{"id":327388,"date":"2025-08-01T02:14:47","date_gmt":"2025-08-01T02:14:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/news-events\/data\/vtp-stocks-plummeted\/"},"modified":"2025-08-01T02:14:47","modified_gmt":"2025-08-01T02:14:47","slug":"vtp-stocks-plummeted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/en\/knowledge-base\/trading\/vtp-stocks-plummeted\/","title":{"rendered":"VTP Stock Sharp Decline: 5 Main Causes and 3 Effective Response Strategies"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Overview of VTP Stock's Sharp Decline<\/h2><\/div>

From the beginning of 2025 until now, VTP stock has dropped sharply<\/b> by over 35%, from 68,000 VND to 44,200 VND (as of April 5, 2025). Viettel Post (VTP) - a logistics company in Vietnam's Top 3 with 16% market share is facing an unprecedented difficult period in the company's recent 5-year history.<\/p><\/div>

This price decline is not an isolated phenomenon but part of a prolonged downward trend since Q4\/2024, reflecting fundamental challenges that Viettel Post is facing. According to data from Pocket Option<\/b>, VTP's average trading volume increased by 230% during declining sessions, indicating strong selling pressure and investor panic.<\/p><\/div>

To make reasonable investment decisions regarding VTP's sharp stock decline<\/b>, investors need to understand clearly: (1) fundamental factors affecting the business, (2) current technical developments, and (3) the outlook for Vietnam's logistics industry in the macroeconomic context of 2025-2026.<\/p><\/div>

5 Main Causes of VTP Stock's Decline<\/h2><\/div>

The phenomenon of Viettel Post stock declining sharply<\/b> stems from the following 5 basic factors, arranged by level of impact:<\/p><\/div>

1. Q1\/2025 Business Results 68.4% Lower Than Same Period<\/h3><\/div>

Viettel Post's Q1\/2025 financial report recorded disappointing results. After-tax profit reached only 18 billion VND, down 68.4% compared to the same period in 2024. Profit margin decreased from 2.95% to just 1.03% - the lowest level in the company's 10-year operating history.<\/p><\/div>

Indicator<\/th>Q1\/2025<\/th>Q1\/2024<\/th>% Change<\/th>Main Cause<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Net Revenue<\/td>1,745 billion VND<\/td>1,932 billion VND<\/td>-9.7%<\/td>Decline in e-commerce orders<\/td><\/tr>
Gross Profit<\/td>92 billion VND<\/td>148 billion VND<\/td>-37.8%<\/td>Fuel costs increased 18%<\/td><\/tr>
After-tax Profit<\/td>18 billion VND<\/td>57 billion VND<\/td>-68.4%<\/td>Increased operating and labor costs<\/td><\/tr>
Profit Margin<\/td>1.03%<\/td>2.95%<\/td>-1.92%<\/td>Price war in logistics industry<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

According to Viettel Post management's explanation, the sharp decline in profit margin was mainly due to: (1) fuel costs increasing 18% compared to the same period, (2) labor costs increasing 12% after basic salary adjustment, and (3) pressure to reduce service prices to compete with foreign competitors.<\/p><\/div>

2. Competitive Pressure from Foreign-funded Rivals<\/h3><\/div>

Vietnam's logistics market is witnessing a fierce battle as foreign \"giants\" continuously pour capital into the market. In 2024-2025 alone, J&T Express invested an additional $150 million in Vietnam, Ninja Van received $250 million from Temasek investment fund, while Best Express expanded with 150 more post offices nationwide.<\/p><\/div>

Company<\/th>2025 Market Share<\/th>2024 Market Share<\/th>Growth Rate<\/th>Main Competitive Advantage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Viettel Post<\/td>16%<\/td>19%<\/td>-3%<\/td>Network of 2,500 service points nationwide<\/td><\/tr>
Giao Hang Nhanh<\/td>21%<\/td>13%<\/td>+8%<\/td>AI system predicting delivery time with 98% accuracy<\/td><\/tr>
J&T Express<\/td>18%<\/td>6%<\/td>+12%<\/td>Prices 15-20% lower than market<\/td><\/tr>
Ninja Van<\/td>13%<\/td>8%<\/td>+15%<\/td>Real-time order tracking technology<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

Viettel Post's biggest weakness currently is outdated technology compared to competitors. According to a report from the Vietnam Logistics Association (VLA), Viettel Post is using a semi-automated sorting system from 2018, while J&T Express and Ninja Van have implemented fully automated sorting systems with 3 times the capacity. This leads to Viettel Post's operating costs being 25-30% higher than competitors.<\/p><\/div>

Technical Analysis: Buying Point or Price Trap?<\/h2><\/div>

With the phenomenon of VTP stock's sharp decline<\/b>, the question arises whether this is a buying opportunity or a dangerous \"price trap\"? The following technical analysis will help investors gain a clearer perspective.<\/p><\/div>

Technical Indicator<\/th>Current Value<\/th>Important Threshold<\/th>Signal<\/th>Suggested Action<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
RSI (14)<\/td>32.5<\/td>30 (oversold)<\/td>Neutral (near oversold zone)<\/td>Prepare for small purchase<\/td><\/tr>
MACD<\/td>-1.8<\/td>0 (reversal threshold)<\/td>Negative (strong downtrend)<\/td>Wait for reversal signal<\/td><\/tr>
MA20 vs MA50<\/td>MA20 < MA50<\/td>Crossing (Death Cross)<\/td>Negative (strong downtrend)<\/td>Avoid until Golden Cross appears<\/td><\/tr>
Bollinger Bands<\/td>Touching lower band<\/td>Bounce from lower band<\/td>Neutral (possible technical rebound)<\/td>Monitor volume at lower band<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>

Technical analysis shows VTP is in a strong downtrend with MACD and MA indicators all giving negative signals. However, RSI is approaching the oversold zone (30) and the price has touched the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting the possibility of a technical rebound in the short term. Experts at Pocket Option<\/b> assess that VTP may have a 5-10% rebound in the next 2-3 weeks, but the medium-term downtrend has not yet ended.<\/p><\/div>

Analysis of VTP's trading volume in the last 30 sessions shows that selling pressure is still very high, with average selling volume 80% higher than buying volume. However, the last 5 sessions have shown signs of gradually decreasing selling volume, indicating pressure may be easing.<\/p><\/div>

Impact of 3 Macroeconomic Factors on VTP in 2025<\/h2><\/div>

The phenomenon of Viettel Post stock dropping sharply<\/b> cannot be separated from the 2025 macroeconomic context. The three most important macroeconomic factors affecting VTP are:<\/p><\/div>