{"id":300685,"date":"2025-07-10T21:15:48","date_gmt":"2025-07-10T21:15:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/news-events\/data\/hvn-stocks\/"},"modified":"2025-07-10T21:15:48","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T21:15:48","slug":"hvn-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/en\/knowledge-base\/markets\/hvn-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"HVN Stock: Comprehensive Assessment and 5 High-Profit Investment Strategies"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"root\"><div id=\"wrap-img-root\"><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":179041,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[28,45,44],"class_list":["post-300685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-investment","tag-stock","tag-strategy"],"acf":{"h1":"Pocket Option - HVN Stock Analysis 2024 and Outlook","h1_source":{"label":"H1","type":"text","formatted_value":"Pocket Option - HVN Stock Analysis 2024 and Outlook"},"description":"HVN Stock - 2024-2025 Market Analysis, Price Trend Forecast and 3 Profitable Investment Strategies from Pocket Option Experts.","description_source":{"label":"Description","type":"textarea","formatted_value":"HVN Stock - 2024-2025 Market Analysis, Price Trend Forecast and 3 Profitable Investment Strategies from Pocket Option Experts."},"intro":"Vietnam Airlines' HVN stock has experienced strong fluctuations in 2023-2024, with a 30% decrease from its peak. This article analyzes the main causes of the decline, evaluates the current financial situation, and proposes 5 specific investment strategies for each type of investor. Based on real data and analysis from Pocket Option experts.","intro_source":{"label":"Intro","type":"text","formatted_value":"Vietnam Airlines' HVN stock has experienced strong fluctuations in 2023-2024, with a 30% decrease from its peak. This article analyzes the main causes of the decline, evaluates the current financial situation, and proposes 5 specific investment strategies for each type of investor. Based on real data and analysis from Pocket Option experts."},"body_html":"<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Overview of HVN stock and its position in the Vietnamese aviation market<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>HVN stock, the securities code of Vietnam Airlines Corporation, has attracted an average of over 50,000 transactions per day in Q1\/2024, becoming one of the 10 most sought-after stocks on HOSE.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>With 65.8% of domestic route market share (as of Q1\/2024) and a modern fleet of 105 aircraft, Vietnam Airlines is not only the national airline but also contributes 2.5% to Vietnam's annual GDP.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Currently, Vietnam Airlines stock is recovering after the pandemic but faces three main challenges: large loan debt (36,000 billion VND), fuel price fluctuations (+15% in Q1\/2024), and fierce competition from low-cost airlines. For investors, understanding HVN stock requires analysis of all three factors: the company's financial situation, industry trends, and Vietnam's macroeconomic developments.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Criteria<\/th><th>Information<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Stock code<\/td><td>HVN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Listed exchange<\/td><td>HOSE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Listing date<\/td><td>3\/1\/2015<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Market capitalization (Q1\/2024)<\/td><td>31,254 billion VND<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ownership structure<\/td><td>State: 86.16%, Other investors: 13.84%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Average daily trading volume<\/td><td>4.87 million shares<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Financial analysis and operational efficiency of Vietnam Airlines stock<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines recorded a record loss of 13,279 billion VND in 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Revenue in 2023 recovered to 88,425 billion VND (88% compared to 2019), but profit was still negative at 1,325 billion VND - 45% lower than the initial recovery plan.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Revenue and profit situation<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines' financial recovery process is 2.5 years slower than initially forecasted. The main reasons are fuel costs increasing 35% compared to the pre-Covid period, high interest from the 36,000 billion VND debt, and the slow recovery of the Chinese market (which accounts for 25% of international revenue).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Criteria<\/th><th>2019<\/th><th>2020<\/th><th>2021<\/th><th>2022<\/th><th>2023<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Revenue (billion VND)<\/td><td>100,311<\/td><td>42,135<\/td><td>28,900<\/td><td>71,775<\/td><td>88,425<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Net profit (billion VND)<\/td><td>2,538<\/td><td>-11,178<\/td><td>-13,279<\/td><td>-6,285<\/td><td>-1,325<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>EPS (VND)<\/td><td>1,853<\/td><td>-7,651<\/td><td>-9,098<\/td><td>-4,302<\/td><td>-907<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Load Factor<\/td><td>82.6%<\/td><td>63.2%<\/td><td>51.8%<\/td><td>74.5%<\/td><td>80.3%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>According to Pocket Option's analysis, Vietnam Airlines is under pressure from three main debt sources: 12,500 billion VND in bank loans (8.2% annual interest), 8,000 billion VND from bond issuance (9.5% interest), and 15,500 billion from aircraft finance leases. Without an effective debt restructuring solution before Q4\/2024, HVN stock is unlikely to return to sustainable growth.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Key financial indicators<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Analysis of 5 key financial indicators shows a clear picture of Vietnam Airlines' financial health:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Indicator<\/th><th>Q1\/2024 Value<\/th><th>Assessment<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>P\/E<\/td><td>Negative (due to loss)<\/td><td>Not applicable due to negative earnings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>P\/B<\/td><td>0.94<\/td><td>Lower than industry average (1.35), reflecting low valuation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ROE<\/td><td>-4.3%<\/td><td>Negative but improved from -19.8% (2022)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Debt\/Equity<\/td><td>3.42<\/td><td>2.3 times higher than industry average, significant financial risk<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Current ratio<\/td><td>0.82<\/td><td>Below 1.0, indicating weak short-term payment capability<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Based on these indicators, Vietnam Airlines stock is currently classified as a high-risk investment. However, with a P\/B ratio below 1.0 and gradual improvement in ROE, HVN has significant upside potential (30-45%) if the company succeeds with its 2024-2025 restructuring plan and achieves positive profit by early 2026.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Technical analysis and price trends of HVN stock<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The technical chart of HVN stock for the 2022-2024 period forms a \"Double Top\" pattern with a long-term downtrend. The price has dropped 42% from the peak of 22,500 VND (July 2022) to the low of 13,100 VND (March 2024), with important technical levels:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Strong support levels: 12,500 VND (November 2023 bottom) and 13,100 VND (March 2024 bottom)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Important resistance levels: 17,800 VND (April 2023 peak) and 20,500 VND (MA200)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Current accumulation zone: 14,200-16,500 VND (price channel since December 2023)<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Analysis of 5 main technical indicators provides signals about the next movement direction of HVN stock:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Indicator<\/th><th>Current value<\/th><th>Trading implication<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>MA50 and MA200<\/td><td>MA50 (15,320) &lt; MA200 (18,450)<\/td><td>Downtrend in the medium term, Death Cross confirmed since 01\/2024<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>RSI (14)<\/td><td>42.5<\/td><td>Neutral with selling bias, but not oversold<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MACD (12,26,9)<\/td><td>-0.35, below signal line<\/td><td>Selling pressure is dominant, downtrend maintains<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bollinger Bands<\/td><td>Narrow bands (width 15.2%)<\/td><td>Low volatility, accumulating before next significant movement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Trading volume<\/td><td>22% decrease compared to 20-session average<\/td><td>Weak money flow, investors waiting for new signals<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>HVN stock liquidity reached an average of 4.87 million shares\/day in Q1\/2024, up 35% compared to the same period in 2023. Notably, trading volume increases significantly (2.5-3 times) on days when Vietnam Airlines releases quarterly financial reports or restructuring information, creating short-term trading opportunities for Pocket Option investors.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Based on technical analysis, Pocket Option recommends the following trading strategy for Vietnam Airlines stock:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Accumulate purchases when price touches support zone 12,500-13,200 VND with sudden volume increase &gt;7 million shares\/session<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Take partial profits at 3 levels: 16,500 VND (25% position), 18,000 VND (40% position), and 20,000 VND (25% position)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Maintain 10% position for breakthrough scenario above 22,000 VND if there is positive restructuring information<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Fundamental factors affecting Vietnam Airlines stock prospects<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>According to official data from the Civil Aviation Authority of Vietnam, Q1\/2024 recorded 12.8 million passengers, reaching 95.7% compared to the same period in 2019. In particular, the domestic market has fully recovered with 7.2 million passengers, up 3.5% compared to pre-pandemic.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Aviation industry recovery post-COVID-19<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The uneven recovery pace across markets is creating opportunities and challenges for Vietnam Airlines, directly affecting HVN stock prospects:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Market<\/th><th>Recovery level Q1\/2024<\/th><th>Forecast for full recovery<\/th><th>Impact on HVN revenue<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Domestic<\/td><td>103.5%<\/td><td>Already recovered<\/td><td>Positive, growth 8-12%\/year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Southeast Asia<\/td><td>89.3%<\/td><td>Q3\/2024<\/td><td>Positive, especially routes to Singapore and Thailand<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Northeast Asia<\/td><td>72.6%<\/td><td>Q2\/2025<\/td><td>Japan market recovering well, China and South Korea slower<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Europe<\/td><td>68.2%<\/td><td>Q4\/2025<\/td><td>High profit margins, but fierce competition<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>North America<\/td><td>65.4%<\/td><td>Q1\/2026<\/td><td>Strategic routes, but high operating costs<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option experts assess that Southeast Asian and Northeast Asian markets (accounting for 65% of Vietnam Airlines' international revenue) will be the main drivers for HVN stock recovery in 2024-2025. In particular, the Japanese market is recovering quickly with a seat occupancy rate of 85% in Q1\/2024, 5% higher than forecast, along with favorable visa policies for Vietnamese tourists.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Restructuring strategy and impact on HVN stock<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines' 2023-2025 fleet restructuring plan has removed 8 A321ceo aircraft (high fuel consumption) and replaced them with 5 A321neo aircraft (15% fuel savings) and 2 Boeing 787-10 (40% increased capacity). This helps reduce Cost per Available Seat Kilometer (CASK) by 8.5%.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines is implementing 3 main financial restructuring solutions, each directly impacting HVN stock price:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Issuing 8,000 billion VND convertible bonds (Q3\/2024): May create 15-18% dilution pressure in the short term, but improves long-term capital structure<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Negotiating debt rescheduling with 15 banks (deadline until Q4\/2024): If successful, will reduce debt repayment pressure from 5,800 billion VND\/year to 3,200 billion VND\/year<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Finding strategic partners (expected Q1\/2025): In negotiations with 2 major Asian airlines and 1 investment fund to sell 15% stake<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>In particular, Vietnam Airlines is restructuring its flight network to increase frequency by 25% on high-margin routes (Japan, Australia, France) and reduce flights by 35% to destinations with fierce price competition (Thailand, Malaysia). This strategy has helped improve Revenue per Available Seat Kilometer (RASK) by 7.2% in Q1\/2024.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Risk analysis and investment opportunities in HVN stock<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option has analyzed in detail the 5 biggest risks and 5 most potential opportunities of HVN stock in the 2024-2025 period:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Risks<\/th><th>Opportunities<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Pressure from 36,000 billion VND loan debt (as of Q4\/2023) with average interest rate of 7.2%\/year<\/td><td>Vietnam's aviation market forecast to grow 15%\/year during 2024-2030 period (highest in Southeast Asia)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Lost 5.2% domestic market share to Vietjet and Bamboo Airways in 2023<\/td><td>Fleet restructuring plan saves 8.5% fuel cost\/seat-km<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Aviation fuel prices increased 15% since early 2024, accounting for 35-40% of cost structure<\/td><td>Ability to attract strategic partners from 3 entities currently in negotiation (2 airlines and 1 investment fund)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>USD\/VND exchange rate risk (+5.3% in 2023) when 65% of costs are in USD<\/td><td>Strong recovery trend of Japanese aviation market (route with highest profit margin)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15-18% dilution from the plan to issue 8,000 billion VND convertible bonds<\/td><td>P\/B valuation = 0.94, 30% lower than reasonable level, creating room for price increase when positive news emerges<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>According to Pocket Option's DCF valuation model, with the base scenario (Vietnam Airlines profitable from Q1\/2026), the fair value of HVN stock is 18,500-20,000 VND, 25-35% higher than the current price. However, this is an investment suitable for investors who can tolerate large fluctuations and have a long-term view (24-36 months).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Comparing HVN stock with other airline stocks in the region<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Comparing financial indicators with 5 major airlines in the region shows the relative position of Vietnam Airlines stock:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Indicator<\/th><th>HVN (Vietnam Airlines)<\/th><th>AAV (AirAsia)<\/th><th>SIA (Singapore Airlines)<\/th><th>THAI (Thai Airways)<\/th><th>CPA (Cathay Pacific)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>P\/B (Q1\/2024)<\/td><td>0.94<\/td><td>2.15<\/td><td>1.53<\/td><td>Negative<\/td><td>1.28<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ROE (%)<\/td><td>-4.3<\/td><td>5.8<\/td><td>11.2<\/td><td>Negative<\/td><td>3.2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Operating profit margin (%)<\/td><td>-1.8<\/td><td>4.5<\/td><td>9.2<\/td><td>-5.3<\/td><td>3.6<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Debt\/equity ratio<\/td><td>3.42<\/td><td>2.53<\/td><td>1.18<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><td>2.17<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Load factor (Q1\/2024) (%)<\/td><td>80.3<\/td><td>85.7<\/td><td>87.2<\/td><td>76.5<\/td><td>82.8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Number of international destinations<\/td><td>52<\/td><td>165<\/td><td>138<\/td><td>38<\/td><td>120<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The comparison shows that HVN stock is currently valued lowest in the group (P\/B 0.94), reflecting current financial difficulties but also harboring the greatest potential for price increase when the situation improves. Compared to Thai Airways (also in restructuring process), Vietnam Airlines has a better position with higher load factor (80.3% vs 76.5%) and more international destinations (52 vs 38).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option experts predict that by the end of 2025, Vietnam Airlines could narrow the profit margin gap with competitors if it successfully implements 3 solutions: debt restructuring, raising load factor above 85%, and optimizing route network to focus on high-margin markets.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Investment strategies for HVN stock for Vietnamese investors<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Based on comprehensive analysis of Vietnam Airlines stock, Pocket Option proposes 3 detailed investment strategies suitable for different investor groups:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>For long-term investors (24-36 months):<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The \"Gradual accumulation and hold\" strategy is suitable for investors with long-term vision and ability to withstand price fluctuations:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Divide investment capital into 5 equal parts and buy at 5 decreasing price levels: 15,000, 14,000, 13,500, 13,000, and 12,500 VND<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Set profit target of 35-45% in 24-36 months with target price of 20,000-22,000 VND<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Apply risk management strategy by cutting loss completely if price breaks below 11,000 VND with large volume<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>With this strategy, investors will achieve an average return of 30% in 30 months if Vietnam Airlines' restructuring plan succeeds and the airline returns to profitability in Q1\/2026.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>For medium-term investors (6-18 months):<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The \"Trading according to financial reporting cycles\" strategy takes advantage of seasonal price fluctuations of HVN stock:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Buy in the price range of 13,000-14,000 VND during the period 2-3 weeks before quarterly financial statements announcement (especially Q2 and Q4)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Take profit when price increases 10-15% after positive information, or cut loss at 7% if results are worse than expected<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Focus on the timing of debt restructuring announcement (expected Q3\/2024) and strategic partner negotiations (expected Q1\/2025)<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option provides tools to monitor information release schedules and alerts for optimal buying\/selling times for this strategy, helping investors capture 3-4 trading opportunities\/year with a 65-70% success rate.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>For short-term investors (1-4 weeks):<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The \"Technical breakout trading\" strategy focuses on strong short-term movements of HVN stock:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Use Bollinger Bands indicator to identify when price touches the lower band and RSI below 30 (oversold zone)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Place buy orders when price bounces up from support zone with sudden volume increase &gt;8 million shares\/session<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Set profit target of 8-12% in 1-3 weeks with take-profit point at MA20 or cut loss at 5% immediately when trend is not confirmed<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>This strategy requires high discipline, daily market monitoring, and effective use of Pocket Option's technical analysis tools. Expected return is 25-35%\/year with 8-10 successful trades.<\/p><\/div>[cta_button text=\"\"]<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Conclusion: Prospects of HVN stock and notes for investors<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines stock is at an important turning point with 3 factors determining its 2024-2025 outlook: (1) Results of financial restructuring with the 36,000 billion VND debt, (2) Recovery speed of the international aviation market, especially Northeast Asia, and (3) Effectiveness of fleet and route network optimization strategy.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>With P\/B valuation = 0.94, 30% lower than reasonable level and 40% lower than industry average, HVN stock reflects most of the current difficulties but has not fully priced in the recovery potential in the next 24 months. If Vietnam Airlines succeeds with its restructuring plan and achieves positive profit from Q1\/2026, the stock price could reach 20,000-22,000 VND, equivalent to a 35-45% increase from the current price.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>However, this remains a high-risk investment with 3 main threats: (1) Dilution potential from additional share issuance\/convertible bonds, (2) Risks from fuel price and USD\/VND exchange rate fluctuations, and (3) Fierce competition from low-cost airlines like Vietjet and Bamboo Airways.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option recommends 5 specific action points for investors interested in HVN stock:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Allocate maximum 5-7% of total investment portfolio to HVN stock to hedge against risk<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Combine fundamental and technical analysis, paying special attention to information about restructuring and debt negotiations<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Build investment plans by level with clear entry points, exit points and risk management<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Monitor progress in addressing financial condition through debt ratios, EBITDA and cash flow from operating activities<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Prioritize gradual accumulation strategy instead of one-time investment, allowing plan adjustments according to actual developments<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>With a cautious approach, discipline and the right strategy, HVN stock can bring attractive profit opportunities for investors in the 2024-2026 cycle, while supporting Vietnam Airlines' recovery process - a business with an important role in Vietnam's economy.<\/p><\/div>","body_html_source":{"label":"Body HTML","type":"wysiwyg","formatted_value":"<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Overview of HVN stock and its position in the Vietnamese aviation market<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>HVN stock, the securities code of Vietnam Airlines Corporation, has attracted an average of over 50,000 transactions per day in Q1\/2024, becoming one of the 10 most sought-after stocks on HOSE.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>With 65.8% of domestic route market share (as of Q1\/2024) and a modern fleet of 105 aircraft, Vietnam Airlines is not only the national airline but also contributes 2.5% to Vietnam&#8217;s annual GDP.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Currently, Vietnam Airlines stock is recovering after the pandemic but faces three main challenges: large loan debt (36,000 billion VND), fuel price fluctuations (+15% in Q1\/2024), and fierce competition from low-cost airlines. For investors, understanding HVN stock requires analysis of all three factors: the company&#8217;s financial situation, industry trends, and Vietnam&#8217;s macroeconomic developments.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Criteria<\/th>\n<th>Information<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Stock code<\/td>\n<td>HVN<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Listed exchange<\/td>\n<td>HOSE<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Listing date<\/td>\n<td>3\/1\/2015<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Market capitalization (Q1\/2024)<\/td>\n<td>31,254 billion VND<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ownership structure<\/td>\n<td>State: 86.16%, Other investors: 13.84%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Average daily trading volume<\/td>\n<td>4.87 million shares<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Financial analysis and operational efficiency of Vietnam Airlines stock<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines recorded a record loss of 13,279 billion VND in 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Revenue in 2023 recovered to 88,425 billion VND (88% compared to 2019), but profit was still negative at 1,325 billion VND &#8211; 45% lower than the initial recovery plan.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Revenue and profit situation<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines&#8217; financial recovery process is 2.5 years slower than initially forecasted. The main reasons are fuel costs increasing 35% compared to the pre-Covid period, high interest from the 36,000 billion VND debt, and the slow recovery of the Chinese market (which accounts for 25% of international revenue).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Criteria<\/th>\n<th>2019<\/th>\n<th>2020<\/th>\n<th>2021<\/th>\n<th>2022<\/th>\n<th>2023<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Revenue (billion VND)<\/td>\n<td>100,311<\/td>\n<td>42,135<\/td>\n<td>28,900<\/td>\n<td>71,775<\/td>\n<td>88,425<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Net profit (billion VND)<\/td>\n<td>2,538<\/td>\n<td>-11,178<\/td>\n<td>-13,279<\/td>\n<td>-6,285<\/td>\n<td>-1,325<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>EPS (VND)<\/td>\n<td>1,853<\/td>\n<td>-7,651<\/td>\n<td>-9,098<\/td>\n<td>-4,302<\/td>\n<td>-907<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Load Factor<\/td>\n<td>82.6%<\/td>\n<td>63.2%<\/td>\n<td>51.8%<\/td>\n<td>74.5%<\/td>\n<td>80.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>According to Pocket Option&#8217;s analysis, Vietnam Airlines is under pressure from three main debt sources: 12,500 billion VND in bank loans (8.2% annual interest), 8,000 billion VND from bond issuance (9.5% interest), and 15,500 billion from aircraft finance leases. Without an effective debt restructuring solution before Q4\/2024, HVN stock is unlikely to return to sustainable growth.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Key financial indicators<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Analysis of 5 key financial indicators shows a clear picture of Vietnam Airlines&#8217; financial health:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Indicator<\/th>\n<th>Q1\/2024 Value<\/th>\n<th>Assessment<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>P\/E<\/td>\n<td>Negative (due to loss)<\/td>\n<td>Not applicable due to negative earnings<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>P\/B<\/td>\n<td>0.94<\/td>\n<td>Lower than industry average (1.35), reflecting low valuation<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ROE<\/td>\n<td>-4.3%<\/td>\n<td>Negative but improved from -19.8% (2022)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Debt\/Equity<\/td>\n<td>3.42<\/td>\n<td>2.3 times higher than industry average, significant financial risk<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Current ratio<\/td>\n<td>0.82<\/td>\n<td>Below 1.0, indicating weak short-term payment capability<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Based on these indicators, Vietnam Airlines stock is currently classified as a high-risk investment. However, with a P\/B ratio below 1.0 and gradual improvement in ROE, HVN has significant upside potential (30-45%) if the company succeeds with its 2024-2025 restructuring plan and achieves positive profit by early 2026.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Technical analysis and price trends of HVN stock<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The technical chart of HVN stock for the 2022-2024 period forms a &#8220;Double Top&#8221; pattern with a long-term downtrend. The price has dropped 42% from the peak of 22,500 VND (July 2022) to the low of 13,100 VND (March 2024), with important technical levels:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Strong support levels: 12,500 VND (November 2023 bottom) and 13,100 VND (March 2024 bottom)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Important resistance levels: 17,800 VND (April 2023 peak) and 20,500 VND (MA200)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Current accumulation zone: 14,200-16,500 VND (price channel since December 2023)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Analysis of 5 main technical indicators provides signals about the next movement direction of HVN stock:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Indicator<\/th>\n<th>Current value<\/th>\n<th>Trading implication<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>MA50 and MA200<\/td>\n<td>MA50 (15,320) &lt; MA200 (18,450)<\/td>\n<td>Downtrend in the medium term, Death Cross confirmed since 01\/2024<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RSI (14)<\/td>\n<td>42.5<\/td>\n<td>Neutral with selling bias, but not oversold<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MACD (12,26,9)<\/td>\n<td>-0.35, below signal line<\/td>\n<td>Selling pressure is dominant, downtrend maintains<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bollinger Bands<\/td>\n<td>Narrow bands (width 15.2%)<\/td>\n<td>Low volatility, accumulating before next significant movement<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Trading volume<\/td>\n<td>22% decrease compared to 20-session average<\/td>\n<td>Weak money flow, investors waiting for new signals<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>HVN stock liquidity reached an average of 4.87 million shares\/day in Q1\/2024, up 35% compared to the same period in 2023. Notably, trading volume increases significantly (2.5-3 times) on days when Vietnam Airlines releases quarterly financial reports or restructuring information, creating short-term trading opportunities for Pocket Option investors.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Based on technical analysis, Pocket Option recommends the following trading strategy for Vietnam Airlines stock:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Accumulate purchases when price touches support zone 12,500-13,200 VND with sudden volume increase &gt;7 million shares\/session<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Take partial profits at 3 levels: 16,500 VND (25% position), 18,000 VND (40% position), and 20,000 VND (25% position)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Maintain 10% position for breakthrough scenario above 22,000 VND if there is positive restructuring information<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Fundamental factors affecting Vietnam Airlines stock prospects<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>According to official data from the Civil Aviation Authority of Vietnam, Q1\/2024 recorded 12.8 million passengers, reaching 95.7% compared to the same period in 2019. In particular, the domestic market has fully recovered with 7.2 million passengers, up 3.5% compared to pre-pandemic.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Aviation industry recovery post-COVID-19<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The uneven recovery pace across markets is creating opportunities and challenges for Vietnam Airlines, directly affecting HVN stock prospects:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Market<\/th>\n<th>Recovery level Q1\/2024<\/th>\n<th>Forecast for full recovery<\/th>\n<th>Impact on HVN revenue<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Domestic<\/td>\n<td>103.5%<\/td>\n<td>Already recovered<\/td>\n<td>Positive, growth 8-12%\/year<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Southeast Asia<\/td>\n<td>89.3%<\/td>\n<td>Q3\/2024<\/td>\n<td>Positive, especially routes to Singapore and Thailand<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Northeast Asia<\/td>\n<td>72.6%<\/td>\n<td>Q2\/2025<\/td>\n<td>Japan market recovering well, China and South Korea slower<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Europe<\/td>\n<td>68.2%<\/td>\n<td>Q4\/2025<\/td>\n<td>High profit margins, but fierce competition<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>North America<\/td>\n<td>65.4%<\/td>\n<td>Q1\/2026<\/td>\n<td>Strategic routes, but high operating costs<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option experts assess that Southeast Asian and Northeast Asian markets (accounting for 65% of Vietnam Airlines&#8217; international revenue) will be the main drivers for HVN stock recovery in 2024-2025. In particular, the Japanese market is recovering quickly with a seat occupancy rate of 85% in Q1\/2024, 5% higher than forecast, along with favorable visa policies for Vietnamese tourists.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Restructuring strategy and impact on HVN stock<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines&#8217; 2023-2025 fleet restructuring plan has removed 8 A321ceo aircraft (high fuel consumption) and replaced them with 5 A321neo aircraft (15% fuel savings) and 2 Boeing 787-10 (40% increased capacity). This helps reduce Cost per Available Seat Kilometer (CASK) by 8.5%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines is implementing 3 main financial restructuring solutions, each directly impacting HVN stock price:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Issuing 8,000 billion VND convertible bonds (Q3\/2024): May create 15-18% dilution pressure in the short term, but improves long-term capital structure<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Negotiating debt rescheduling with 15 banks (deadline until Q4\/2024): If successful, will reduce debt repayment pressure from 5,800 billion VND\/year to 3,200 billion VND\/year<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Finding strategic partners (expected Q1\/2025): In negotiations with 2 major Asian airlines and 1 investment fund to sell 15% stake<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>In particular, Vietnam Airlines is restructuring its flight network to increase frequency by 25% on high-margin routes (Japan, Australia, France) and reduce flights by 35% to destinations with fierce price competition (Thailand, Malaysia). This strategy has helped improve Revenue per Available Seat Kilometer (RASK) by 7.2% in Q1\/2024.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Risk analysis and investment opportunities in HVN stock<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option has analyzed in detail the 5 biggest risks and 5 most potential opportunities of HVN stock in the 2024-2025 period:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Risks<\/th>\n<th>Opportunities<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Pressure from 36,000 billion VND loan debt (as of Q4\/2023) with average interest rate of 7.2%\/year<\/td>\n<td>Vietnam&#8217;s aviation market forecast to grow 15%\/year during 2024-2030 period (highest in Southeast Asia)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Lost 5.2% domestic market share to Vietjet and Bamboo Airways in 2023<\/td>\n<td>Fleet restructuring plan saves 8.5% fuel cost\/seat-km<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Aviation fuel prices increased 15% since early 2024, accounting for 35-40% of cost structure<\/td>\n<td>Ability to attract strategic partners from 3 entities currently in negotiation (2 airlines and 1 investment fund)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USD\/VND exchange rate risk (+5.3% in 2023) when 65% of costs are in USD<\/td>\n<td>Strong recovery trend of Japanese aviation market (route with highest profit margin)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>15-18% dilution from the plan to issue 8,000 billion VND convertible bonds<\/td>\n<td>P\/B valuation = 0.94, 30% lower than reasonable level, creating room for price increase when positive news emerges<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>According to Pocket Option&#8217;s DCF valuation model, with the base scenario (Vietnam Airlines profitable from Q1\/2026), the fair value of HVN stock is 18,500-20,000 VND, 25-35% higher than the current price. However, this is an investment suitable for investors who can tolerate large fluctuations and have a long-term view (24-36 months).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Comparing HVN stock with other airline stocks in the region<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Comparing financial indicators with 5 major airlines in the region shows the relative position of Vietnam Airlines stock:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Indicator<\/th>\n<th>HVN (Vietnam Airlines)<\/th>\n<th>AAV (AirAsia)<\/th>\n<th>SIA (Singapore Airlines)<\/th>\n<th>THAI (Thai Airways)<\/th>\n<th>CPA (Cathay Pacific)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>P\/B (Q1\/2024)<\/td>\n<td>0.94<\/td>\n<td>2.15<\/td>\n<td>1.53<\/td>\n<td>Negative<\/td>\n<td>1.28<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ROE (%)<\/td>\n<td>-4.3<\/td>\n<td>5.8<\/td>\n<td>11.2<\/td>\n<td>Negative<\/td>\n<td>3.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Operating profit margin (%)<\/td>\n<td>-1.8<\/td>\n<td>4.5<\/td>\n<td>9.2<\/td>\n<td>-5.3<\/td>\n<td>3.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Debt\/equity ratio<\/td>\n<td>3.42<\/td>\n<td>2.53<\/td>\n<td>1.18<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<td>2.17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Load factor (Q1\/2024) (%)<\/td>\n<td>80.3<\/td>\n<td>85.7<\/td>\n<td>87.2<\/td>\n<td>76.5<\/td>\n<td>82.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Number of international destinations<\/td>\n<td>52<\/td>\n<td>165<\/td>\n<td>138<\/td>\n<td>38<\/td>\n<td>120<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The comparison shows that HVN stock is currently valued lowest in the group (P\/B 0.94), reflecting current financial difficulties but also harboring the greatest potential for price increase when the situation improves. Compared to Thai Airways (also in restructuring process), Vietnam Airlines has a better position with higher load factor (80.3% vs 76.5%) and more international destinations (52 vs 38).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option experts predict that by the end of 2025, Vietnam Airlines could narrow the profit margin gap with competitors if it successfully implements 3 solutions: debt restructuring, raising load factor above 85%, and optimizing route network to focus on high-margin markets.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Investment strategies for HVN stock for Vietnamese investors<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Based on comprehensive analysis of Vietnam Airlines stock, Pocket Option proposes 3 detailed investment strategies suitable for different investor groups:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>For long-term investors (24-36 months):<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The &#8220;Gradual accumulation and hold&#8221; strategy is suitable for investors with long-term vision and ability to withstand price fluctuations:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Divide investment capital into 5 equal parts and buy at 5 decreasing price levels: 15,000, 14,000, 13,500, 13,000, and 12,500 VND<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Set profit target of 35-45% in 24-36 months with target price of 20,000-22,000 VND<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Apply risk management strategy by cutting loss completely if price breaks below 11,000 VND with large volume<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>With this strategy, investors will achieve an average return of 30% in 30 months if Vietnam Airlines&#8217; restructuring plan succeeds and the airline returns to profitability in Q1\/2026.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>For medium-term investors (6-18 months):<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The &#8220;Trading according to financial reporting cycles&#8221; strategy takes advantage of seasonal price fluctuations of HVN stock:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Buy in the price range of 13,000-14,000 VND during the period 2-3 weeks before quarterly financial statements announcement (especially Q2 and Q4)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Take profit when price increases 10-15% after positive information, or cut loss at 7% if results are worse than expected<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Focus on the timing of debt restructuring announcement (expected Q3\/2024) and strategic partner negotiations (expected Q1\/2025)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option provides tools to monitor information release schedules and alerts for optimal buying\/selling times for this strategy, helping investors capture 3-4 trading opportunities\/year with a 65-70% success rate.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>For short-term investors (1-4 weeks):<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The &#8220;Technical breakout trading&#8221; strategy focuses on strong short-term movements of HVN stock:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Use Bollinger Bands indicator to identify when price touches the lower band and RSI below 30 (oversold zone)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Place buy orders when price bounces up from support zone with sudden volume increase &gt;8 million shares\/session<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Set profit target of 8-12% in 1-3 weeks with take-profit point at MA20 or cut loss at 5% immediately when trend is not confirmed<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>This strategy requires high discipline, daily market monitoring, and effective use of Pocket Option&#8217;s technical analysis tools. Expected return is 25-35%\/year with 8-10 successful trades.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n    <div class=\"po-container po-container_width_article\">\n        <a href=\"\/en\/quick-start\/\" class=\"po-line-banner po-article-page__line-banner\">\n            <svg class=\"svg-image po-line-banner__logo\" fill=\"currentColor\" width=\"auto\" height=\"auto\"\n                 aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                <use href=\"#svg-img-logo-white\"><\/use>\n            <\/svg>\n            <span class=\"po-line-banner__btn\"><\/span>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    \n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Conclusion: Prospects of HVN stock and notes for investors<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Vietnam Airlines stock is at an important turning point with 3 factors determining its 2024-2025 outlook: (1) Results of financial restructuring with the 36,000 billion VND debt, (2) Recovery speed of the international aviation market, especially Northeast Asia, and (3) Effectiveness of fleet and route network optimization strategy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>With P\/B valuation = 0.94, 30% lower than reasonable level and 40% lower than industry average, HVN stock reflects most of the current difficulties but has not fully priced in the recovery potential in the next 24 months. If Vietnam Airlines succeeds with its restructuring plan and achieves positive profit from Q1\/2026, the stock price could reach 20,000-22,000 VND, equivalent to a 35-45% increase from the current price.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>However, this remains a high-risk investment with 3 main threats: (1) Dilution potential from additional share issuance\/convertible bonds, (2) Risks from fuel price and USD\/VND exchange rate fluctuations, and (3) Fierce competition from low-cost airlines like Vietjet and Bamboo Airways.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Pocket Option recommends 5 specific action points for investors interested in HVN stock:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Allocate maximum 5-7% of total investment portfolio to HVN stock to hedge against risk<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Combine fundamental and technical analysis, paying special attention to information about restructuring and debt negotiations<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Build investment plans by level with clear entry points, exit points and risk management<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Monitor progress in addressing financial condition through debt ratios, EBITDA and cash flow from operating activities<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Prioritize gradual accumulation strategy instead of one-time investment, allowing plan adjustments according to actual developments<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>With a cautious approach, discipline and the right strategy, HVN stock can bring attractive profit opportunities for investors in the 2024-2026 cycle, while supporting Vietnam Airlines&#8217; recovery process &#8211; a business with an important role in Vietnam&#8217;s economy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n"},"faq":[{"question":"Why has HVN stock been continuously declining in price recently?","answer":"HVN stock has declined due to a combination of factors: heavy financial pressure after the pandemic, business results not recovering as expected, concerns about stock dilution from additional issuance plans, and increasingly fierce competition in the aviation industry. Additionally, the volatile aviation fuel prices have negatively impacted Vietnam Airlines' profit prospects."},{"question":"When might Vietnam Airlines return to profitability?","answer":"According to financial experts' forecasts, Vietnam Airlines may return to profitability by late 2025 or early 2026, provided the global aviation industry fully recovers and the company successfully implements restructuring strategies. However, the specific timing depends on many factors such as the recovery rate of international markets, fuel price fluctuations, and the effectiveness of cost-cutting measures."},{"question":"Should one invest in Vietnam Airlines stock at the current time?","answer":"The decision to invest in HVN stock depends on each investor's risk appetite and investment vision. At the current price, the stock may be attractive to long-term investors who believe in the recovery of the aviation industry and Vietnam Airlines' ability to overcome difficulties. However, this remains a high-risk investment not suitable for safety-oriented investors or those seeking short-term profits."},{"question":"How to effectively trade HVN stock on the Pocket Option platform?","answer":"To effectively trade HVN stock on Pocket Option, investors should: (1) Use the technical analysis tools available on the platform to identify appropriate entry and exit points; (2) Monitor Vietnam Airlines' information disclosure schedule to capitalize on price movements following important announcements; (3) Apply proper capital management, not investing more than 5-10% of capital in a single trade; (4) Use stop-loss orders to limit risk when the market doesn't perform as expected."},{"question":"What factors could catalyze HVN stock price increases in the future?","answer":"Some factors that could catalyze HVN stock price increases include: (1) Vietnam Airlines announcing better-than-expected business results; (2) Positive progress in financial restructuring plans, especially debt reduction; (3) Attracting strong strategic partners; (4) Faster-than-expected recovery of the international aviation market; (5) Government support policies; (6) Sustained lower aviation fuel prices; and (7) Significant improvements in operational efficiency and profit margins."}],"faq_source":{"label":"FAQ","type":"repeater","formatted_value":[{"question":"Why has HVN stock been continuously declining in price recently?","answer":"HVN stock has declined due to a combination of factors: heavy financial pressure after the pandemic, business results not recovering as expected, concerns about stock dilution from additional issuance plans, and increasingly fierce competition in the aviation industry. Additionally, the volatile aviation fuel prices have negatively impacted Vietnam Airlines' profit prospects."},{"question":"When might Vietnam Airlines return to profitability?","answer":"According to financial experts' forecasts, Vietnam Airlines may return to profitability by late 2025 or early 2026, provided the global aviation industry fully recovers and the company successfully implements restructuring strategies. However, the specific timing depends on many factors such as the recovery rate of international markets, fuel price fluctuations, and the effectiveness of cost-cutting measures."},{"question":"Should one invest in Vietnam Airlines stock at the current time?","answer":"The decision to invest in HVN stock depends on each investor's risk appetite and investment vision. At the current price, the stock may be attractive to long-term investors who believe in the recovery of the aviation industry and Vietnam Airlines' ability to overcome difficulties. However, this remains a high-risk investment not suitable for safety-oriented investors or those seeking short-term profits."},{"question":"How to effectively trade HVN stock on the Pocket Option platform?","answer":"To effectively trade HVN stock on Pocket Option, investors should: (1) Use the technical analysis tools available on the platform to identify appropriate entry and exit points; (2) Monitor Vietnam Airlines' information disclosure schedule to capitalize on price movements following important announcements; (3) Apply proper capital management, not investing more than 5-10% of capital in a single trade; (4) Use stop-loss orders to limit risk when the market doesn't perform as expected."},{"question":"What factors could catalyze HVN stock price increases in the future?","answer":"Some factors that could catalyze HVN stock price increases include: (1) Vietnam Airlines announcing better-than-expected business results; (2) Positive progress in financial restructuring plans, especially debt reduction; (3) Attracting strong strategic partners; (4) Faster-than-expected recovery of the international aviation market; (5) Government support policies; (6) Sustained lower aviation fuel prices; and (7) Significant improvements in operational efficiency and profit margins."}]}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.8 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>HVN Stock: Comprehensive Assessment and 5 High-Profit Investment Strategies<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/en\/knowledge-base\/markets\/hvn-stocks\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"HVN Stock: Comprehensive Assessment and 5 High-Profit Investment 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