{"id":300149,"date":"2025-07-10T19:28:45","date_gmt":"2025-07-10T19:28:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/news-events\/data\/gex-stock-potential-2\/"},"modified":"2025-07-10T19:28:45","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T19:28:45","slug":"gex-stock-potential","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/vt\/knowledge-base\/trading\/gex-stock-potential\/","title":{"rendered":"Ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX: Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 cho 2024-2025"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":193119,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[47,28,45],"class_list":["post-300149","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading","tag-beginner","tag-investment","tag-stock"],"acf":{"h1":"Ph\u00e2n T\u00edch Ti\u1ec1m N\u0103ng C\u1ed5 Phi\u1ebfu GEX c\u1ee7a Pocket Option","h1_source":{"label":"H1","type":"text","formatted_value":"Ph\u00e2n T\u00edch Ti\u1ec1m N\u0103ng C\u1ed5 Phi\u1ebfu GEX c\u1ee7a Pocket Option"},"description":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch chi ti\u1ebft v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 5 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2024. Pocket Option","description_source":{"label":"Description","type":"textarea","formatted_value":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch chi ti\u1ebft v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 5 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2024. Pocket Option"},"intro":"Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang tr\u1ea3i qua nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh, v\u1edbi GEX (C\u00f4ng ty C\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Gelex) n\u1ed5i l\u00ean nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong Q2\/2024. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3i m\u00e3 to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX, cung c\u1ea5p 5 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng, gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.","intro_source":{"label":"Intro","type":"text","formatted_value":"Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang tr\u1ea3i qua nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh, v\u1edbi GEX (C\u00f4ng ty C\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Gelex) n\u1ed5i l\u00ean nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong Q2\/2024. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3i m\u00e3 to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX, cung c\u1ea5p 5 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng, gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i."},"body_html":"

T\u1ed5ng quan v\u1ec1 T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Gelex (GEX) v\u00e0 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam<\/h2><\/div>

T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Gelex (m\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n: GEX) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong 50 t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111a ng\u00e0nh l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t Vi\u1ec7t Nam, v\u1edbi v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00ean 15.000 t\u1ef7 VND v\u00e0 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n 35 n\u0103m. Ban \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng c\u00f4ng ty Thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0110i\u1ec7n Vi\u1ec7t Nam, GEX \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng quy m\u00f4 g\u1ea5p 7 l\u1ea7n trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng trong 4 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c: thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n (chi\u1ebfm 45% doanh thu), h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng (30%), b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p (15%), v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (10%).<\/p><\/div>

Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, GEX gi\u1eef v\u1ecb tr\u00ed s\u1ed1 1 v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n (37% th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba), x\u1ebfp th\u1ee9 3 trong v\u1eadt li\u1ec7u x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng th\u00f4ng qua Viglacera, v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong 5 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi 12 khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, GEX v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ch\u00ednh Cadivi (CAV) v\u00e0 Thibidi (THI) h\u01a1n 30% v\u1ec1 bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n.<\/p><\/div>

Khi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX<\/b>, \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u1ee7a t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n trong l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng FDI m\u1edbi v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam. GEX \u0111ang \u1edf v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i khi 3 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kinh doanh c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh (thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n, v\u1eadt li\u1ec7u x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p) \u0111\u1ec1u h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1eeb xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c sang Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p><\/div>

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX<\/h2><\/div>

K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kinh doanh v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh<\/h3><\/div>

\u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX<\/b>, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch 18 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1eeb 2020-2023. Trong 3 n\u0103m qua, GEX \u0111\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u00e0ng n\u0103m k\u00e9p (CAGR) 15,8% v\u1ec1 doanh thu v\u00e0 23,5% v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn r\u00f2ng h\u00e0ng n\u0103m, v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh ng\u00e0nh l\u00e0 12,3%. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn g\u1ed9p \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u1eeb 18,7% l\u00ean 22,3% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a chi ph\u00ed.<\/p><\/div>

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1<\/th>2022<\/th>2023<\/th>% T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng<\/th>So v\u1edbi ng\u00e0nh<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Doanh thu (t\u1ef7 VND)<\/td>27,854<\/td>32,612<\/td>+17,1%<\/td>+5,3%<\/td><\/tr>
L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn r\u00f2ng (t\u1ef7 VND)<\/td>1,235<\/td>1,587<\/td>+28,5%<\/td>+11,2%<\/td><\/tr>
EPS (VND)<\/td>2,356<\/td>3,021<\/td>+28,2%<\/td>+10,8%<\/td><\/tr>
ROE (%)<\/td>9,7%<\/td>12,3%<\/td>+2,6%<\/td>+1,5%<\/td><\/tr>
ROA (%)<\/td>3,2%<\/td>4,1%<\/td>+0,9%<\/td>+0,4%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a GEX cho th\u1ea5y ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng. T\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn tr\u00ean v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu (ROE) \u0111\u1ea1t 12,3% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023, cao h\u01a1n 1,5% so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh ng\u00e0nh. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 tr\u00ean v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu l\u00e0 1,8x, cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh ng\u00e0nh (1,3x), nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c M&A v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, GEX \u0111\u00e3 duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ed5 t\u1ee9c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1eeb 10-15% b\u1eb1ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t v\u00e0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu trong 3 n\u0103m qua.<\/p><\/div>

Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n<\/h3><\/div>

GEX \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2025 v\u1edbi 3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3: t\u0103ng th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n l\u00ean 45%, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea5t khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p th\u00eam 1.500ha, v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o 300MW. T\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2030 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trong Top 20 t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1edbi doanh thu 5 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/p><\/div>

Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c M&A \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi 3 giao d\u1ecbch l\u1edbn trong 24 th\u00e1ng qua, \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 t\u0103ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu t\u1ea1i Viglacera l\u00ean 46,5% (t\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 2.850 t\u1ef7 VND). Ban l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o GEX \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng minh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00edch h\u1ee3p hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p sau M&A, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n qua vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Viglacera t\u1eeb 8,7% l\u00ean 12,4% ch\u1ec9 sau 18 th\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi mua l\u1ea1i.<\/p><\/div>

M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/th>2023<\/th>2025<\/th>2030<\/th>Ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n<\/td>37%<\/td>45%<\/td>60%<\/td>\u0110\u1ea1t 80% k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch<\/td><\/tr>
Qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea5t khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p (ha)<\/td>2,850<\/td>4,350<\/td>6,000<\/td>\u0110\u1ea1t 65% k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch<\/td><\/tr>
C\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o (MW)<\/td>75<\/td>300<\/td>750<\/td>\u0110\u1ea1t 25% k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX<\/h2><\/div>

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt cung c\u1ea5p g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn s\u1eafc b\u00e9n v\u1ec1 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX<\/b> trong ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 trung h\u1ea1n. Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a GEX cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trung h\u1ea1n r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2023, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ea1o c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i mua v\u00e0o.<\/p><\/div>

Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/th>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i<\/th>T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u<\/th>\u00dd ngh\u0129a ph\u00e2n t\u00edch<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
RSI (14 ng\u00e0y)<\/td>58,3<\/td>Trung t\u00ednh<\/td>C\u00f2n d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua<\/td><\/tr>
MACD<\/td>0,45<\/td>T\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng MACD c\u1eaft l\u00ean tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng<\/td><\/tr>
MA 50 ng\u00e0y<\/td>28,500 VND<\/td>Tr\u00ean MA (T\u00edch c\u1ef1c)<\/td>Gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean MA50, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trung h\u1ea1n<\/td><\/tr>
D\u1ea3i Bollinger<\/td>Ph\u1ea7n tr\u00ean<\/td>C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh<\/td>Gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n d\u1ea3i tr\u00ean, c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n<\/td><\/tr>
M\u00e2y Ichimoku<\/td>Tr\u00ean m\u00e2y<\/td>T\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td>X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

V\u1ec1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng, c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu GEX \u0111\u00e3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh k\u00eanh t\u0103ng trung h\u1ea1n t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2023, v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c 1,8%\/th\u00e1ng. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch trung b\u00ecnh 10 ng\u00e0y t\u0103ng 45% trong Q1\/2024 so v\u1edbi Q4\/2023, \u0111\u1ea1t 2,7 tri\u1ec7u c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu\/phi\u00ean, cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu n\u00e0y. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Fibonacci cho th\u1ea5y sau khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng 61,8%, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u00e0 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng.<\/p><\/div>

C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u00e0 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i:<\/p><\/div>