{"id":306830,"date":"2025-07-15T20:28:38","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T20:28:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/news-events\/data\/best-pocket-option-strategy-2\/"},"modified":"2025-07-15T20:28:38","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T20:28:38","slug":"best-pocket-option-strategy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/vt\/interesting\/trading-strategies\/best-pocket-option-strategy\/","title":{"rendered":"Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option T\u1ed1t Nh\u1ea5t: L\u1ee3i Th\u1ebf To\u00e1n H\u1ecdc Mang L\u1ea1i L\u1ee3i Nhu\u1eadn 83%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"root\"><div id=\"wrap-img-root\"><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":247778,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[28,40,44],"class_list":["post-306830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading-strategies","tag-investment","tag-signal","tag-strategy"],"acf":{"h1":"Khung \u0110\u1ecbnh L\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Pocket Option: T\u1ed1i \u01afu H\u00f3a Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110\u00e3 \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u1ee9ng Minh","h1_source":{"label":"H1","type":"text","formatted_value":"Khung \u0110\u1ecbnh L\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Pocket Option: T\u1ed1i \u01afu H\u00f3a Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110\u00e3 \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u1ee9ng Minh"},"description":"Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 72-86% \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Truy c\u1eadp c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c minh b\u1eb1ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi m\u00e1y t\u00ednh hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Pocket Option.","description_source":{"label":"Description","type":"textarea","formatted_value":"Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 72-86% \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Truy c\u1eadp c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c minh b\u1eb1ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi m\u00e1y t\u00ednh hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Pocket Option."},"intro":"Trong khi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch theo \u0111u\u1ed5i \"chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o\" huy\u1ec1n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o v\u00f4 t\u1eadn, c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng hay th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong giao d\u1ecbch. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i m\u00e3 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady, cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c khung h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, t\u00ednh h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0 k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ed1i \u01b0u. Cho d\u00f9 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 hay c\u00e1c ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ph\u1ed5 qu\u00e1t n\u00e0y s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean th\u00e0nh l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.","intro_source":{"label":"Intro","type":"text","formatted_value":"Trong khi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch theo \u0111u\u1ed5i \"chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o\" huy\u1ec1n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o v\u00f4 t\u1eadn, c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng hay th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong giao d\u1ecbch. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i m\u00e3 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady, cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c khung h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, t\u00ednh h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0 k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ed1i \u01b0u. Cho d\u00f9 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 hay c\u00e1c ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ph\u1ed5 qu\u00e1t n\u00e0y s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean th\u00e0nh l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c."},"body_html":"<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>\u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c: V\u01b0\u1ee3t qua T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n m\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn giao d\u1ecbch b\u00e1n l\u1ebb. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua m\u1ed9t khung to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t th\u1eafng, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3, t\u00ednh b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu, v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p \"s\u0103n ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o\" v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi 87% nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch b\u00e1n l\u1ebb. Trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi nghi\u1ec7p d\u01b0 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt m\u1edbi ho\u1eb7c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai, v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf\u2014nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c cho ph\u00e9p \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t tr\u00ean 17 chi\u1ec1u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea kh\u00e1c nhau. \u0110\u1ed9 s\u00e2u ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o ra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i th\u00f4ng qua ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean\u2014m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u1ecfi 93% ng\u01b0\u1eddi cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t<\/th><th>\u0110\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a<\/th><th>Ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n Chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p<\/th><th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p T\u00ednh to\u00e1n<\/th><th>M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 Quan tr\u1ecdng<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/td><td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn\/l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>\u2265 0.3R (R = \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td><td>(Win% \u00d7 Avg Win) - (Loss% \u00d7 Avg Loss)<\/td><td>Quan tr\u1ecdng (n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td><td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn g\u1ed9p so v\u1edbi l\u1ed7<\/td><td>\u2265 1.7<\/td><td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn G\u1ed9p \u00f7 L\u1ed7 G\u1ed9p<\/td><td>Cao (ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe<\/td><td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo r\u1ee7i ro<\/td><td>\u2265 1.5 (h\u00e0ng n\u0103m)<\/td><td>(L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c - T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Kh\u00f4ng r\u1ee7i ro) \u00f7 \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch Chu\u1ea9n<\/td><td>Cao (th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u00dd ngh\u0129a Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/td><td>M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean<\/td><td>\u2265 95% (p &lt; 0.05)<\/td><td>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n Z-score so v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean<\/td><td>Quan tr\u1ecdng (x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u1ef1u nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Robert M. \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng khung nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn giao d\u1ecbch EUR\/USD c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng b\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ec3n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a Pocket Option. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng 58% tr\u00ean 43 giao d\u1ecbch, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch s\u00e2u h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i: k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ch\u1ec9 0.12R, h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 1.3, v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb p 0.22\u2014cho th\u1ea5y 22% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a anh ta ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean thay v\u00ec m\u1ed9t l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ng\u0103n anh ta ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ph\u00e2n t\u00edch to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee9u anh ta kh\u1ecfi m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c khi h\u1ed3i quy v\u1ec1 trung b\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng: N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a Giao d\u1ecbch C\u00f3 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u1ea1i c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t cho Pocket Option l\u00e0 kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng (EV)\u2014k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t m\u1eabu l\u1edbn. Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y t\u1eeb l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u1ec7u m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn theo th\u1eddi gian, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n trong k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u1edfng-r\u1ee7i ro, v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd duy nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trung b\u00ecnh d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c (R). M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi EV d\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn theo to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t m\u1eabu \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn, trong khi c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn EV \u00e2m kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thua l\u1ed7 b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y hay nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c ch\u1ee7 quan v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>H\u1ed3 s\u01a1 Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/th><th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th><th>Th\u01b0\u1edfng:R\u1ee7i ro<\/th><th>Chi ph\u00ed M\u1ed7i Giao d\u1ecbch<\/th><th>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng<\/th><th>H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 D\u00e0i h\u1ea1n<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>\u0110\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t Cao<\/td><td>67%<\/td><td>1:1<\/td><td>1% c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro<\/td><td>+0.33R<\/td><td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 33% m\u1ed7i 100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u0110\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>1.5:1<\/td><td>2% c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro<\/td><td>+0.29R<\/td><td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 29% m\u1ed7i 100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Theo Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>2.5:1<\/td><td>1% c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro<\/td><td>+0.46R<\/td><td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 46% m\u1ed7i 100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Scalp Nhanh L\u1eeba \u0110\u1ea3o<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>0.8:1<\/td><td>2% c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro<\/td><td>-0.02R<\/td><td>Thua l\u1ed7 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cho b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>EV = (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng \u00d7 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn Trung b\u00ecnh) - (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Thua \u00d7 L\u1ed7 Trung b\u00ecnh) - Chi ph\u00ed Giao d\u1ecbch<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n n\u00e0y ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao nhi\u1ec1u chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn theo tr\u1ef1c gi\u00e1c cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 v\u1ebb h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n\u2014gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang l\u00e0 \u00e2m theo to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0o m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c minh, nh\u1eadn ra r\u1eb1ng ngay c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng tr\u00ean 60% c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra thua l\u1ed7 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u1edfng-r\u1ee7i ro kh\u00f4ng thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Y\u00eau c\u1ea7u K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1eabu Quan tr\u1ecdng<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>M\u1ed9t kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ecb b\u1ecf qua trong vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft cho \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea. C\u00e1c m\u1eabu giao d\u1ecbch nh\u1ecf t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn sai l\u1ea7m v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ban \u0111\u1ea7u h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng l\u1ea1i g\u00e2y th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o c\u1ea3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady mong mu\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng g\u1ea7n 50% y\u00eau c\u1ea7u m\u1eabu l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 kh\u1ecfi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, trong khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u1ef1c cao ho\u1eb7c th\u1ea5p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u1eadp d\u1eef li\u1ec7u nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th><th>95% Tin c\u1eady<\/th><th>99% Tin c\u1eady<\/th><th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c T\u00ednh to\u00e1n<\/th><th>H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 Th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>50%<\/td><td>385 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>664 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>n = (z\u00b2\u00d7p\u00d7(1-p))\/E\u00b2<\/td><td>3-6 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60%<\/td><td>369 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>635 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>trong \u0111\u00f3:<\/td><td>3-6 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70%<\/td><td>323 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>556 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>z = z-score cho m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady<\/td><td>2-5 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>80%<\/td><td>246 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>423 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>p = t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn (t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng)<\/td><td>2-4 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>90%<\/td><td>139 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>239 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><td>E = bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 sai s\u1ed1 (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 0.05)<\/td><td>1-2 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu \u0111\u1ee7, ngay c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1nh c\u0169ng s\u1ebd tr\u1ea3i qua c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t k\u00e9m do ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u1eeb b\u1ecf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n. C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 theo d\u00f5i hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Pocket Option gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch duy tr\u00ec k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt qua c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi n\u00e0y b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>R\u1ee7i ro Ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n: H\u00e0m S\u1ed1ng s\u00f3t To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00f3 l\u1ebd kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t nh\u01b0ng \u00edt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec3u nh\u1ea5t trong giao d\u1ecbch l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n\u2014x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t v\u1ed1n giao d\u1ecbch m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng. H\u00e0m x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t n\u00e0y n\u1eafm b\u1eaft s\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00e1c ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p gi\u1eefa k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf, ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m, v\u00e0 t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ngay c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng tuy\u1ec7t v\u1eddi c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n cao nguy hi\u1ec3m khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c ho\u1eb7c v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc v\u1eabn tr\u1ea3i qua th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c trong n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>R\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>R = ((1-Edge)\/(1+Edge))^Capital Units<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong \u0111\u00f3 Edge \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 55% = l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf 0.05) v\u00e0 Capital Units b\u1eb1ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n chia cho r\u1ee7i ro ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n $10,000 v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro $100 m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch = 100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb v\u1ed1n).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>H\u1ed3 s\u01a1 Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/th><th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th><th>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf (% c\u1ee7a V\u1ed1n)<\/th><th>R\u1ee7i ro Ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n (%)<\/th><th>Di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i Th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn B\u1ea3o th\u1ee7<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>1% ($100 c\u1ee7a $10,000)<\/td><td>0.04%<\/td><td>Lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>R\u1ee7i ro Trung b\u00ecnh<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>2% ($200 c\u1ee7a $10,000)<\/td><td>3.98%<\/td><td>1 trong 25 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc T\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>3% ($300 c\u1ee7a $10,000)<\/td><td>20.27%<\/td><td>1 trong 5 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>R\u1ea5t T\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>5% ($500 c\u1ee7a $10,000)<\/td><td>68.26%<\/td><td>2 trong 3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u01b0\u1eddng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh. M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trung b\u00ecnh v\u1edbi k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u00e2m thanh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc s\u1ebd li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i l\u00e2u h\u01a1n ngay c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch. C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Pocket Option cho ph\u00e9p t\u00f9y ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t Tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1: Chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho C\u00e1c Chu\u1ed7i Kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 Tr\u00e1nh<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ngo\u00e0i c\u00e1c x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u01a1n l\u1ebb, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1\u2014kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ea3i qua c\u00e1c chu\u1ed7i th\u1eafng ho\u1eb7c thua li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chu\u1ed7i thua kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n n\u1eb1m trong k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ea3i qua N l\u1ea7n thua li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp = (1 - T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng)^N<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 60%, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a 5 l\u1ea7n thua li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp = (0.4)^5 = 1.02%<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n m\u1ed7i 98 giao d\u1ecbch\u2014m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc thay v\u00ec b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th><th>3 L\u1ea7n Thua Li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp<\/th><th>5 L\u1ea7n Thua Li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp<\/th><th>7 L\u1ea7n Thua Li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp<\/th><th>T\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t Xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>50%<\/td><td>12.5% (1 trong 8)<\/td><td>3.13% (1 trong 32)<\/td><td>0.78% (1 trong 128)<\/td><td>Chu\u1ed7i 7 l\u1ea7n thua kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed7i 128 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>55%<\/td><td>9.11% (1 trong 11)<\/td><td>1.85% (1 trong 54)<\/td><td>0.37% (1 trong 267)<\/td><td>Chu\u1ed7i 7 l\u1ea7n thua kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed7i 267 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60%<\/td><td>6.40% (1 trong 16)<\/td><td>1.02% (1 trong 98)<\/td><td>0.16% (1 trong 610)<\/td><td>Chu\u1ed7i 7 l\u1ea7n thua kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed7i 610 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>65%<\/td><td>4.29% (1 trong 23)<\/td><td>0.53% (1 trong 190)<\/td><td>0.06% (1 trong 1,531)<\/td><td>Chu\u1ed7i 7 l\u1ea7n thua kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed7i 1,531 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p Michael S. ghi nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh trong m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i thua 6 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ea7y th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho Pocket Option. \"Hi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t 2.7% v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i\u2014ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 n\u00f3 s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n m\u1ed7i 223 giao d\u1ecbch\u2014\u0111\u00e3 ng\u0103n t\u00f4i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng,\" anh gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. \"N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 khung x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t n\u00e0y, t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 do m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, t\u00f4i duy tr\u00ec k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u00e0 12 giao d\u1ecbch ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 75%, ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m.\"<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c: Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Khoa h\u1ecdc vs. Ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc gi\u1eefa vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong\u2014qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 cho d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed theo c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. S\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea tinh vi duy tr\u00ec t\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong khi n\u00e2ng cao gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t ngo\u00e0i m\u1eabu thay v\u00ec ch\u1ec9 t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong m\u1eabu. S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf kh\u1ecfi nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 v\u1ebb \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng trong c\u00e1c b\u00e0i ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0ng s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 khi \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a<\/th><th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p<\/th><th>X\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd<\/th><th>C\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th><th>Nh\u1eefng C\u1ea1m b\u1eaby Th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u00f4<\/td><td>Ki\u1ec3m tra t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p tham s\u1ed1<\/td><td>R\u1ea5t Th\u1ea5p (r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong cao)<\/td><td>1. X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tham s\u1ed12. Ki\u1ec3m tra t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p3. Ch\u1ecdn l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cao nh\u1ea5t<\/td><td>T\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong cao v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t k\u00e9m trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi<\/td><td>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a v\u00e0 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1<\/td><td>Cao (duy tr\u00ec t\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd)<\/td><td>1. Chia d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c \u0111o\u1ea1n2. T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a tr\u00ean \u0111o\u1ea1n 13. Ki\u1ec3m tra tr\u00ean \u0111o\u1ea1n 24. Ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi<\/td><td>Y\u00eau c\u1ea7u d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean t\u00ednh to\u00e1n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo<\/td><td>Ki\u1ec3m tra chu\u1ed7i ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean<\/td><td>Cao (ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n)<\/td><td>1. T\u1ea1o chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch2. Ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean h\u00f3a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea33. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i4. \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t<\/td><td>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p y\u00eau c\u1ea7u ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m chuy\u00ean d\u1ee5ng<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ki\u1ec3m tra \u0110\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y Tham s\u1ed1<\/td><td>\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ph\u1ea1m vi tham s\u1ed1<\/td><td>Trung b\u00ecnh-Cao (x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh)<\/td><td>1. Ch\u1ecdn tham s\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n2. Ki\u1ec3m tra c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn th\u1ec3 nh\u1ecf3. L\u1eadp b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y4. Ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh<\/td><td>C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 c\u00e1c c\u00e0i \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ed1i \u01b0u n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi\u2014m\u1ed9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh cu\u1ed9n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1\u2014cung c\u1ea5p ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn tham s\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y chia d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed th\u00e0nh nhi\u1ec1u \u0111o\u1ea1n, t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u00e0 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c tr\u00ean \u0111o\u1ea1n ti\u1ebfp theo, sau \u0111\u00f3 cu\u1ed9n qua to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 t\u1eadp d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c minh hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n qua c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi (WFE) cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t ph\u00e9p \u0111o ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u1ec1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>WFE = (Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Ngo\u00e0i M\u1eabu \u00f7 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Trong M\u1eabu) \u00d7 100%<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1eafm \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb WFE tr\u00ean 70%, ch\u1ec9 ra t\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 thay v\u00ec ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong. C\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u01b0\u1edbi 50% m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd g\u1ee3i \u00fd r\u1eb1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0 s\u1ebd ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u00e9m h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng khi tri\u1ec3n khai trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>WFE &gt; 80%: T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 xu\u1ea5t s\u1eafc (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>WFE 65-80%: T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh (ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>WFE 50-65%: T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi (c\u1ea7n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>WFE &lt; 50%: T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 k\u00e9m (x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i cao)<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u1ef1u nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n Jennifer L. \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t n\u00e0y v\u00e0o qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean Pocket Option, th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n tr\u00ean 17 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p tham s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Trong khi m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u h\u00ecnh t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng 87% trong m\u1eabu, hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 42%, ch\u1ec9 ra s\u1ef1 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong nguy hi\u1ec3m. C\u00f4 thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ecdn m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u h\u00ecnh v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong m\u1eabu khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n h\u01a1n 62% nh\u01b0ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi 79%, sau \u0111\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. \"S\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh,\" c\u00f4 l\u01b0u \u00fd, \"m\u00e0 l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i n\u1eafm b\u1eaft h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 thay v\u00ec c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 tr\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.\"<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo: Ki\u1ec3m tra \u00c1p l\u1ef1c D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n C\u1ef1c \u0111oan<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ngo\u00e0i ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n v\u00e0ng cho x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c. K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tinh vi n\u00e0y \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean c\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t thay th\u1ebf, ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay v\u00ec chu\u1ed7i l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u01a1n l\u1ebb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n trong ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Monte Carlo gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng: c\u00e1c chu\u1ed7i l\u1ecbch s\u1eed ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t trong v\u00f4 s\u1ed1 s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean h\u00f3a chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0\/ho\u1eb7c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c thu\u1ed9c t\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, Monte Carlo ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 ph\u1ea1m vi hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ban \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong giao d\u1ecbch t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Monte Carlo<\/th><th>\u0110\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a<\/th><th>Ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau<\/th><th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro<\/th><th>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean Pocket Option<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>S\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn (95%)<\/td><td>S\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t trong 95% m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng<\/td><td>&lt; 25% c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n<\/td><td>\u0110\u1eb7t \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 t\u00e2m l\u00fd v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh<\/td><td>M\u00e1y t\u00ednh r\u1ee7i ro v\u1edbi t\u00edch h\u1ee3p Monte Carlo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>S\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m T\u1ed1i \u0111a (99%)<\/td><td>S\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t trong 99% m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng<\/td><td>&lt; 40% c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n<\/td><td>X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft<\/td><td>C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (12 th\u00e1ng)<\/td><td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng k\u1ebft th\u00fac c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td><td>&gt; 80%<\/td><td>\u0110\u1eb7t k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/td><td>B\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ec3n qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td><td>T\u00ednh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td><td>D\u01b0\u01a1ng (l\u1ec7ch ph\u1ea3i)<\/td><td>X\u00e1c minh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o ra nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eafng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n thua l\u1edbn<\/td><td>C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 tr\u1ef1c quan h\u00f3a ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo li\u00ean t\u1ee5c ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu quan tr\u1ecdng trong c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 v\u1ebb m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong ki\u1ec3m tra th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u00e0 n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng s\u1ebd v\u1eabn \u1ea9n cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf\u2014th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng David R. \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Monte Carlo to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho Pocket Option b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng 10,000 m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng v\u1edbi chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean. Trong khi ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a anh ta cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a ch\u1ec9 18%, Monte Carlo ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m 95% tin c\u1eady l\u00e0 31% v\u00e0 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m 99% tin c\u1eady l\u00e0 42%. \"Ki\u1ec3m tra th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u00f4i gi\u1ea3m k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf xu\u1ed1ng 30% tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n,\" anh gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. \"Ba th\u00e1ng sau, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m 29%\u2014ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n n\u1eb1m trong d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Monte Carlo nh\u01b0ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ban \u0111\u1ea7u g\u1ee3i \u00fd. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y, t\u00f4i s\u1ebd s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m tr\u00ean 40%, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn t\u00f4i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc v\u00e0o \u0111\u00fang th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m sai l\u1ea7m.\"<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng: Hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh R\u1ee7i ro \u0110\u1ed9ng<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf tinh vi th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro, hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec r\u1ee7i ro nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng dao \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch nghi\u1ec7p d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y duy tr\u00ec ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m r\u1ee7i ro kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i qua c\u00e1c m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau, ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n thua l\u1ed7 qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong khi t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00e0:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf = V\u1ed1n R\u1ee7i ro \u00d7 T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 R\u1ee7i ro \u00f7 (Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u00d7 H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1)<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong \u0111\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111o b\u1eb1ng Ph\u1ea1m vi Th\u1ef1c Trung b\u00ecnh (ATR) v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u1eb1ng s\u1ed1 chu\u1ea9n h\u00f3a chu\u1ea9n h\u00f3a r\u1ee7i ro qua c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 khung th\u1eddi gian kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>\u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/th><th>\u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/th><th>\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf<\/th><th>V\u00ed d\u1ee5 Th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n (T\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n $10,000, R\u1ee7i ro 2%)<\/th><th>Ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m R\u1ee7i ro<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng B\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng (C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n)<\/td><td>ATR 14 ng\u00e0y = 50 pips<\/td><td>Ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n (1.0\u00d7)<\/td><td>0.4 lots ($200 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td><td>R\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n 2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Th\u1ea5p<\/td><td>ATR 14 ng\u00e0y = 30 pips<\/td><td>T\u0103ng (1.67\u00d7)<\/td><td>0.67 lots ($200 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td><td>R\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n 2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Cao<\/td><td>ATR 14 ng\u00e0y = 80 pips<\/td><td>Gi\u1ea3m (0.625\u00d7)<\/td><td>0.25 lots ($200 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td><td>R\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n 2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng C\u1ef1c \u0111oan<\/td><td>ATR 14 ng\u00e0y = 120 pips<\/td><td>Gi\u1ea3m \u0110\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 (0.417\u00d7)<\/td><td>0.17 lots ($200 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td><td>R\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n 2%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch xu h\u01b0\u1edbng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 theo m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i m\u00e0 c\u00f2n theo chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. C\u00e1c khung to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tinh vi n\u00e0y t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n n\u1eefa b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c co l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi n\u00f3 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n trong h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ti\u00eau ch\u00ed Kelly: Ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 V\u1ed1n T\u1ed1i \u01b0u To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ti\u00eau ch\u00ed Kelly \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho \u0111\u1ec9nh cao to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf, t\u00ednh to\u00e1n ph\u1ea7n v\u1ed1n l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft t\u1ed1i \u01b0u \u0111\u1ec3 r\u1ee7i ro tr\u00ean m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u1ee7a t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1i \u0111a v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Kelly % = W - [(1 - W) \u00f7 R]<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong \u0111\u00f3 W l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (th\u1eadp ph\u00e2n) v\u00e0 R l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng\/thua (l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh chia cho l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>H\u1ed3 s\u01a1 Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/th><th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th><th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng\/Thua<\/th><th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Kelly<\/th><th>Half-Kelly (Khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb)<\/th><th>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n Th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>\u0110\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t Cao<\/td><td>65%<\/td><td>1.0<\/td><td>30.0%<\/td><td>15.0%<\/td><td>Qu\u00e1 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch (ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai cao)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u0110\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>1.5<\/td><td>21.7%<\/td><td>10.8%<\/td><td>V\u1eabn qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c cho \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Theo Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td><td>45%<\/td><td>2.5<\/td><td>18.3%<\/td><td>9.2%<\/td><td>Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u0110\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td><td>35%<\/td><td>3.0<\/td><td>8.8%<\/td><td>4.4%<\/td><td>C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc Kelly ph\u00e2n \u0111o\u1ea1n (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 1\/2 ho\u1eb7c 1\/4 Kelly) \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7 h\u01a1n n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng trong khi duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i t\u00e2m l\u00fd trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi m\u00e0 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m cho k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc Kelly \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t c\u1ea3m x\u00fac \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Thomas J. \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc Kelly ph\u00e2n \u0111o\u1ea1n cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean Pocket Option, t\u00ednh to\u00e1n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1i \u01b0u 7.3% d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 58% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng\/thua 1.2. T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 thay th\u1ebf ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u1ef1c quan tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a anh ta, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 47% trong khi ch\u1ec9 hy sinh 12% t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u00e0ng n\u0103m h\u1ee3p ch\u1ea5t trong m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n 16 th\u00e1ng. \"\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn,\" anh l\u01b0u \u00fd, \"m\u00e0 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc thay v\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch t\u00f9y ti\u1ec7n.\"<\/p><\/div>[cta_button text=\"\"]<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn: Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ebfn Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng Giao d\u1ecbch B\u1ec1n v\u1eefng<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ee7 quan \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 giao d\u1ecbch. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c khung \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y chi ti\u1ebft trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y\u2014t\u00ednh to\u00e1n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p, \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n, t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi, m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo, v\u00e0 k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng\u2014b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m m\u01a1 h\u1ed3 v\u1ec1 \"l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf\" th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c s\u00e2u s\u1eafc nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n t\u00e2m l\u00fd h\u01a1n l\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng. M\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trung b\u00ecnh s\u1ebd li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a ngay c\u1ea3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh tinh vi nh\u1ea5t.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>B\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh to\u00e1n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 100 giao d\u1ecbch l\u1ecbch s\u1eed. Ti\u1ebfp theo, \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1edbi h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n b\u1eb1ng ","body_html_source":{"label":"Body HTML","type":"wysiwyg","formatted_value":"<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>\u0110\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c: V\u01b0\u1ee3t qua T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n m\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn giao d\u1ecbch b\u00e1n l\u1ebb. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua m\u1ed9t khung to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t th\u1eafng, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3, t\u00ednh b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu, v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p &#8220;s\u0103n ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o&#8221; v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi 87% nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch b\u00e1n l\u1ebb. Trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi nghi\u1ec7p d\u01b0 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt m\u1edbi ho\u1eb7c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai, v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf\u2014nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c cho ph\u00e9p \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t tr\u00ean 17 chi\u1ec1u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea kh\u00e1c nhau. \u0110\u1ed9 s\u00e2u ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o ra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i th\u00f4ng qua ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean\u2014m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u1ecfi 93% ng\u01b0\u1eddi cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t<\/th>\n<th>\u0110\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a<\/th>\n<th>Ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n Chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p<\/th>\n<th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p T\u00ednh to\u00e1n<\/th>\n<th>M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 Quan tr\u1ecdng<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/td>\n<td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn\/l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>\u2265 0.3R (R = \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td>\n<td>(Win% \u00d7 Avg Win) &#8211; (Loss% \u00d7 Avg Loss)<\/td>\n<td>Quan tr\u1ecdng (n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td>\n<td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn g\u1ed9p so v\u1edbi l\u1ed7<\/td>\n<td>\u2265 1.7<\/td>\n<td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn G\u1ed9p \u00f7 L\u1ed7 G\u1ed9p<\/td>\n<td>Cao (ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Sharpe<\/td>\n<td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo r\u1ee7i ro<\/td>\n<td>\u2265 1.5 (h\u00e0ng n\u0103m)<\/td>\n<td>(L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c &#8211; T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Kh\u00f4ng r\u1ee7i ro) \u00f7 \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch Chu\u1ea9n<\/td>\n<td>Cao (th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00dd ngh\u0129a Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea<\/td>\n<td>M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean<\/td>\n<td>\u2265 95% (p &lt; 0.05)<\/td>\n<td>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n Z-score so v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean<\/td>\n<td>Quan tr\u1ecdng (x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u1ef1u nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Robert M. \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng khung nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn giao d\u1ecbch EUR\/USD c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng b\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ec3n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a Pocket Option. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng 58% tr\u00ean 43 giao d\u1ecbch, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch s\u00e2u h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i: k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ch\u1ec9 0.12R, h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 1.3, v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb p 0.22\u2014cho th\u1ea5y 22% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a anh ta ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean thay v\u00ec m\u1ed9t l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ng\u0103n anh ta ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ph\u00e2n t\u00edch to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee9u anh ta kh\u1ecfi m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c khi h\u1ed3i quy v\u1ec1 trung b\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng: N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a Giao d\u1ecbch C\u00f3 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u1ea1i c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t cho Pocket Option l\u00e0 kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng (EV)\u2014k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t m\u1eabu l\u1edbn. Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y t\u1eeb l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u1ec7u m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn theo th\u1eddi gian, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n trong k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u1edfng-r\u1ee7i ro, v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd duy nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trung b\u00ecnh d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c (R). M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi EV d\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn theo to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t m\u1eabu \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn, trong khi c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn EV \u00e2m kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thua l\u1ed7 b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y hay nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c ch\u1ee7 quan v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>H\u1ed3 s\u01a1 Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/th>\n<th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th>\n<th>Th\u01b0\u1edfng:R\u1ee7i ro<\/th>\n<th>Chi ph\u00ed M\u1ed7i Giao d\u1ecbch<\/th>\n<th>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng<\/th>\n<th>H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 D\u00e0i h\u1ea1n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0110\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t Cao<\/td>\n<td>67%<\/td>\n<td>1:1<\/td>\n<td>1% c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro<\/td>\n<td>+0.33R<\/td>\n<td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 33% m\u1ed7i 100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0110\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng<\/td>\n<td>55%<\/td>\n<td>1.5:1<\/td>\n<td>2% c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro<\/td>\n<td>+0.29R<\/td>\n<td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 29% m\u1ed7i 100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Theo Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td>\n<td>42%<\/td>\n<td>2.5:1<\/td>\n<td>1% c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro<\/td>\n<td>+0.46R<\/td>\n<td>L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 46% m\u1ed7i 100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Scalp Nhanh L\u1eeba \u0110\u1ea3o<\/td>\n<td>60%<\/td>\n<td>0.8:1<\/td>\n<td>2% c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro<\/td>\n<td>-0.02R<\/td>\n<td>Thua l\u1ed7 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cho b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>EV = (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng \u00d7 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn Trung b\u00ecnh) &#8211; (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Thua \u00d7 L\u1ed7 Trung b\u00ecnh) &#8211; Chi ph\u00ed Giao d\u1ecbch<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n n\u00e0y ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao nhi\u1ec1u chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn theo tr\u1ef1c gi\u00e1c cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 v\u1ebb h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n\u2014gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang l\u00e0 \u00e2m theo to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0o m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c minh, nh\u1eadn ra r\u1eb1ng ngay c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng tr\u00ean 60% c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra thua l\u1ed7 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u1edfng-r\u1ee7i ro kh\u00f4ng thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Y\u00eau c\u1ea7u K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1eabu Quan tr\u1ecdng<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>M\u1ed9t kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ecb b\u1ecf qua trong vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft cho \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea. C\u00e1c m\u1eabu giao d\u1ecbch nh\u1ecf t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn sai l\u1ea7m v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ban \u0111\u1ea7u h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng l\u1ea1i g\u00e2y th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o c\u1ea3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady mong mu\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng g\u1ea7n 50% y\u00eau c\u1ea7u m\u1eabu l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 kh\u1ecfi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, trong khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u1ef1c cao ho\u1eb7c th\u1ea5p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u1eadp d\u1eef li\u1ec7u nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th>\n<th>95% Tin c\u1eady<\/th>\n<th>99% Tin c\u1eady<\/th>\n<th>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c T\u00ednh to\u00e1n<\/th>\n<th>H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 Th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>50%<\/td>\n<td>385 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>664 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>n = (z\u00b2\u00d7p\u00d7(1-p))\/E\u00b2<\/td>\n<td>3-6 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>60%<\/td>\n<td>369 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>635 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>trong \u0111\u00f3:<\/td>\n<td>3-6 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>70%<\/td>\n<td>323 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>556 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>z = z-score cho m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady<\/td>\n<td>2-5 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>80%<\/td>\n<td>246 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>423 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>p = t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn (t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng)<\/td>\n<td>2-4 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>90%<\/td>\n<td>139 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>239 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<td>E = bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 sai s\u1ed1 (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 0.05)<\/td>\n<td>1-2 th\u00e1ng giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu \u0111\u1ee7, ngay c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1nh c\u0169ng s\u1ebd tr\u1ea3i qua c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t k\u00e9m do ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u1eeb b\u1ecf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n. C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 theo d\u00f5i hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Pocket Option gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch duy tr\u00ec k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt qua c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi n\u00e0y b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>R\u1ee7i ro Ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n: H\u00e0m S\u1ed1ng s\u00f3t To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00f3 l\u1ebd kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t nh\u01b0ng \u00edt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec3u nh\u1ea5t trong giao d\u1ecbch l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n\u2014x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t v\u1ed1n giao d\u1ecbch m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng. H\u00e0m x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t n\u00e0y n\u1eafm b\u1eaft s\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00e1c ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p gi\u1eefa k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf, ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m, v\u00e0 t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ngay c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng tuy\u1ec7t v\u1eddi c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n cao nguy hi\u1ec3m khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c ho\u1eb7c v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc v\u1eabn tr\u1ea3i qua th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c trong n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>R\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>R = ((1-Edge)\/(1+Edge))^Capital Units<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong \u0111\u00f3 Edge \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 55% = l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf 0.05) v\u00e0 Capital Units b\u1eb1ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n chia cho r\u1ee7i ro ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n $10,000 v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro $100 m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch = 100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb v\u1ed1n).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>H\u1ed3 s\u01a1 Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/th>\n<th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th>\n<th>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf (% c\u1ee7a V\u1ed1n)<\/th>\n<th>R\u1ee7i ro Ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n (%)<\/th>\n<th>Di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i Th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>C\u00e1ch Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn B\u1ea3o th\u1ee7<\/td>\n<td>55%<\/td>\n<td>1% ($100 c\u1ee7a $10,000)<\/td>\n<td>0.04%<\/td>\n<td>Lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R\u1ee7i ro Trung b\u00ecnh<\/td>\n<td>55%<\/td>\n<td>2% ($200 c\u1ee7a $10,000)<\/td>\n<td>3.98%<\/td>\n<td>1 trong 25 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc T\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng<\/td>\n<td>55%<\/td>\n<td>3% ($300 c\u1ee7a $10,000)<\/td>\n<td>20.27%<\/td>\n<td>1 trong 5 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R\u1ea5t T\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng<\/td>\n<td>55%<\/td>\n<td>5% ($500 c\u1ee7a $10,000)<\/td>\n<td>68.26%<\/td>\n<td>2 trong 3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u01b0\u1eddng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh. M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trung b\u00ecnh v\u1edbi k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u00e2m thanh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc s\u1ebd li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i l\u00e2u h\u01a1n ngay c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch. C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Pocket Option cho ph\u00e9p t\u00f9y ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t Tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1: Chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho C\u00e1c Chu\u1ed7i Kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 Tr\u00e1nh<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ngo\u00e0i c\u00e1c x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u01a1n l\u1ebb, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1\u2014kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ea3i qua c\u00e1c chu\u1ed7i th\u1eafng ho\u1eb7c thua li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chu\u1ed7i thua kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n n\u1eb1m trong k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ea3i qua N l\u1ea7n thua li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp = (1 &#8211; T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng)^N<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 60%, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a 5 l\u1ea7n thua li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp = (0.4)^5 = 1.02%<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n m\u1ed7i 98 giao d\u1ecbch\u2014m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc thay v\u00ec b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th>\n<th>3 L\u1ea7n Thua Li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp<\/th>\n<th>5 L\u1ea7n Thua Li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp<\/th>\n<th>7 L\u1ea7n Thua Li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp<\/th>\n<th>T\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t Xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>50%<\/td>\n<td>12.5% (1 trong 8)<\/td>\n<td>3.13% (1 trong 32)<\/td>\n<td>0.78% (1 trong 128)<\/td>\n<td>Chu\u1ed7i 7 l\u1ea7n thua kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed7i 128 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>55%<\/td>\n<td>9.11% (1 trong 11)<\/td>\n<td>1.85% (1 trong 54)<\/td>\n<td>0.37% (1 trong 267)<\/td>\n<td>Chu\u1ed7i 7 l\u1ea7n thua kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed7i 267 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>60%<\/td>\n<td>6.40% (1 trong 16)<\/td>\n<td>1.02% (1 trong 98)<\/td>\n<td>0.16% (1 trong 610)<\/td>\n<td>Chu\u1ed7i 7 l\u1ea7n thua kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed7i 610 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>65%<\/td>\n<td>4.29% (1 trong 23)<\/td>\n<td>0.53% (1 trong 190)<\/td>\n<td>0.06% (1 trong 1,531)<\/td>\n<td>Chu\u1ed7i 7 l\u1ea7n thua kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed7i 1,531 giao d\u1ecbch<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p Michael S. ghi nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh trong m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i thua 6 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ea7y th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho Pocket Option. &#8220;Hi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t 2.7% v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i\u2014ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 n\u00f3 s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n m\u1ed7i 223 giao d\u1ecbch\u2014\u0111\u00e3 ng\u0103n t\u00f4i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng,&#8221; anh gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. &#8220;N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 khung x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t n\u00e0y, t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 do m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, t\u00f4i duy tr\u00ec k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u00e0 12 giao d\u1ecbch ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 75%, ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c: Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p Khoa h\u1ecdc vs. Ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc gi\u1eefa vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong\u2014qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 cho d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed theo c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. S\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea tinh vi duy tr\u00ec t\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong khi n\u00e2ng cao gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t ngo\u00e0i m\u1eabu thay v\u00ec ch\u1ec9 t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong m\u1eabu. S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf kh\u1ecfi nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 v\u1ebb \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng trong c\u00e1c b\u00e0i ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0ng s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 khi \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a<\/th>\n<th>Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p<\/th>\n<th>X\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd<\/th>\n<th>C\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n<\/th>\n<th>Nh\u1eefng C\u1ea1m b\u1eaby Th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u00f4<\/td>\n<td>Ki\u1ec3m tra t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p tham s\u1ed1<\/td>\n<td>R\u1ea5t Th\u1ea5p (r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong cao)<\/td>\n<td>1. X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tham s\u1ed12. Ki\u1ec3m tra t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p3. Ch\u1ecdn l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cao nh\u1ea5t<\/td>\n<td>T\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong cao v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t k\u00e9m trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi<\/td>\n<td>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a v\u00e0 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1<\/td>\n<td>Cao (duy tr\u00ec t\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd)<\/td>\n<td>1. Chia d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c \u0111o\u1ea1n2. T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a tr\u00ean \u0111o\u1ea1n 13. Ki\u1ec3m tra tr\u00ean \u0111o\u1ea1n 24. Ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi<\/td>\n<td>Y\u00eau c\u1ea7u d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean t\u00ednh to\u00e1n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo<\/td>\n<td>Ki\u1ec3m tra chu\u1ed7i ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean<\/td>\n<td>Cao (ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n)<\/td>\n<td>1. T\u1ea1o chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch2. Ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean h\u00f3a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea33. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i4. \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t<\/td>\n<td>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p y\u00eau c\u1ea7u ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m chuy\u00ean d\u1ee5ng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ki\u1ec3m tra \u0110\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y Tham s\u1ed1<\/td>\n<td>\u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ph\u1ea1m vi tham s\u1ed1<\/td>\n<td>Trung b\u00ecnh-Cao (x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh)<\/td>\n<td>1. Ch\u1ecdn tham s\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n2. Ki\u1ec3m tra c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn th\u1ec3 nh\u1ecf3. L\u1eadp b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y4. Ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh<\/td>\n<td>C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 c\u00e1c c\u00e0i \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ed1i \u01b0u n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi\u2014m\u1ed9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh cu\u1ed9n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1\u2014cung c\u1ea5p ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn tham s\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y chia d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed th\u00e0nh nhi\u1ec1u \u0111o\u1ea1n, t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u00e0 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c tr\u00ean \u0111o\u1ea1n ti\u1ebfp theo, sau \u0111\u00f3 cu\u1ed9n qua to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 t\u1eadp d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c minh hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n qua c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi (WFE) cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t ph\u00e9p \u0111o ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u1ec1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>WFE = (Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Ngo\u00e0i M\u1eabu \u00f7 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Trong M\u1eabu) \u00d7 100%<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1eafm \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb WFE tr\u00ean 70%, ch\u1ec9 ra t\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 thay v\u00ec ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong. C\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u01b0\u1edbi 50% m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd g\u1ee3i \u00fd r\u1eb1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0 s\u1ebd ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u00e9m h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng khi tri\u1ec3n khai trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>WFE &gt; 80%: T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 xu\u1ea5t s\u1eafc (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>WFE 65-80%: T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh (ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>WFE 50-65%: T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi (c\u1ea7n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>WFE &lt; 50%: T\u00ednh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 k\u00e9m (x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i cao)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u1ef1u nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n Jennifer L. \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t n\u00e0y v\u00e0o qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean Pocket Option, th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n tr\u00ean 17 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p tham s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Trong khi m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u h\u00ecnh t\u1ea1o ra l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng 87% trong m\u1eabu, hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 42%, ch\u1ec9 ra s\u1ef1 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong nguy hi\u1ec3m. C\u00f4 thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ecdn m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u h\u00ecnh v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong m\u1eabu khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n h\u01a1n 62% nh\u01b0ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi 79%, sau \u0111\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. &#8220;S\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh,&#8221; c\u00f4 l\u01b0u \u00fd, &#8220;m\u00e0 l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i n\u1eafm b\u1eaft h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 thay v\u00ec c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 tr\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo: Ki\u1ec3m tra \u00c1p l\u1ef1c D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n C\u1ef1c \u0111oan<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ngo\u00e0i ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n v\u00e0ng cho x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c. K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tinh vi n\u00e0y \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean c\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t thay th\u1ebf, ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay v\u00ec chu\u1ed7i l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u01a1n l\u1ebb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n trong ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Monte Carlo gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng: c\u00e1c chu\u1ed7i l\u1ecbch s\u1eed ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t trong v\u00f4 s\u1ed1 s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean h\u00f3a chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0\/ho\u1eb7c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c thu\u1ed9c t\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, Monte Carlo ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 ph\u1ea1m vi hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ban \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong giao d\u1ecbch t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Monte Carlo<\/th>\n<th>\u0110\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a<\/th>\n<th>Ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau<\/th>\n<th>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd R\u1ee7i ro<\/th>\n<th>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean Pocket Option<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>S\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn (95%)<\/td>\n<td>S\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t trong 95% m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng<\/td>\n<td>&lt; 25% c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n<\/td>\n<td>\u0110\u1eb7t \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 t\u00e2m l\u00fd v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh<\/td>\n<td>M\u00e1y t\u00ednh r\u1ee7i ro v\u1edbi t\u00edch h\u1ee3p Monte Carlo<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>S\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m T\u1ed1i \u0111a (99%)<\/td>\n<td>S\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t trong 99% m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng<\/td>\n<td>&lt; 40% c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n<\/td>\n<td>X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft<\/td>\n<td>C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (12 th\u00e1ng)<\/td>\n<td>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng k\u1ebft th\u00fac c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td>\n<td>&gt; 80%<\/td>\n<td>\u0110\u1eb7t k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/td>\n<td>B\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ec3n qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0110\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td>\n<td>T\u00ednh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn<\/td>\n<td>D\u01b0\u01a1ng (l\u1ec7ch ph\u1ea3i)<\/td>\n<td>X\u00e1c minh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o ra nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eafng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n thua l\u1edbn<\/td>\n<td>C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 tr\u1ef1c quan h\u00f3a ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo li\u00ean t\u1ee5c ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu quan tr\u1ecdng trong c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 v\u1ebb m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong ki\u1ec3m tra th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u00e0 n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng s\u1ebd v\u1eabn \u1ea9n cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf\u2014th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng David R. \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Monte Carlo to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho Pocket Option b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng 10,000 m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng v\u1edbi chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean. Trong khi ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a anh ta cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a ch\u1ec9 18%, Monte Carlo ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m 95% tin c\u1eady l\u00e0 31% v\u00e0 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m 99% tin c\u1eady l\u00e0 42%. &#8220;Ki\u1ec3m tra th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u00f4i gi\u1ea3m k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf xu\u1ed1ng 30% tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n,&#8221; anh gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch. &#8220;Ba th\u00e1ng sau, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m 29%\u2014ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n n\u1eb1m trong d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Monte Carlo nh\u01b0ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ki\u1ec3m tra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ban \u0111\u1ea7u g\u1ee3i \u00fd. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y, t\u00f4i s\u1ebd s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m tr\u00ean 40%, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn t\u00f4i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc v\u00e0o \u0111\u00fang th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m sai l\u1ea7m.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng: Hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh R\u1ee7i ro \u0110\u1ed9ng<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf tinh vi th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro, hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec r\u1ee7i ro nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng dao \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch nghi\u1ec7p d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y duy tr\u00ec ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m r\u1ee7i ro kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i qua c\u00e1c m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau, ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n thua l\u1ed7 qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong khi t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00e0:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf = V\u1ed1n R\u1ee7i ro \u00d7 T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 R\u1ee7i ro \u00f7 (Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u00d7 H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong \u0111\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111o b\u1eb1ng Ph\u1ea1m vi Th\u1ef1c Trung b\u00ecnh (ATR) v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u1eb1ng s\u1ed1 chu\u1ea9n h\u00f3a chu\u1ea9n h\u00f3a r\u1ee7i ro qua c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 khung th\u1eddi gian kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/th>\n<th>\u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/th>\n<th>\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc V\u1ecb th\u1ebf<\/th>\n<th>V\u00ed d\u1ee5 Th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n (T\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n $10,000, R\u1ee7i ro 2%)<\/th>\n<th>Ph\u01a1i nhi\u1ec5m R\u1ee7i ro<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng B\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng (C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n)<\/td>\n<td>ATR 14 ng\u00e0y = 50 pips<\/td>\n<td>Ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n (1.0\u00d7)<\/td>\n<td>0.4 lots ($200 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td>\n<td>R\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n 2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Th\u1ea5p<\/td>\n<td>ATR 14 ng\u00e0y = 30 pips<\/td>\n<td>T\u0103ng (1.67\u00d7)<\/td>\n<td>0.67 lots ($200 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td>\n<td>R\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n 2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Cao<\/td>\n<td>ATR 14 ng\u00e0y = 80 pips<\/td>\n<td>Gi\u1ea3m (0.625\u00d7)<\/td>\n<td>0.25 lots ($200 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td>\n<td>R\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n 2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng C\u1ef1c \u0111oan<\/td>\n<td>ATR 14 ng\u00e0y = 120 pips<\/td>\n<td>Gi\u1ea3m \u0110\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 (0.417\u00d7)<\/td>\n<td>0.17 lots ($200 r\u1ee7i ro)<\/td>\n<td>R\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n 2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch xu h\u01b0\u1edbng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 theo m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i m\u00e0 c\u00f2n theo chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. C\u00e1c khung to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc tinh vi n\u00e0y t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n n\u1eefa b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c co l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi n\u00f3 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n trong h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Ti\u00eau ch\u00ed Kelly: Ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 V\u1ed1n T\u1ed1i \u01b0u To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ti\u00eau ch\u00ed Kelly \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho \u0111\u1ec9nh cao to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf, t\u00ednh to\u00e1n ph\u1ea7n v\u1ed1n l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft t\u1ed1i \u01b0u \u0111\u1ec3 r\u1ee7i ro tr\u00ean m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u1ee7a t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1i \u0111a v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Kelly % = W &#8211; [(1 &#8211; W) \u00f7 R]<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Trong \u0111\u00f3 W l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (th\u1eadp ph\u00e2n) v\u00e0 R l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng\/thua (l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh chia cho l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>H\u1ed3 s\u01a1 Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/th>\n<th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng<\/th>\n<th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Th\u1eafng\/Thua<\/th>\n<th>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Kelly<\/th>\n<th>Half-Kelly (Khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb)<\/th>\n<th>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n Th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0110\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t Cao<\/td>\n<td>65%<\/td>\n<td>1.0<\/td>\n<td>30.0%<\/td>\n<td>15.0%<\/td>\n<td>Qu\u00e1 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch (ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai cao)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0110\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng<\/td>\n<td>55%<\/td>\n<td>1.5<\/td>\n<td>21.7%<\/td>\n<td>10.8%<\/td>\n<td>V\u1eabn qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c cho \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Theo Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td>\n<td>45%<\/td>\n<td>2.5<\/td>\n<td>18.3%<\/td>\n<td>9.2%<\/td>\n<td>Ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0110\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/td>\n<td>35%<\/td>\n<td>3.0<\/td>\n<td>8.8%<\/td>\n<td>4.4%<\/td>\n<td>C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc Kelly ph\u00e2n \u0111o\u1ea1n (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 1\/2 ho\u1eb7c 1\/4 Kelly) \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sai v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7 h\u01a1n n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng trong khi duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i t\u00e2m l\u00fd trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi m\u00e0 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m cho k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc Kelly \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t c\u1ea3m x\u00fac \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd danh m\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Thomas J. \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc Kelly ph\u00e2n \u0111o\u1ea1n cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean Pocket Option, t\u00ednh to\u00e1n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1i \u01b0u 7.3% d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 58% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng\/thua 1.2. T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 thay th\u1ebf ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u1ef1c quan tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a anh ta, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 47% trong khi ch\u1ec9 hy sinh 12% t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u00e0ng n\u0103m h\u1ee3p ch\u1ea5t trong m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n 16 th\u00e1ng. &#8220;\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn,&#8221; anh l\u01b0u \u00fd, &#8220;m\u00e0 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc thay v\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch t\u00f9y ti\u1ec7n.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n    <div class=\"po-container po-container_width_article\">\n        <a href=\"\/en\/quick-start\/\" class=\"po-line-banner po-article-page__line-banner\">\n            <svg class=\"svg-image po-line-banner__logo\" fill=\"currentColor\" width=\"auto\" height=\"auto\"\n                 aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                <use href=\"#svg-img-logo-white\"><\/use>\n            <\/svg>\n            <span class=\"po-line-banner__btn\"><\/span>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    \n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn: Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ebfn Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng Giao d\u1ecbch B\u1ec1n v\u1eefng<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ee7 quan \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 giao d\u1ecbch. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c khung \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y chi ti\u1ebft trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y\u2014t\u00ednh to\u00e1n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p, \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n, t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi, m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo, v\u00e0 k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng\u2014b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m m\u01a1 h\u1ed3 v\u1ec1 &#8220;l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf&#8221; th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c s\u00e2u s\u1eafc nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n t\u00e2m l\u00fd h\u01a1n l\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng. M\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trung b\u00ecnh s\u1ebd li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a ngay c\u1ea3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh tinh vi nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>B\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh to\u00e1n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 100 giao d\u1ecbch l\u1ecbch s\u1eed. Ti\u1ebfp theo, \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1edbi h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n b\u1eb1ng <\/p>\n"},"faq":[{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ednh gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh?","answer":"\u0110\u1ec3 t\u00ednh gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng (EV), s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c: EV = (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng \u00d7 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh) - (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 thua \u00d7 L\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh) - Chi ph\u00ed giao d\u1ecbch. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 55%, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 thua 45%, l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 1.5R, l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 1R, v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed l\u00e0 0.05R m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch, ph\u00e9p t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0: (0.55 \u00d7 1.5R) - (0.45 \u00d7 1R) - 0.05R = 0.825R - 0.45R - 0.05R = +0.325R m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc t\u1ea1o ra kho\u1ea3ng 0.325 l\u1ea7n s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t m\u1eabu l\u1edbn. \u0110\u1ec3 c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, h\u00e3y t\u00ednh EV s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 100 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb l\u1ecbch s\u1eed t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n Pocket Option c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi EV \u00e2m s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi vi\u1ec7c m\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y hay \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ee7 quan."},{"question":"C\u1ee1 m\u1eabu n\u00e0o t\u00f4i c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh?","answer":"K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady mong mu\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng g\u1ea7n 50%, b\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n kho\u1ea3ng 385 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady 95% v\u00e0 664 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady 99% r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean. Khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng di chuy\u1ec3n xa h\u01a1n kh\u1ecfi 50% (theo b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0o), m\u1eabu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m. T\u00ednh to\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c: n = (z\u00b2\u00d7p\u00d7(1-p))\/E\u00b2, trong \u0111\u00f3 z l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m z cho m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n (1.96 cho 95%), p l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, v\u00e0 E l\u00e0 bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 sai s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 0.05). Nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1ea3 thi qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm sau ch\u1ec9 20-30 giao d\u1ecbch--th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1eabu t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Pocket Option theo d\u00f5i ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea."},{"question":"K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i?","answer":"K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n ngay c\u1ea3 v\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c R = ((1-Edge)\/(1+Edge))^Capital Units \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 55% (Edge = 0.05) s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf 1% (100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb v\u1ed1n), nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 0.04%. Tuy nhi\u00ean, t\u0103ng l\u00ean k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf 3% (33 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb v\u1ed1n) l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n l\u00ean 20.27%--t\u0103ng 500 l\u1ea7n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i. \u1ede k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc 5% (20 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb v\u1ed1n), nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n nh\u1ea3y v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 68.26%, l\u00e0m cho vi\u1ec7c th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf d\u01b0\u01a1ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7 (1-2% m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch) l\u00e0 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p. C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a Pocket Option cho ph\u00e9p thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c thi k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 xung \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng."},{"question":"T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 l\u00e0 g\u00ec v\u00e0 t\u1ea1i sao n\u00f3 quan tr\u1ecdng?","answer":"T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn tham s\u1ed1, ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong trong khi c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. Kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n l\u1ecbch s\u1eed duy nh\u1ea5t, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 chia d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u00e0nh nhi\u1ec1u \u0111o\u1ea1n, t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a tham s\u1ed1 tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t \u0111o\u1ea1n (trong m\u1eabu) v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m tra tr\u00ean \u0111o\u1ea1n ti\u1ebfp theo (ngo\u00e0i m\u1eabu), sau \u0111\u00f3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh qua to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 t\u1eadp d\u1eef li\u1ec7u. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 (WFE) = (Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Ngo\u00e0i M\u1eabu \u00f7 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Trong M\u1eabu) \u00d7 100% \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a--gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tr\u00ean 70% ch\u1ec9 ra c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u01b0\u1edbi 50% cho th\u1ea5y vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong nguy hi\u1ec3m c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch Pocket Option x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p tham s\u1ed1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng duy tr\u00ec hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n qua c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng thay \u0111\u1ed5i thay v\u00ec ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a l\u1eeba d\u1ed1i nhanh ch\u00f3ng suy gi\u1ea3m khi \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf."},{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i?","answer":"M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea1o ra h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t thay th\u1ebf th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean c\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. Trong khi ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng ch\u1ec9 hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, Monte Carlo ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean h\u00f3a chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0\/ho\u1eb7c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c thu\u1ed9c t\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng bao g\u1ed3m: m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u1edf m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady 95% (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau: <25% v\u1ed1n), m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u1edf m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady 99% (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau: <40%), x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong 12 th\u00e1ng (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau: >80%), v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau: l\u1ec7ch ph\u1ea3i\/d\u01b0\u01a1ng). B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n h\u01a1n 5.000 m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng, b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m ch\u00fang trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch Pocket Option \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean Monte Carlo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m 30-40% m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c thay v\u00ec hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u00f3."}],"faq_source":{"label":"FAQ","type":"repeater","formatted_value":[{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ednh gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh?","answer":"\u0110\u1ec3 t\u00ednh gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng (EV), s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c: EV = (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng \u00d7 L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh) - (T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 thua \u00d7 L\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh) - Chi ph\u00ed giao d\u1ecbch. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 55%, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 thua 45%, l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 1.5R, l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 1R, v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed l\u00e0 0.05R m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch, ph\u00e9p t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0: (0.55 \u00d7 1.5R) - (0.45 \u00d7 1R) - 0.05R = 0.825R - 0.45R - 0.05R = +0.325R m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc t\u1ea1o ra kho\u1ea3ng 0.325 l\u1ea7n s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t m\u1eabu l\u1edbn. \u0110\u1ec3 c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, h\u00e3y t\u00ednh EV s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 100 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb l\u1ecbch s\u1eed t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n Pocket Option c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi EV \u00e2m s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi vi\u1ec7c m\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y hay \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ee7 quan."},{"question":"C\u1ee1 m\u1eabu n\u00e0o t\u00f4i c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh?","answer":"K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady mong mu\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng g\u1ea7n 50%, b\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n kho\u1ea3ng 385 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady 95% v\u00e0 664 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady 99% r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean. Khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng di chuy\u1ec3n xa h\u01a1n kh\u1ecfi 50% (theo b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0o), m\u1eabu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m. T\u00ednh to\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c: n = (z\u00b2\u00d7p\u00d7(1-p))\/E\u00b2, trong \u0111\u00f3 z l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m z cho m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n (1.96 cho 95%), p l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, v\u00e0 E l\u00e0 bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 sai s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n (th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 0.05). Nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1ea3 thi qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm sau ch\u1ec9 20-30 giao d\u1ecbch--th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1eabu t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Pocket Option theo d\u00f5i ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea."},{"question":"K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i?","answer":"K\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n ngay c\u1ea3 v\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng d\u01b0\u01a1ng. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c R = ((1-Edge)\/(1+Edge))^Capital Units \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng 55% (Edge = 0.05) s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf 1% (100 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb v\u1ed1n), nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 0.04%. Tuy nhi\u00ean, t\u0103ng l\u00ean k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf 3% (33 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb v\u1ed1n) l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n l\u00ean 20.27%--t\u0103ng 500 l\u1ea7n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i. \u1ede k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc 5% (20 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb v\u1ed1n), nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n nh\u1ea3y v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 68.26%, l\u00e0m cho vi\u1ec7c th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf d\u01b0\u01a1ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7 (1-2% m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch) l\u00e0 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p. C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a Pocket Option cho ph\u00e9p thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c thi k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 xung \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng."},{"question":"T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 l\u00e0 g\u00ec v\u00e0 t\u1ea1i sao n\u00f3 quan tr\u1ecdng?","answer":"T\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn tham s\u1ed1, ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong trong khi c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. Kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n l\u1ecbch s\u1eed duy nh\u1ea5t, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 chia d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u00e0nh nhi\u1ec1u \u0111o\u1ea1n, t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a tham s\u1ed1 tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t \u0111o\u1ea1n (trong m\u1eabu) v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m tra tr\u00ean \u0111o\u1ea1n ti\u1ebfp theo (ngo\u00e0i m\u1eabu), sau \u0111\u00f3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh qua to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 t\u1eadp d\u1eef li\u1ec7u. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 (WFE) = (Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Ngo\u00e0i M\u1eabu \u00f7 Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t Trong M\u1eabu) \u00d7 100% \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a--gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tr\u00ean 70% ch\u1ec9 ra c\u00e1c tham s\u1ed1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u01b0\u1edbi 50% cho th\u1ea5y vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong nguy hi\u1ec3m c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch Pocket Option x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p tham s\u1ed1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng duy tr\u00ec hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n qua c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng thay \u0111\u1ed5i thay v\u00ec ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a l\u1eeba d\u1ed1i nhanh ch\u00f3ng suy gi\u1ea3m khi \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf."},{"question":"L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i?","answer":"M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng Monte Carlo ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea1o ra h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t thay th\u1ebf th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean c\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. Trong khi ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng ch\u1ec9 hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, Monte Carlo ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean h\u00f3a chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0\/ho\u1eb7c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c thu\u1ed9c t\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng bao g\u1ed3m: m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u1edf m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady 95% (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau: <25% v\u1ed1n), m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u1edf m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady 99% (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau: <40%), x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong 12 th\u00e1ng (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau: >80%), v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau: l\u1ec7ch ph\u1ea3i\/d\u01b0\u01a1ng). B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n h\u01a1n 5.000 m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng, b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m ch\u00fang trong giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch Pocket Option \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ecb th\u1ebf d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean Monte Carlo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m 30-40% m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c thay v\u00ec hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u00f3."}]}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.8 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c Pocket Option T\u1ed1t Nh\u1ea5t: L\u1ee3i Th\u1ebf To\u00e1n H\u1ecdc Mang L\u1ea1i L\u1ee3i Nhu\u1eadn 83%<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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