow, MVRV Z-Score v\u00e0 Realized Price \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c ph\u1ea1m vi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb h\u1ee3p l\u00fd \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp v\u1edbi l\u1ecbch s\u1eed mua<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
        Thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn<\/td>\nCh\u1ec9 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 th\u00f4ng tin t\u0103ng gi\u00e1\/gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ea3m x\u00fac hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3<\/td>\nC\u1ed1 \u00fd t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp; g\u00e1n tr\u1ecdng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n cho ph\u00e2n t\u00edch m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn v\u1edbi thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n<\/td>\nCh\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0103n th\u00f4ng tin c\u00f3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac y\u00eau c\u1ea7u th\u1eddi gian xem x\u00e9t c\u1ea3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n c\u00f3 uy t\u00edn tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
        \n

        Robert Wilson, m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd b\u00e1n l\u1ebb \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 2,790% trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin n\u0103m 2017, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 200 gi\u1edd v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o t\u00e2m l\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi tri\u1ec3n khai v\u1ed1n: “T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 l\u1eadp tr\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Khi Bitcoin gi\u1ea3m 39% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2017, t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd ph\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m g\u00ec trong l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3\u2014t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh mua thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n \u1edf n\u0103m m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eefa 3,800 v\u00e0 2,900 \u0111\u00f4 la. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u1ea3m x\u00fac kh\u1ecfi vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n

        Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh t\u00e2m l\u00fd giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Pocket Option \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft c\u00e1c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t c\u1ea3m x\u00fac n\u00e0y, y\u00eau c\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham gia ghi l\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ki\u1ec3m tra k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c h\u00f3a ti\u00eau ch\u00ed quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh cao h\u01a1n 3,7 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2020-2021, v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng l\u00ean 5,2 l\u1ea7n trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n

        L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Khai th\u00e1c Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n
        \n

        C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin \u01b0u t\u00fa kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u2014h\u1ecd c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng khai th\u00e1c n\u00f3 nh\u01b0 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Trong khi c\u00e1c c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng coi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c khung to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c dao \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c b\u1ed9 t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n

        Emily Chang, m\u1ed9t k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2016 v\u1edbi 35,000 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0 tho\u00e1t ra v\u1edbi 1,7 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021, \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng thu ho\u1ea1ch bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi mua v\u00e0 gi\u1eef \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n 46% trong chu k\u1ef3:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

        \n
          \n
        • Ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 70% v\u1ecb tr\u00ed Bitcoin c\u1ee7a c\u00f4 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea1m t\u1edbi (kh\u00f4ng b\u00e1n trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1)<\/li>\n
        • Ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh 30% nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb tr\u00ed giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng m\u1ed9t thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n<\/li>\n
        • \u0110\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh mua t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 15%, 25% v\u00e0 40% d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 30 ng\u00e0y<\/li>\n
        • Thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c 30%, 70% v\u00e0 100% tr\u00ean gi\u00e1 mua trung b\u00ecnh c\u00f3 tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n
          \n

          “S\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec3m\u2014n\u00f3 l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i,” Chang gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. “Trong khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb ph\u00e0n n\u00e0n v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2021, h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft th\u00eam 34% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i t\u1eeb ba l\u1ea7n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. C\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ea3m x\u00fac th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho vi\u1ec7c ngh\u1ec9 h\u01b0u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u1edf tu\u1ed5i 34.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

          \n

          Ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n: 7 T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0110\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady Tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c Chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng L\u1edbn<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n
          \n

          Trong khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin s\u1eafp t\u1edbi. Nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n 3-7 th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

          \n
          \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
          Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/th>\nT\u01b0\u01a1ng quan Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/th>\nTh\u1eddi gian C\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o Trung b\u00ecnh<\/th>\nNg\u00e0y T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u 2013<\/th>\nNg\u00e0y T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u 2017<\/th>\nNg\u00e0y T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u 2020-21<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
          Giao c\u1eaft V\u00e0ng Kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n Khai th\u00e1c<\/td>\n0.83<\/td>\n142 ng\u00e0y (4.7 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>\n13 th\u00e1ng 6, 2013<\/td>\n21 th\u00e1ng 3, 2017<\/td>\n8 th\u00e1ng 8, 2020<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
          N\u00e9n T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 NVT<\/td>\n0.78<\/td>\n67 ng\u00e0y (2.2 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>\n4 th\u00e1ng 9, 2013<\/td>\n23 th\u00e1ng 5, 2017<\/td>\n12 th\u00e1ng 10, 2020<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
          Thay \u0111\u1ed5i V\u1ecb tr\u00ed R\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee3 m\u1ecf<\/td>\n0.74<\/td>\n96 ng\u00e0y (3.2 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>\n11 th\u00e1ng 7, 2013<\/td>\n18 th\u00e1ng 4, 2017<\/td>\n26 th\u00e1ng 9, 2020<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
          T\u0103ng V\u1ed1n h\u00f3a Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Stablecoin<\/td>\n0.91<\/td>\n38 ng\u00e0y (1.3 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>\nKh\u00f4ng \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng (tr\u01b0\u1edbc stablecoin)<\/td>\n29 th\u00e1ng 6, 2017<\/td>\n5 th\u00e1ng 11, 2020<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
          \n

          Thomas Drake, m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n 4,2 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o Bitcoin tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2020, d\u1ef1a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5: “M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea trong t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 ba chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin l\u1edbn l\u00e0 giao c\u1eaft v\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n khai th\u00e1c, x\u1ea3y ra khi trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 90 ng\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua trung b\u00ecnh 365 ng\u00e0y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng an ninh m\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 m\u1ecf, \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ecdi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u sai k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

          \n

          S\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng stablecoin cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd kh\u00e1c m\u00e0 Drake theo d\u00f5i h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y: “Khi v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng stablecoin t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 40% trong m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian ba th\u00e1ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y v\u1ed1n \u0111ang t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 n\u0103m 2020, ngu\u1ed3n cung stablecoin \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 63% so v\u1edbi qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Bitcoin b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c t\u1eeb 13,800 \u0111\u00f4 la l\u00ean 64,800 \u0111\u00f4 la. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn v\u1edbi t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan 91% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi stablecoin xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

          \n

          B\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Pocket Option hi\u1ec7n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch theo d\u00f5i c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ti\u1ec1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1ec1 h\u01a1n 2,700 t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o trung b\u00ecnh th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 37% so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c tin t\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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          Tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 On-Chain: L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Chuy\u00ean gia<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n
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          Trong khi bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 gi\u00e1 cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1i nh\u00ecn h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch blockchain cung c\u1ea5p kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe m\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 h\u00e0nh vi c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin tinh vi t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y b\u1eb1ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

          \n

          Martin Svensson, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn kho\u1ea3n th\u1eeba k\u1ebf 135,000 euro th\u00e0nh h\u01a1n 2,9 tri\u1ec7u euro trong chu k\u1ef3 2020-2021, cho r\u1eb1ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 nh\u1edd ph\u00e2n t\u00edch on-chain: “Khi t\u00f4i nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ec9 Bitcoin n\u1eafm gi\u1eef h\u01a1n 1 BTC \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i l\u00e0 828,000 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2020, trong khi s\u1ed1 d\u01b0 tr\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m 7% xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba n\u0103m, t\u00f4i nh\u1eadn ra m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh si\u1ebft cung ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2016-2017 g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00f9ng khung th\u1eddi gian.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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          C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain ch\u00ednh c\u00f3 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ee9ng minh v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea bao g\u1ed3m:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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            \n
          • Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch HODL Waves – Theo d\u00f5i c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0 \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ef1 t\u00edch l\u0169y c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u1ecbch s\u1eed gi\u1eef qua to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng (ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c 85% trong vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00e1c thay \u0111\u1ed5i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1edbn)<\/li>\n
          • Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng S\u1ed1 d\u01b0 S\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch – Gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t d\u00f2ng r\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Bitcoin \u0111\u1ebfn\/t\u1eeb c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y ra b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 25,000 BTC h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2016<\/li>\n
          • T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 HODL V\u1ed1n h\u00f3a Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n – \u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 HODL waves, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 d\u01b0\u1edbi 0.4 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y t\u1ed1i \u01b0u<\/li>\n
          • Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 SOPR (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0110\u1ea7u ra \u0110\u00e3 chi) – X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u1ec7u c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7u ra \u0111\u00e3 chi c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn hay l\u1ed7, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u1ea7n b\u1eadt b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng tr\u00ean 1.0 sau khi gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n
            \n

            C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Svensson cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1ch tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 on-chain t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1eddi gian quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh: “Khi SOPR gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi 1.0 nh\u01b0ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong tu\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y 24 th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2020, n\u00f3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t. T\u00f4i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c t\u0103ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00ean 43% \u1edf m\u1ee9c 10,800 \u0111\u00f4 la, n\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i mua \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Bitcoin b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 64,800 \u0111\u00f4 la. T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u on-chain duy nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ea1o ra 1,2 tri\u1ec7u euro trong t\u1ed5ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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            X\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng Danh m\u1ee5c: Khung Ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 60\/30\/10 T\u1ea1o ra 4,3 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n
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            Quy m\u00f4 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh. Trong khi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u00e1m \u1ea3nh v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin tinh vi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c khung ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            Katherine Martinez, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 r\u1eddi b\u1ecf s\u1ef1 nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh sau khi ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n danh m\u1ee5c ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh t\u1eeb 178,000 \u0111\u00f4 la l\u00ean 4,3 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la, \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 r\u1ee7i ro theo t\u1ea7ng mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong chu k\u1ef3 2020-2021:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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            \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
            Th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n Danh m\u1ee5c<\/th>\nPh\u00e2n b\u1ed5 Ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/th>\nK\u00edch ho\u1ea1t C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1i<\/th>\nGiao th\u1ee9c Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
            V\u1ecb tr\u00ed Bitcoin C\u1ed1t l\u00f5i<\/td>\n60% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/td>\nC\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1i khi ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 75% do gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng (x\u1ea3y ra hai l\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m 2021)<\/td>\nL\u01b0u tr\u1eef l\u1ea1nh \u0111a ch\u1eef k\u00fd v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c kh\u00f3a 3-of-5; kh\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u01b0u tr\u1eef tr\u00ean ba \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1eadt l\u00fd<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            B\u1ed9 khu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i Bull Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/td>\n20% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/td>\nXoay v\u00f2ng khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb Bitcoin gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi 55% (k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 2021)<\/td>\nXoay v\u00f2ng theo ng\u00e0nh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i 30 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n tr\u00ean n\u0103m ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            Stablecoin Chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt<\/td>\n15% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/td>\nTri\u1ec3n khai khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee3 h\u00e3i & Tham lam d\u01b0\u1edbi 20; t\u00edch l\u0169y tr\u00ean 75 (k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t b\u1ed1n l\u1ea7n trong chu k\u1ef3)<\/td>\nPh\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i tr\u00ean ba lo\u1ea1i stablecoin v\u1edbi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh n\u00e0o v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 40% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 stablecoin<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            Thu ho\u1ea1ch Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td>\n5% ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/td>\nTh\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1ee5 \u00fd v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 120% trung b\u00ecnh 90 ng\u00e0y (k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t b\u1ea3y l\u1ea7n)<\/td>\nC\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u1edfng\/r\u1ee7i ro t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u 4:1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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            “Khung c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p t\u00f4i n\u1eafm b\u1eaft 86% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 trong khi tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 71% s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 sau \u0111\u00f3,” Martinez gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. “H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tin sai r\u1eb1ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a r\u1ee7i ro, nh\u01b0ng khung c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i ch\u1ee9ng minh \u0111i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac qua c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau trong khi duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 tham gia t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Martinez k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p l\u1eadp k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch d\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng cho c\u1ea3 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1: “T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho n\u0103m qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau, bao g\u1ed3m m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed3ng lo\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. S\u1ef1 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb n\u00e0y lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf vi\u1ec7c ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ea3m x\u00fac trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng\u2014m\u1ed7i chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a cho vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n thay v\u00ec c\u1ea3m x\u00fac ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            Ph\u00f2ng th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng danh m\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a Pocket Option cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c 15 ph\u00fat. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd cho th\u1ea5y ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Martinez s\u1ebd ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o qua t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 b\u1ed1n chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013, gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf c\u00e1c khung c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n h\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh theo kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            L\u00e0m ch\u1ee7 Th\u1eddi gian: Khung V\u00e0o v\u00e0 Ra 4 Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n N\u1eafm b\u1eaft 96% L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n
            \n

            Trong khi “th\u1eddi gian trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng” v\u1eabn l\u00e0 l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean h\u1ee3p l\u00fd cho c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, t\u00ednh chu k\u1ef3 c\u1ef1c \u0111oan c\u1ee7a ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed th\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn cho vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. S\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho s\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n thay \u0111\u1ed5i cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 300%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            Alexander Ivanov, ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2016 v\u1edbi 23,000 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0 tho\u00e1t ra kh\u1ecfi chu k\u1ef3 2017 v\u1edbi 1,47 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la, \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn b\u1ed1n giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o v\u00e0 ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, n\u1eafm b\u1eaft 96% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1ed1i \u0111a l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n
            \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
            Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/th>\nChi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Th\u1eddi gian Ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/th>\nPh\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th>\nK\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0110\u00e3 x\u00e1c minh trong Chu k\u1ef3 2017<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
            Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n T\u00edch l\u0169y<\/td>\nTrung b\u00ecnh chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u00f4 la c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 nh\u00e2n 3x tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 30%+<\/td>\nMua h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng 250 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u1edbi th\u00eam 750 \u0111\u00f4 la \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i s\u00e1u ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/td>\n\u0110\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u00e1 v\u00e0o trung b\u00ecnh 1,640 \u0111\u00f4 la\u2014th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 62% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh chu k\u1ef3 19,763 \u0111\u00f4 la<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng S\u1edbm<\/td>\nX\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ba ng\u00e0y<\/td>\nT\u0103ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed l\u00ean 40% khi RSI h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua 65 v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng trung b\u00ecnh 90 ng\u00e0y 3.5x<\/td>\nN\u1eafm b\u1eaft 86% c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i parabol \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean (4,200 \u0111\u00f4 la \u0111\u1ebfn 7,800 \u0111\u00f4 la)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n H\u1ee3p nh\u1ea5t Gi\u1eefa Chu k\u1ef3<\/td>\nMua chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui Fibonacci tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m<\/td>\nT\u1eadp trung 35% t\u1ed5ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui 0.382 v\u00e0 0.5 khi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh 20 ng\u00e0y<\/td>\n42% t\u1ed5ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua \u1edf m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 47% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i sau \u0111\u00f3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i \u0110\u1ec9nh<\/td>\nCh\u1ed1t l\u1eddi t\u1ed1t nghi\u1ec7p v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c tho\u00e1t ra t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c trong c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 h\u01b0ng ph\u1ea5n ch\u00ednh<\/td>\nTh\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tho\u00e1t 7 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c gia t\u0103ng 15%, t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c khi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 quan t\u00e2m c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang (Google Trends, t\u1ea1o t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n m\u1edbi, \u0111\u01b0a tin truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng) \u0111\u1ea1t c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/td>\nThanh l\u00fd 85% v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u1edf gi\u00e1 trung b\u00ecnh 16,240 \u0111\u00f4 la\u2014trong v\u00f2ng 18% c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ec9nh chu k\u1ef3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
            \n

            “H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ef1 ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i m\u00ecnh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o ho\u1eb7c ra ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o,” Ivanov gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. “T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t khung to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00f4i s\u1ebd n\u1eafm b\u1eaft ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 n\u00e0o m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n y\u00eau c\u1ea7u th\u1eddi gian ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c ho\u1eb7c k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ea3m x\u00fac. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u00ec n\u00f3 th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y\u2014nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a m\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i l\u1edbn.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tho\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Ivanov t\u1ecf ra \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb: “T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Google Trends cho ‘mua Bitcoin’, \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u1ed1 c\u1ea3m x\u00fac tr\u00ean m\u1ea1ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u1ea1o t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n m\u1edbi tr\u00ean Coinbase v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 MVRV Z-score. Khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u00f4i t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 hay c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf m\u1ecdi s\u1ef1 g\u1eafn b\u00f3 c\u1ea3m x\u00fac trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00e2m l\u00fd\u2014b\u00e1n v\u00e0o h\u01b0ng ph\u1ea5n.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt bi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft th\u00e0nh t\u1ea1o ra t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. “B\u00e0i h\u1ecdc \u0111au \u0111\u1edbn t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014 l\u00e0 ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a g\u00ec,” Ivanov l\u01b0u \u00fd. “Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng n\u0103m 2017 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c khi n\u00e0o v\u00e0 l\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o t\u00f4i s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng khi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf m\u1ecdi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro: C\u00e1ch Chuy\u00ean gia B\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 92% L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn Qua S\u1ef1 S\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 73%<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n
            \n

            \u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng li\u00ean t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro tinh vi. Trong khi s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ngo\u1ea1n m\u1ee5c trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eadp trung \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            David Chen, qu\u1ef9 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n Bitcoin 41% trong chu k\u1ef3 2020-2021 trong khi tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u00edt h\u01a1n 59%, th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t khung qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 92% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec9nh:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n
            \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
            K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro<\/th>\nPh\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th>\nHi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 \u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
            K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb tr\u00ed B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng<\/td>\nK\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro\/l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u 3.4:1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c minh tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u khung th\u1eddi gian<\/td>\nGi\u1ea3m k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh 37% trong khi duy tr\u00ec 94% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            Hedging T\u01b0\u01a1ng quan Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/td>\n\u0110\u1eb7t quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt tr\u00ean c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u00f3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan cao khi s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan-bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 2.3 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n<\/td>\nCung c\u1ea5p b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 67% trong \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2021 trong khi b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            Ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td>\nGi\u1ea3m c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 trung b\u00ecnh 20 ng\u00e0y theo c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc (15%, 30%, 45%)<\/td>\nB\u1ea3o to\u00e0n v\u1ed1n nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n 46% trong ba \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u1edbn so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb t\u0129nh<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
            T\u1ea1o \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ed3i Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/td>\nC\u1ea5u tr\u00fac quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n thanh to\u00e1n b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng, phi tuy\u1ebfn t\u00ednh trong c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ef1c \u0111oan theo c\u1ea3 hai h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td>\nT\u1ea1o ra hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i 19.3% trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n parabol cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
            \n

            “C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nghi\u1ec7p d\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng, trong khi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn-r\u1ee7i ro m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u00e1m \u1ea3nh,” Chen gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. “Trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin, t\u00f4i \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh n\u1eafm b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 trong khi \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 30%+ kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y l\u00e0m t\u0103ng v\u1ed1n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Chen n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3: “T\u00f4i coi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01a1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed theo c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh thay v\u00ec c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c \u0111\u00f4 la c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh, t\u00f4i duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac r\u1ee7i ro g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c dao \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ecbch t\u00ednh. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p t\u00f4i duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong su\u1ed1t to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7t s\u1ee9c c\u1ea3m x\u00fac khi\u1ebfn h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            Ph\u00f2ng th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a Pocket Option bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c m\u00e1y t\u00ednh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch gi\u1ea3m trung b\u00ecnh c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 51% trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2020-2021 trong khi duy tr\u00ec 92% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb t\u0129nh.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a C\u00e1c Tham s\u1ed1 L\u1ed7<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n
            \n

            Tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadp trung ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Bitcoin \u01b0u t\u00fa \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 l\u1ed7 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi v\u00e0o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed. \u01afu ti\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o ra c\u1ea3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf t\u00e2m l\u00fd v\u00e0 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            Sarah Nakamoto, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ban \u0111\u1ea7u 31,000 \u0111\u00f4 la th\u00e0nh h\u01a1n 1,3 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la qua hai chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin, cho r\u1eb1ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd l\u1ed7 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t: “T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd ngh\u0129 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bao nhi\u00eau t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb tr\u00ed\u2014t\u00f4i t\u00ednh to\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n t\u00f4i s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng m\u1ea5t, sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y gi\u1eef t\u00f4i trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea3m x\u00fac kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n

            C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a Nakamoto bao g\u1ed3m:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

            \n
              \n
            • X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 t\u1ed1i \u0111a ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 27% (t\u00ednh to\u00e1n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed)<\/li>\n
            • Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t gi\u1ea3m v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 thay v\u00ec gi\u00e1<\/li>\n
            • Duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef v\u1ed1n chuy\u00ean d\u1ee5ng (23% t\u1ed5ng danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh<\/li>\n
            • Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ki\u1ec3m tra c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi s\u00e1u k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1eadp trung r\u1ee7i ro<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n
              \n

              “H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 qu\u00e1 cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi h\u1ecd th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 tr\u1ea3i qua c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3,” Nakamoto gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. “B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c ng\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eeb kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i, t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng qua to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u2014cho ph\u00e9p t\u00f4i t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 bitcoin d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i tho\u00e1t ra trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n y\u1ebfu t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi do qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e9m.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

              \n

              B\u1ea3n thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf cho Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng: 5 Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c V\u01b0\u1ee3t qua C\u00e1c Chu k\u1ef3 Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n
              1 BTC \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 828,000 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2020 trong khi s\u1ed1 d\u01b0 tr\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m 7% xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba n\u0103m--m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh kho\u1ea3ng 90 ng\u00e0y. M\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 theo d\u00f5i ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng li\u1ec7u c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7u ra \u0111\u00e3 chi ti\u00eau c\u00f3 l\u00e3i hay l\u1ed7--khi SOPR gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 1.0 nh\u01b0ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong tu\u1ea7n ng\u00e0y 24 th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2020, n\u00f3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t. T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Bitcoin t\u0103ng t\u1eeb $10,800 l\u00ean h\u01a1n $64,800. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p c\u0169ng theo d\u00f5i HODL Waves \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1eafm gi\u1eef d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (\u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u00f4ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng >1 n\u0103m) ng\u1eebng b\u00e1n v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00edch l\u0169y, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y theo l\u1ecbch s\u1eed x\u1ea3y ra 3-5 th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng minh \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c 85% trong vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00e1c thay \u0111\u1ed5i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng quan tr\u1ecdng trong t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y."},{"question":"C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00ean chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m l\u00fd nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o cho s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Bitcoin?","answer":"C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c cam k\u1ebft tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 khung quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac thay v\u00ec d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ea3m x\u00fac trong th\u1eddi gian c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Christine Ledger \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i t\u1eadp k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f4 h\u00ecnh dung ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m 30%, 50% v\u00e0 70% tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ch\u00fang x\u1ea3y ra, sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh mua t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y--khi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 32% th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 1 n\u0103m 2017, c\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tr\u01b0\u1edbc thay v\u00ec ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng theo c\u1ea3m x\u00fac. Robert Wilson \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 200 gi\u1edd v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o t\u00e2m l\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi tri\u1ec3n khai v\u1ed1n, l\u1eadp tr\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf c\u1ea3m x\u00fac kh\u1ecfi vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n. Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh t\u00e2m l\u00fd giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Pocket Option nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n, n\u01a1i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ef1c \u0111oan trong m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u00eau ch\u00ed quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cao h\u01a1n kho\u1ea3ng 3,7 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng, v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t n\u00e0y m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng l\u00ean 5,2 l\u1ea7n trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao--ch\u1ee9ng minh r\u1eb1ng chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m l\u00fd t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a bitcoin."}],"faq_source":{"label":"FAQ","type":"repeater","formatted_value":[{"question":"C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn nh\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 g\u00ec?","answer":"C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn nh\u1ea5t k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n tr\u00ean chu\u1ed7i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y. Thomas Drake, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 1.400% trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2020-2021, \u0111\u00e3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp 65% v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh khi x\u1ea3y ra giao c\u1eaft v\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f3 khai th\u00e1c v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8 n\u0103m 2020 (khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 90 ng\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh 365 ng\u00e0y), kho\u1ea3ng 142 ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c ch\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng. Sarah Nakamoto \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00edch l\u0169y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n mua ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 khi n\u00e0o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf 30 ng\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 55% trong c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u--c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ba \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2019. Alexander Ivanov \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p trung b\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 theo h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 nh\u00e2n 3x trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh tr\u00ean 30%, \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u00e1 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 $1,640 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi chu k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2017 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh \u1edf m\u1ee9c $19,763, \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn h\u01a1n 1.100% t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a anh \u1ea5y."},{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec3m tho\u00e1t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd trong c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1?","answer":"C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c khung tho\u00e1t \u0111a y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 thay v\u00ec c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n l\u1ebb. Katherine Martinez \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Google Trends cho \"buy Bitcoin\" (tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 30%), gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb RSI h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n (tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 25%), ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u00e2m l\u00fd truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i (tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 25%), v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ec9 Bitcoin c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 20%). C\u00f4 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u00e1n 15% s\u1ed1 c\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng thanh l\u00fd 85% v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 $16,240--trong v\u00f2ng 18% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh chu k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2017. Robert Wilson \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tho\u00e1t d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n, b\u00e1n 5% s\u1ed1 c\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i khi gi\u00e1 Bitcoin t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i so v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 mua trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a anh, sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 10% m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng 100% sau l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i th\u1ee9 t\u01b0, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 92% l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a anh khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn tinh vi nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb David Chen, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf 20 ng\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed 15%, 30%, v\u00e0 45%."},{"question":"Nh\u1eefng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro n\u00e0o b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1?","answer":"C\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 nh\u1ea5t duy tr\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac v\u1edbi ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong khi cung c\u1ea5p b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. Qu\u1ef9 c\u1ee7a David Chen \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba r\u1ee7i ro d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan, mua quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn b\u00e1n tr\u00ean c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u00f3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan cao khi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ecfi Bitcoin h\u01a1n 2,3 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n - \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p 67% b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2021 trong khi v\u1eabn gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac v\u1edbi Bitcoin. Emily Chang \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c thu ho\u1ea1ch bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ea3m v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh 20% khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf trong 14 ng\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 95%, sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u00e1i tri\u1ec3n khai v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00f3 th\u00e0nh ba ph\u1ea7n b\u1eb1ng nhau khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng. Sarah Nakamoto duy tr\u00ec gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t l\u00e0 27% d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t gi\u1ea3m v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 d\u00e0nh 23% danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0m d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh - c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00f4 duy tr\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 qua c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t suy tho\u00e1i t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n, n\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ti\u1ebfp theo sau m\u1ed7i \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u1edbn trong chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n."},{"question":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch on-chain \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf n\u00e0o trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y?","answer":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u00ean chu\u1ed7i cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o s\u1edbm quan tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng. Martin Svensson \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch theo d\u00f5i hai ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3: s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ec9 n\u1eafm gi\u1eef >1 BTC \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 828,000 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2020 trong khi s\u1ed1 d\u01b0 tr\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m 7% xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba n\u0103m--m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh kho\u1ea3ng 90 ng\u00e0y. M\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 theo d\u00f5i ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng li\u1ec7u c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7u ra \u0111\u00e3 chi ti\u00eau c\u00f3 l\u00e3i hay l\u1ed7--khi SOPR gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 1.0 nh\u01b0ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong tu\u1ea7n ng\u00e0y 24 th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2020, n\u00f3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t. T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Bitcoin t\u0103ng t\u1eeb $10,800 l\u00ean h\u01a1n $64,800. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p c\u0169ng theo d\u00f5i HODL Waves \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1eafm gi\u1eef d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (\u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u00f4ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng >1 n\u0103m) ng\u1eebng b\u00e1n v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00edch l\u0169y, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y theo l\u1ecbch s\u1eed x\u1ea3y ra 3-5 th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng minh \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c 85% trong vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00e1c thay \u0111\u1ed5i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng quan tr\u1ecdng trong t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y."},{"question":"C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00ean chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m l\u00fd nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o cho s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Bitcoin?","answer":"C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c cam k\u1ebft tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 khung quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac thay v\u00ec d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ea3m x\u00fac trong th\u1eddi gian c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Christine Ledger \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i t\u1eadp k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f4 h\u00ecnh dung ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m 30%, 50% v\u00e0 70% tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ch\u00fang x\u1ea3y ra, sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh mua t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y--khi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 32% th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 1 n\u0103m 2017, c\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tr\u01b0\u1edbc thay v\u00ec ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng theo c\u1ea3m x\u00fac. Robert Wilson \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 200 gi\u1edd v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o t\u00e2m l\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi tri\u1ec3n khai v\u1ed1n, l\u1eadp tr\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf c\u1ea3m x\u00fac kh\u1ecfi vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n. Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh t\u00e2m l\u00fd giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Pocket Option nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n, n\u01a1i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ef1c \u0111oan trong m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u00eau ch\u00ed quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cao h\u01a1n kho\u1ea3ng 3,7 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng, v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t n\u00e0y m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng l\u00ean 5,2 l\u1ea7n trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao--ch\u1ee9ng minh r\u1eb1ng chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m l\u00fd t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a bitcoin."}]}},"yoast_head":"\nCh\u1ea1y \u0110ua Bitcoin: 7 Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c T\u1ea1o D\u1ef1ng T\u00e0i S\u1ea3n \u0110\u00e3 Mang L\u1ea1i L\u1ee3i Nhu\u1eadn Tr\u00ean 1,000%<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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