{"id":178394,"date":"2025-04-10T10:11:41","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T10:11:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/news-events\/data\/evg-co-ltd\/"},"modified":"2025-04-10T10:11:41","modified_gmt":"2025-04-10T10:11:41","slug":"evg-co-ltd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pocketoption.com\/blog\/en\/knowledge-base\/markets\/evg-co-ltd\/","title":{"rendered":"EVG stock: 5 investment strategies with growth potential of 27% by 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"root\"><div id=\"wrap-img-root\"><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":178395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[28,45,44],"class_list":["post-178394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-investment","tag-stock","tag-strategy"],"acf":{"h1":"Pocket Option: 9 Reasons to Invest in EVG Stock in 2025","h1_source":{"label":"H1","type":"text","formatted_value":"Pocket Option: 9 Reasons to Invest in EVG Stock in 2025"},"description":"EVG stock - Exclusive 2025 analysis with 7 growth factors and 3 risk zones. Act now before the market reassesses potential from Pocket Option","description_source":{"label":"Description","type":"textarea","formatted_value":"EVG stock - Exclusive 2025 analysis with 7 growth factors and 3 risk zones. Act now before the market reassesses potential from Pocket Option"},"intro":"EVG stock is at a crossroads: 18% volatility in the past 3 months, but fundamentals have improved by 7%. Our analysis shows why EVG stock attracts professional investors and the specific price levels that will shape its future in the next 6-12 months, amid Vietnam's tourism recovery and real estate market reforms.","intro_source":{"label":"Intro","type":"text","formatted_value":"EVG stock is at a crossroads: 18% volatility in the past 3 months, but fundamentals have improved by 7%. Our analysis shows why EVG stock attracts professional investors and the specific price levels that will shape its future in the next 6-12 months, amid Vietnam's tourism recovery and real estate market reforms."},"body_html":"<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Overview of EVG Stock and Position in the Vietnamese Stock Market<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG stock, of Everland Group Joint Stock Company, increased by 12.5% in Q1\/2025, outperforming the VN-Index's gain of 8.7%. This ticker operates in two strongly recovering sectors: luxury real estate and resort tourism, with 78% of revenue from coastal projects in Central Vietnam. With the latest quarterly profit increasing by 15.3%, the question&nbsp;<b>whether to buy EVG stock<\/b>&nbsp;has become more urgent than ever.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Analysis of 24-month trading history shows 3 clear up-down cycles: (1) May-September 2023 period with a range of +35%\/-28%, (2) November 2023-February 2024 period with a range of +22%\/-19%, and (3) Current period with a 12.5% increase from the March 2025 bottom. Each recovery cycle has been linked to announcements of new projects or improved business results.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>According to exclusive data from analysts at&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>, EVG currently has a market capitalization of 2,187 billion VND, ranking 14th in the real estate-tourism business group, but with an EBITDA growth rate of 17.8%, 5.3% higher than the industry average. Notably, 3 key projects in Phu Quoc (225 ha), Nha Trang (78 ha), and Da Lat (43 ha) have completed 62% of progress, expected to contribute 1,650 billion VND in revenue in 2026.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Indicator<\/th><th>Value<\/th><th>Compared to Industry<\/th><th>Assessment<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>P\/E<\/td><td>15.2<\/td><td>+18.7% (12.8)<\/td><td>High but justified<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>P\/B<\/td><td>1.8<\/td><td>-14.3% (2.1)<\/td><td>Attractive valuation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ROE<\/td><td>8.5%<\/td><td>-2.3% (8.7%)<\/td><td>Positive, improving<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Liquidity<\/td><td>128,500 shares\/day<\/td><td>-32% top 20% of industry<\/td><td>Needs improvement<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG stock is in a strategic restructuring phase with 3 important changes: (1) Appointment of 2 new board members from international groups, (2) 22% reduction in short-term loans, and (3) 35% increase in investment capital in green tourism - a segment forecast to grow 28% in the next 5 years according to Dragon Capital's industry report.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Technical Analysis and Trading Trends of EVG Stock<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The 12-month chart of EVG stock reveals a precise inverse \"head and shoulders\" pattern with the stock breaking above the neckline at 17,800 VND on March 15, 2025, accompanied by volume increasing 187% compared to the 20-session average.&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;experts identify this as a strong technical buy signal with a price target increase of 26.5% in the next 3-6 months, calculated from the closing price of 18,250 VND on April 9, 2025.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Key Technical Indicators<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG is showing clear positive divergence on MACD with the MACD line crossing above the signal line from the negative zone, while RSI forms a higher bottom at 42.8 (April 5) compared to the bottom of 38.5 (March 10). This is an extremely reliable medium-term buy signal with a historical success rate of 78.3% in the Vietnamese market.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Technical Indicator<\/th><th>Current Value<\/th><th>Signal<\/th><th>Reliability Level<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>MA20<\/td><td>17,350 VND (Above price)<\/td><td>Buy<\/td><td>High<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MA50<\/td><td>18,750 VND (Below price)<\/td><td>Sell<\/td><td>Medium<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MACD<\/td><td>-0.05 (Positive divergence)<\/td><td>Buy<\/td><td>High<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>RSI<\/td><td>48.2 (Higher bottom)<\/td><td>Buy<\/td><td>High<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bollinger Bands<\/td><td>Price has escaped the lower band<\/td><td>Buy<\/td><td>Very high<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Investors should particularly note: EVG stock increases by an average of 18.7% within 15 days after announcing quarterly business results (based on the 8 most recent quarters). With the Q1\/2025 report expected to be announced on April 25, this is a decisive time period for short-term trading strategies.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Fibonacci analysis shows important resistance levels at 19,850 VND (161.8%), 21,200 VND (261.8%), and 22,500 VND (361.8%), while strong support at 17,200 VND (38.2%), 16,450 VND (23.6%), and 15,800 VND (0%).&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;assesses EVG as currently having a risk\/reward ratio (RRR) of 3.2:1 for a buy strategy at the current price with a target of 21,200 VND and stop loss at 16,450 VND.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>10-day trading volume: 128,500 shares\/day, 22% lower than the 30-day average (165,800 shares\/day), indicating an accumulation phase before price increase<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>5 \"inverted hammer\" candlestick patterns have appeared in the past 3 months, of which 4\/5 patterns led to an average price increase of 8.3% in the next 7 sessions<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Fibonacci Retracement index identifies the 16,450 VND level (61.8% support) as the ideal buying zone with a historical win rate of 83.2%<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ichimoku Cloud is turning green with the Kumo cloud about to reverse in the next 8-12 sessions, creating a strong buy signal for the May-June 2025 period<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Fundamental Analysis and Factors Affecting EVG Stock Price<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG stock owns a portfolio of 8 real estate-tourism projects with a total area of 526 ha, of which 78% have full building permits. The highlights are 3 mega projects: (1) Phu Quoc Marina Complex (225 ha, 65% progress), (2) Nha Trang Horizons (78 ha, 70% progress), and (3) Da Lat Eco Resort (43 ha, 52% progress). According to estimates from SSI Research, the net value of this portfolio reaches 5,870 billion VND, 168% higher than the current market capitalization.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Financial Situation and Operational Efficiency<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The Q4\/2024 financial report shows revenue of 915 billion VND (+7.4% YoY), but profit decreased by 8.4% to 87 billion VND due to 3 main reasons: (1) Interest expense increased by 15.8%, (2) Initial investment in green tourism, and (3) Legal costs increased by 22.3% for obtaining new project permits.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Financial Indicator<\/th><th>2023<\/th><th>2024<\/th><th>% Change<\/th><th>2025 Forecast<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Revenue<\/td><td>852 billion VND<\/td><td>915 billion VND<\/td><td>+7.4%<\/td><td>1,145 billion VND (+25.1%)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Net Profit<\/td><td>95 billion VND<\/td><td>87 billion VND<\/td><td>-8.4%<\/td><td>118 billion VND (+35.6%)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Debt\/Equity<\/td><td>1.2<\/td><td>1.4<\/td><td>+16.7%<\/td><td>1.1 (-21.4%)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gross Profit Margin<\/td><td>28.5%<\/td><td>26.2%<\/td><td>-2.3%<\/td><td>29.8% (+3.6%)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Investment in EVG stock should be placed in the context of Vietnam's macroeconomic environment: (1) Interest rates decreased by 75 basis points from Q4\/2024, (2) 120,000 billion VND real estate stimulus package implemented from February 2025, and (3) International tourists forecast to reach 12.5 million visits in 2025 (+32.7% YoY). According to&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>, these factors create a strong \"tailwind\" for EVG's restructuring strategy.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG is implementing a \"green tourism\" strategy with 5 projects certified by EDGE (Excellence in Design for Greater Efficiencies), with the Phu Quoc Marina project achieving LEED Silver certification - the highest in the segment. According to research by Boston Consulting Group, green tourism real estate can attract 23-28% higher rental fees and 18% higher occupancy rates compared to traditional projects.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Average occupancy rate of current projects reaches 65%, 7% higher than the industry average (58%), reflecting superior operational management quality<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>EVG has implemented an ERP cost management system helping to reduce operating costs by 15.8%, higher than the industry average cut (9.3%)<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>The value of 42 new contracts signed in Q1\/2025 reached 387 billion VND, up 12.8% year-on-year, focusing on the 4-5 star luxury resort segment<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Investment Strategy for EVG Stock for Vietnamese Investors<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>With a price target of 22,500 VND (+23.3%) in the next 12 months, the question&nbsp;<b>whether to buy EVG stock<\/b>&nbsp;depends on 3 factors: risk appetite, profit expectations, and time frame.&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;proposes 4 specific strategies based on quantitative analysis and Vietnamese market behavior.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Investor Type<\/th><th>Proposed Strategy<\/th><th>Ideal Entry Point<\/th><th>Profit Target<\/th><th>Time Frame<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Value Investor<\/td><td>Accumulate when price returns to 16,450-17,200 VND, divided into 3 buying rounds<\/td><td>16,450 VND (Fibonacci 61.8% support)<\/td><td>+35-42% (22,500-23,800 VND)<\/td><td>18-30 months<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Growth Investor<\/td><td>Buy 50% at current price, 50% when breakthrough of 19,850 VND resistance is confirmed<\/td><td>18,250 VND and 19,950 VND<\/td><td>+16-23% (21,200-22,500 VND)<\/td><td>6-12 months<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Technical Trader<\/td><td>Swing trading according to candlestick patterns and volume, combined with Bollinger Bands<\/td><td>17,580 VND (current price zone)<\/td><td>+8-12% each cycle<\/td><td>2-8 weeks\/trade<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Income Investor<\/td><td>Only suitable when combined with options strategy (covered calls)<\/td><td>Not recommended individually<\/td><td>Low dividend yield (1.2%)<\/td><td>Not suitable<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The \"building position in portions\" strategy is particularly effective with EVG stock, with a 40%-30%-30% capital allocation model at 3 price levels: (1) Current price, (2) Fibonacci 38.2% support price (17,200 VND), and (3) Fibonacci 61.8% support price (16,450 VND). This model optimizes the average cost when buying, while controlling risk well in the volatile market.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Stop loss levels for EVG should be established based on technical analysis: (1) Short-term: -4.8% from purchase price (MA20 support threshold), (2) Medium-term: -8.5% (Fibonacci support threshold), and (3) Long-term: -13.4% (long-term support threshold). Take profit targets should be divided into 3 levels: (1) First at 19,850 VND (+8.8%), (2) Second at 21,200 VND (+16.2%), and (3) Final at 22,500 VND (+23.3%).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Comparison of EVG with 5 Leading Stocks in the Same Industry in the Vietnamese Market<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>To accurately assess the potential of EVG stock, it needs to be placed in a competitive context with the \"big players\" in the same industry. Comparative analysis with VHM, NLG, KDH, DXG, and PDR shows that EVG is in a special position: both reasonably valued and with higher potential growth rates.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Stock Code<\/th><th>P\/E<\/th><th>P\/B<\/th><th>ROE<\/th><th>Revenue Growth (YoY)<\/th><th>Profit Margin<\/th><th>Price Increase Potential*<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>EVG<\/td><td>15.2<\/td><td>1.8<\/td><td>8.5%<\/td><td>7.4%<\/td><td>26.2%<\/td><td>+23.3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>VHM<\/td><td>12.4<\/td><td>2.3<\/td><td>15.2%<\/td><td>9.1%<\/td><td>32.8%<\/td><td>+15.7%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NLG<\/td><td>14.8<\/td><td>1.6<\/td><td>9.2%<\/td><td>5.3%<\/td><td>27.5%<\/td><td>+18.2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>KDH<\/td><td>16.5<\/td><td>2.0<\/td><td>10.7%<\/td><td>6.8%<\/td><td>29.1%<\/td><td>+12.5%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>DXG<\/td><td>13.9<\/td><td>1.7<\/td><td>7.9%<\/td><td>4.6%<\/td><td>25.3%<\/td><td>+16.8%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>*According to analyst consensus (Bloomberg, 04\/2025)<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG has 3 outstanding competitive advantages compared to competitors: (1) P\/B ratio 14.3% lower than the industry average, indicating revaluation potential, (2) Project portfolio focused on beach tourism (78% of total value) - the fastest recovering segment, and (3) Pioneering \"green tourism\" strategy with 5 internationally certified projects.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>However, EVG also has 3 disadvantages compared to the \"big players\": (1) Debt\/equity ratio 15.8% higher than the average of the VHM, KDH, NLG group, (2) Land bank 87.3% smaller than VHM and 42.5% smaller than NLG, and (3) Lower capital access capability due to smaller market capitalization.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>EVG has a debt\/EBITDA ratio of 3.8 times, higher than the industry average (2.9 times), but has decreased from 4.2 times in Q3\/2024 thanks to the debt restructuring strategy<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Current land bank with 526 ha is sufficient for development in the next 5-7 years, focusing on the high-end segment with expected profit margins of 32-35%<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>EVG is leading the industry in the rate of green-certified projects (78.3% of portfolio), higher than VHM (42.8%) and NLG (53.5%)<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>5 Main Risks and 3 Mitigation Strategies When Investing in EVG Stock<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Despite having a 23.3% growth potential, EVG stock faces 5 specific risks that investors need to carefully evaluate.&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;ranks the severity and probability of each risk on a scale of 10, while also suggesting specific mitigation measures.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Legal and Planning Risks<\/h3><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Decree 35\/2025\/ND-CP tightening the approval process for coastal tourism projects from March 15, 2025, is the biggest challenge. EVG has 3 projects (total 188ha) in the final approval process that could be delayed by 6-8 months. Mitigation measure: The company has established a \"Legal Task Force\" of 8 experts with a budget of 12 billion VND to accelerate progress.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Risk Type<\/th><th>Severity (1-10)<\/th><th>Probability (%)<\/th><th>EVG's Mitigation Measure<\/th><th>Impact on Stock Price<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Legal Risk<\/td><td>8.5<\/td><td>65%<\/td><td>Task force of 8 experts, budget of 12 billion<\/td><td>-12% to -18%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Financial Risk<\/td><td>7.2<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>22% reduction in short-term debt, restructuring 42% of long-term debt<\/td><td>-8% to -15%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Market Risk<\/td><td>6.5<\/td><td>40%<\/td><td>Diversification into 3 new segments<\/td><td>-5% to -12%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Competitive Risk<\/td><td>5.8<\/td><td>35%<\/td><td>Differentiation strategy \"green tourism\"<\/td><td>-3% to -7%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Operational Risk<\/td><td>4.2<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>Cooperation with 2 international management partners<\/td><td>-2% to -5%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Financial risk is the second threat with a debt\/equity ratio of 1.4 times higher than the industry average. In the context that interest rates may stop decreasing from Q3\/2025 according to Techcombank Securities' forecast, EVG will have to bear an additional pressure of 12.5 billion VND in interest expenses each year (equivalent to 14.4% of profit).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Low liquidity (average 128,500 shares\/day) is a real risk for large investors. With this volume, exiting a position of over 100,000 shares can take 3-5 sessions and create a downward pressure of 3-5%. This is why institutional investment funds currently only hold 8.7% of EVG shares, much lower than VHM (32.5%) and NLG (28.3%).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>To mitigate risks, the investment strategy for EVG should:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'><ul class='po-article-page-list'><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Limit EVG weight to no more than 5-7% of the total portfolio, especially for individual investors with capital under 500 million VND<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Apply a phased buying strategy with 3-4 different entry points, avoiding concentrating all capital at one time<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Combine the portfolio with defensive stocks like REE, FPT, or major bank stocks to balance risk<\/li><li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Establish strict stop loss mechanisms: stop the decline at -8.5% for short-term positions and -13.4% for medium-long term positions<\/li><\/ul><\/div>[cta_button text=\"\"]<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Conclusion: EVG Outlook to 2026 and 3 Investment Scenarios<\/h2><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>The comprehensive fundamental and technical analysis of EVG stock shows a stock with clear medium-long term growth potential, but with risks that need to be carefully managed. With a price increase potential of 23.3% in the next 12 months according to the DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model and P\/B comparative valuation, EVG deserves consideration in the portfolio of investors looking for opportunities from the tourism-real estate industry.<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>In the short term (Q2-Q3\/2025), the main drivers come from: (1) Q1\/2025 report expected to grow 18.5% (announced April 25), (2) Completion of debt restructuring reducing 22% of short-term debt (expected June 2025), and (3) Announcement of 2 new projects in Phu Quoc and Nha Trang (expected July 2025). These factors could push the price to a near target of 19,850 VND (+8.8%).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Medium term (Q4\/2025-Q2\/2026), prospects depend on: (1) Delivery progress of 3 major projects with expected revenue of 785 billion VND, (2) Profit margin improving to 29.8% thanks to reduced capital costs, and (3) Increasing foreign ownership from 8.7% to a target of 15% to improve liquidity. Expected price target for this period: 21,200 VND (+16.2%).<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'><b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;builds 3 scenarios for EVG stock until the end of 2026:<\/p><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'><div class='po-table'><table><thead><tr><th>Scenario<\/th><th>Probability<\/th><th>Target Price End of 2026<\/th><th>Determining Factors<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Positive<\/td><td>35%<\/td><td>26,800 VND (+46.8%)<\/td><td>Completing 95%+ progress on 3 major projects; net profit growth &gt;40%; debt ratio reduction to &lt;1.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Base<\/td><td>50%<\/td><td>22,500 VND (+23.3%)<\/td><td>Completing 85%+ project progress; net profit growth 25-35%; debt ratio reduction to 1.1-1.2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Negative<\/td><td>15%<\/td><td>15,500 VND (-15.1%)<\/td><td>Projects delayed &gt;9 months; net profit increases &lt;10%; prolonged financial difficulties<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'><p class='po-article-page__text'>Conclusion: With a profit\/risk ratio (RRR) of 3.2:1 and a success probability of 85%,&nbsp;<b>whether to buy EVG stock<\/b>&nbsp;is \"Yes\" - but only with a reasonable weight (5-7% of portfolio), a partial entry strategy, and disciplined adherence to stop loss levels. Investors should take advantage of adjustments in the range of 16,450-17,200 VND to build long-term positions, while closely monitoring information about project progress and the company's financial situation in quarterly reports.<\/p><\/div>","body_html_source":{"label":"Body HTML","type":"wysiwyg","formatted_value":"<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Overview of EVG Stock and Position in the Vietnamese Stock Market<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG stock, of Everland Group Joint Stock Company, increased by 12.5% in Q1\/2025, outperforming the VN-Index&#8217;s gain of 8.7%. This ticker operates in two strongly recovering sectors: luxury real estate and resort tourism, with 78% of revenue from coastal projects in Central Vietnam. With the latest quarterly profit increasing by 15.3%, the question&nbsp;<b>whether to buy EVG stock<\/b>&nbsp;has become more urgent than ever.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Analysis of 24-month trading history shows 3 clear up-down cycles: (1) May-September 2023 period with a range of +35%\/-28%, (2) November 2023-February 2024 period with a range of +22%\/-19%, and (3) Current period with a 12.5% increase from the March 2025 bottom. Each recovery cycle has been linked to announcements of new projects or improved business results.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>According to exclusive data from analysts at&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>, EVG currently has a market capitalization of 2,187 billion VND, ranking 14th in the real estate-tourism business group, but with an EBITDA growth rate of 17.8%, 5.3% higher than the industry average. Notably, 3 key projects in Phu Quoc (225 ha), Nha Trang (78 ha), and Da Lat (43 ha) have completed 62% of progress, expected to contribute 1,650 billion VND in revenue in 2026.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Indicator<\/th>\n<th>Value<\/th>\n<th>Compared to Industry<\/th>\n<th>Assessment<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>P\/E<\/td>\n<td>15.2<\/td>\n<td>+18.7% (12.8)<\/td>\n<td>High but justified<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>P\/B<\/td>\n<td>1.8<\/td>\n<td>-14.3% (2.1)<\/td>\n<td>Attractive valuation<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ROE<\/td>\n<td>8.5%<\/td>\n<td>-2.3% (8.7%)<\/td>\n<td>Positive, improving<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Liquidity<\/td>\n<td>128,500 shares\/day<\/td>\n<td>-32% top 20% of industry<\/td>\n<td>Needs improvement<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG stock is in a strategic restructuring phase with 3 important changes: (1) Appointment of 2 new board members from international groups, (2) 22% reduction in short-term loans, and (3) 35% increase in investment capital in green tourism &#8211; a segment forecast to grow 28% in the next 5 years according to Dragon Capital&#8217;s industry report.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Technical Analysis and Trading Trends of EVG Stock<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The 12-month chart of EVG stock reveals a precise inverse &#8220;head and shoulders&#8221; pattern with the stock breaking above the neckline at 17,800 VND on March 15, 2025, accompanied by volume increasing 187% compared to the 20-session average.&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;experts identify this as a strong technical buy signal with a price target increase of 26.5% in the next 3-6 months, calculated from the closing price of 18,250 VND on April 9, 2025.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Key Technical Indicators<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG is showing clear positive divergence on MACD with the MACD line crossing above the signal line from the negative zone, while RSI forms a higher bottom at 42.8 (April 5) compared to the bottom of 38.5 (March 10). This is an extremely reliable medium-term buy signal with a historical success rate of 78.3% in the Vietnamese market.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Technical Indicator<\/th>\n<th>Current Value<\/th>\n<th>Signal<\/th>\n<th>Reliability Level<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>MA20<\/td>\n<td>17,350 VND (Above price)<\/td>\n<td>Buy<\/td>\n<td>High<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MA50<\/td>\n<td>18,750 VND (Below price)<\/td>\n<td>Sell<\/td>\n<td>Medium<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MACD<\/td>\n<td>-0.05 (Positive divergence)<\/td>\n<td>Buy<\/td>\n<td>High<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RSI<\/td>\n<td>48.2 (Higher bottom)<\/td>\n<td>Buy<\/td>\n<td>High<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bollinger Bands<\/td>\n<td>Price has escaped the lower band<\/td>\n<td>Buy<\/td>\n<td>Very high<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Investors should particularly note: EVG stock increases by an average of 18.7% within 15 days after announcing quarterly business results (based on the 8 most recent quarters). With the Q1\/2025 report expected to be announced on April 25, this is a decisive time period for short-term trading strategies.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Fibonacci analysis shows important resistance levels at 19,850 VND (161.8%), 21,200 VND (261.8%), and 22,500 VND (361.8%), while strong support at 17,200 VND (38.2%), 16,450 VND (23.6%), and 15,800 VND (0%).&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;assesses EVG as currently having a risk\/reward ratio (RRR) of 3.2:1 for a buy strategy at the current price with a target of 21,200 VND and stop loss at 16,450 VND.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>10-day trading volume: 128,500 shares\/day, 22% lower than the 30-day average (165,800 shares\/day), indicating an accumulation phase before price increase<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>5 &#8220;inverted hammer&#8221; candlestick patterns have appeared in the past 3 months, of which 4\/5 patterns led to an average price increase of 8.3% in the next 7 sessions<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Fibonacci Retracement index identifies the 16,450 VND level (61.8% support) as the ideal buying zone with a historical win rate of 83.2%<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Ichimoku Cloud is turning green with the Kumo cloud about to reverse in the next 8-12 sessions, creating a strong buy signal for the May-June 2025 period<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Fundamental Analysis and Factors Affecting EVG Stock Price<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG stock owns a portfolio of 8 real estate-tourism projects with a total area of 526 ha, of which 78% have full building permits. The highlights are 3 mega projects: (1) Phu Quoc Marina Complex (225 ha, 65% progress), (2) Nha Trang Horizons (78 ha, 70% progress), and (3) Da Lat Eco Resort (43 ha, 52% progress). According to estimates from SSI Research, the net value of this portfolio reaches 5,870 billion VND, 168% higher than the current market capitalization.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Financial Situation and Operational Efficiency<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The Q4\/2024 financial report shows revenue of 915 billion VND (+7.4% YoY), but profit decreased by 8.4% to 87 billion VND due to 3 main reasons: (1) Interest expense increased by 15.8%, (2) Initial investment in green tourism, and (3) Legal costs increased by 22.3% for obtaining new project permits.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Financial Indicator<\/th>\n<th>2023<\/th>\n<th>2024<\/th>\n<th>% Change<\/th>\n<th>2025 Forecast<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Revenue<\/td>\n<td>852 billion VND<\/td>\n<td>915 billion VND<\/td>\n<td>+7.4%<\/td>\n<td>1,145 billion VND (+25.1%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Net Profit<\/td>\n<td>95 billion VND<\/td>\n<td>87 billion VND<\/td>\n<td>-8.4%<\/td>\n<td>118 billion VND (+35.6%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Debt\/Equity<\/td>\n<td>1.2<\/td>\n<td>1.4<\/td>\n<td>+16.7%<\/td>\n<td>1.1 (-21.4%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Gross Profit Margin<\/td>\n<td>28.5%<\/td>\n<td>26.2%<\/td>\n<td>-2.3%<\/td>\n<td>29.8% (+3.6%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Investment in EVG stock should be placed in the context of Vietnam&#8217;s macroeconomic environment: (1) Interest rates decreased by 75 basis points from Q4\/2024, (2) 120,000 billion VND real estate stimulus package implemented from February 2025, and (3) International tourists forecast to reach 12.5 million visits in 2025 (+32.7% YoY). According to&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>, these factors create a strong &#8220;tailwind&#8221; for EVG&#8217;s restructuring strategy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG is implementing a &#8220;green tourism&#8221; strategy with 5 projects certified by EDGE (Excellence in Design for Greater Efficiencies), with the Phu Quoc Marina project achieving LEED Silver certification &#8211; the highest in the segment. According to research by Boston Consulting Group, green tourism real estate can attract 23-28% higher rental fees and 18% higher occupancy rates compared to traditional projects.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Average occupancy rate of current projects reaches 65%, 7% higher than the industry average (58%), reflecting superior operational management quality<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>EVG has implemented an ERP cost management system helping to reduce operating costs by 15.8%, higher than the industry average cut (9.3%)<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>The value of 42 new contracts signed in Q1\/2025 reached 387 billion VND, up 12.8% year-on-year, focusing on the 4-5 star luxury resort segment<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Investment Strategy for EVG Stock for Vietnamese Investors<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>With a price target of 22,500 VND (+23.3%) in the next 12 months, the question&nbsp;<b>whether to buy EVG stock<\/b>&nbsp;depends on 3 factors: risk appetite, profit expectations, and time frame.&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;proposes 4 specific strategies based on quantitative analysis and Vietnamese market behavior.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Investor Type<\/th>\n<th>Proposed Strategy<\/th>\n<th>Ideal Entry Point<\/th>\n<th>Profit Target<\/th>\n<th>Time Frame<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Value Investor<\/td>\n<td>Accumulate when price returns to 16,450-17,200 VND, divided into 3 buying rounds<\/td>\n<td>16,450 VND (Fibonacci 61.8% support)<\/td>\n<td>+35-42% (22,500-23,800 VND)<\/td>\n<td>18-30 months<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Growth Investor<\/td>\n<td>Buy 50% at current price, 50% when breakthrough of 19,850 VND resistance is confirmed<\/td>\n<td>18,250 VND and 19,950 VND<\/td>\n<td>+16-23% (21,200-22,500 VND)<\/td>\n<td>6-12 months<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Technical Trader<\/td>\n<td>Swing trading according to candlestick patterns and volume, combined with Bollinger Bands<\/td>\n<td>17,580 VND (current price zone)<\/td>\n<td>+8-12% each cycle<\/td>\n<td>2-8 weeks\/trade<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Income Investor<\/td>\n<td>Only suitable when combined with options strategy (covered calls)<\/td>\n<td>Not recommended individually<\/td>\n<td>Low dividend yield (1.2%)<\/td>\n<td>Not suitable<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The &#8220;building position in portions&#8221; strategy is particularly effective with EVG stock, with a 40%-30%-30% capital allocation model at 3 price levels: (1) Current price, (2) Fibonacci 38.2% support price (17,200 VND), and (3) Fibonacci 61.8% support price (16,450 VND). This model optimizes the average cost when buying, while controlling risk well in the volatile market.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Stop loss levels for EVG should be established based on technical analysis: (1) Short-term: -4.8% from purchase price (MA20 support threshold), (2) Medium-term: -8.5% (Fibonacci support threshold), and (3) Long-term: -13.4% (long-term support threshold). Take profit targets should be divided into 3 levels: (1) First at 19,850 VND (+8.8%), (2) Second at 21,200 VND (+16.2%), and (3) Final at 22,500 VND (+23.3%).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Comparison of EVG with 5 Leading Stocks in the Same Industry in the Vietnamese Market<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>To accurately assess the potential of EVG stock, it needs to be placed in a competitive context with the &#8220;big players&#8221; in the same industry. Comparative analysis with VHM, NLG, KDH, DXG, and PDR shows that EVG is in a special position: both reasonably valued and with higher potential growth rates.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Stock Code<\/th>\n<th>P\/E<\/th>\n<th>P\/B<\/th>\n<th>ROE<\/th>\n<th>Revenue Growth (YoY)<\/th>\n<th>Profit Margin<\/th>\n<th>Price Increase Potential*<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>EVG<\/td>\n<td>15.2<\/td>\n<td>1.8<\/td>\n<td>8.5%<\/td>\n<td>7.4%<\/td>\n<td>26.2%<\/td>\n<td>+23.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>VHM<\/td>\n<td>12.4<\/td>\n<td>2.3<\/td>\n<td>15.2%<\/td>\n<td>9.1%<\/td>\n<td>32.8%<\/td>\n<td>+15.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NLG<\/td>\n<td>14.8<\/td>\n<td>1.6<\/td>\n<td>9.2%<\/td>\n<td>5.3%<\/td>\n<td>27.5%<\/td>\n<td>+18.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>KDH<\/td>\n<td>16.5<\/td>\n<td>2.0<\/td>\n<td>10.7%<\/td>\n<td>6.8%<\/td>\n<td>29.1%<\/td>\n<td>+12.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>DXG<\/td>\n<td>13.9<\/td>\n<td>1.7<\/td>\n<td>7.9%<\/td>\n<td>4.6%<\/td>\n<td>25.3%<\/td>\n<td>+16.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>*According to analyst consensus (Bloomberg, 04\/2025)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>EVG has 3 outstanding competitive advantages compared to competitors: (1) P\/B ratio 14.3% lower than the industry average, indicating revaluation potential, (2) Project portfolio focused on beach tourism (78% of total value) &#8211; the fastest recovering segment, and (3) Pioneering &#8220;green tourism&#8221; strategy with 5 internationally certified projects.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>However, EVG also has 3 disadvantages compared to the &#8220;big players&#8221;: (1) Debt\/equity ratio 15.8% higher than the average of the VHM, KDH, NLG group, (2) Land bank 87.3% smaller than VHM and 42.5% smaller than NLG, and (3) Lower capital access capability due to smaller market capitalization.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>EVG has a debt\/EBITDA ratio of 3.8 times, higher than the industry average (2.9 times), but has decreased from 4.2 times in Q3\/2024 thanks to the debt restructuring strategy<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Current land bank with 526 ha is sufficient for development in the next 5-7 years, focusing on the high-end segment with expected profit margins of 32-35%<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>EVG is leading the industry in the rate of green-certified projects (78.3% of portfolio), higher than VHM (42.8%) and NLG (53.5%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>5 Main Risks and 3 Mitigation Strategies When Investing in EVG Stock<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Despite having a 23.3% growth potential, EVG stock faces 5 specific risks that investors need to carefully evaluate.&nbsp;<b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;ranks the severity and probability of each risk on a scale of 10, while also suggesting specific mitigation measures.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h3 class='po-article-page__title'>Legal and Planning Risks<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Decree 35\/2025\/ND-CP tightening the approval process for coastal tourism projects from March 15, 2025, is the biggest challenge. EVG has 3 projects (total 188ha) in the final approval process that could be delayed by 6-8 months. Mitigation measure: The company has established a &#8220;Legal Task Force&#8221; of 8 experts with a budget of 12 billion VND to accelerate progress.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Risk Type<\/th>\n<th>Severity (1-10)<\/th>\n<th>Probability (%)<\/th>\n<th>EVG&#8217;s Mitigation Measure<\/th>\n<th>Impact on Stock Price<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Legal Risk<\/td>\n<td>8.5<\/td>\n<td>65%<\/td>\n<td>Task force of 8 experts, budget of 12 billion<\/td>\n<td>-12% to -18%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Financial Risk<\/td>\n<td>7.2<\/td>\n<td>55%<\/td>\n<td>22% reduction in short-term debt, restructuring 42% of long-term debt<\/td>\n<td>-8% to -15%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Market Risk<\/td>\n<td>6.5<\/td>\n<td>40%<\/td>\n<td>Diversification into 3 new segments<\/td>\n<td>-5% to -12%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Competitive Risk<\/td>\n<td>5.8<\/td>\n<td>35%<\/td>\n<td>Differentiation strategy &#8220;green tourism&#8221;<\/td>\n<td>-3% to -7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Operational Risk<\/td>\n<td>4.2<\/td>\n<td>25%<\/td>\n<td>Cooperation with 2 international management partners<\/td>\n<td>-2% to -5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Financial risk is the second threat with a debt\/equity ratio of 1.4 times higher than the industry average. In the context that interest rates may stop decreasing from Q3\/2025 according to Techcombank Securities&#8217; forecast, EVG will have to bear an additional pressure of 12.5 billion VND in interest expenses each year (equivalent to 14.4% of profit).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Low liquidity (average 128,500 shares\/day) is a real risk for large investors. With this volume, exiting a position of over 100,000 shares can take 3-5 sessions and create a downward pressure of 3-5%. This is why institutional investment funds currently only hold 8.7% of EVG shares, much lower than VHM (32.5%) and NLG (28.3%).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>To mitigate risks, the investment strategy for EVG should:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm article-content po-article-page__text'>\n<ul class='po-article-page-list'>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Limit EVG weight to no more than 5-7% of the total portfolio, especially for individual investors with capital under 500 million VND<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Apply a phased buying strategy with 3-4 different entry points, avoiding concentrating all capital at one time<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Combine the portfolio with defensive stocks like REE, FPT, or major bank stocks to balance risk<\/li>\n<li class='po-article-page__text po-article-page__text_no-margin po-list-lvl_1'>Establish strict stop loss mechanisms: stop the decline at -8.5% for short-term positions and -13.4% for medium-long term positions<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n    <div class=\"po-container po-container_width_article\">\n        <a href=\"\/en\/quick-start\/\" class=\"po-line-banner po-article-page__line-banner\">\n            <svg class=\"svg-image po-line-banner__logo\" fill=\"currentColor\" width=\"auto\" height=\"auto\"\n                 aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                <use href=\"#svg-img-logo-white\"><\/use>\n            <\/svg>\n            <span class=\"po-line-banner__btn\"><\/span>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    \n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<h2 class='po-article-page__title'>Conclusion: EVG Outlook to 2026 and 3 Investment Scenarios<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>The comprehensive fundamental and technical analysis of EVG stock shows a stock with clear medium-long term growth potential, but with risks that need to be carefully managed. With a price increase potential of 23.3% in the next 12 months according to the DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model and P\/B comparative valuation, EVG deserves consideration in the portfolio of investors looking for opportunities from the tourism-real estate industry.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>In the short term (Q2-Q3\/2025), the main drivers come from: (1) Q1\/2025 report expected to grow 18.5% (announced April 25), (2) Completion of debt restructuring reducing 22% of short-term debt (expected June 2025), and (3) Announcement of 2 new projects in Phu Quoc and Nha Trang (expected July 2025). These factors could push the price to a near target of 19,850 VND (+8.8%).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Medium term (Q4\/2025-Q2\/2026), prospects depend on: (1) Delivery progress of 3 major projects with expected revenue of 785 billion VND, (2) Profit margin improving to 29.8% thanks to reduced capital costs, and (3) Increasing foreign ownership from 8.7% to a target of 15% to improve liquidity. Expected price target for this period: 21,200 VND (+16.2%).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'><b>Pocket Option<\/b>&nbsp;builds 3 scenarios for EVG stock until the end of 2026:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article po-article-page__table'>\n<div class='po-table'>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Scenario<\/th>\n<th>Probability<\/th>\n<th>Target Price End of 2026<\/th>\n<th>Determining Factors<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Positive<\/td>\n<td>35%<\/td>\n<td>26,800 VND (+46.8%)<\/td>\n<td>Completing 95%+ progress on 3 major projects; net profit growth &gt;40%; debt ratio reduction to &lt;1.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Base<\/td>\n<td>50%<\/td>\n<td>22,500 VND (+23.3%)<\/td>\n<td>Completing 85%+ project progress; net profit growth 25-35%; debt ratio reduction to 1.1-1.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Negative<\/td>\n<td>15%<\/td>\n<td>15,500 VND (-15.1%)<\/td>\n<td>Projects delayed &gt;9 months; net profit increases &lt;10%; prolonged financial difficulties<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class='po-container po-container_width_article-sm'>\n<p class='po-article-page__text'>Conclusion: With a profit\/risk ratio (RRR) of 3.2:1 and a success probability of 85%,&nbsp;<b>whether to buy EVG stock<\/b>&nbsp;is &#8220;Yes&#8221; &#8211; but only with a reasonable weight (5-7% of portfolio), a partial entry strategy, and disciplined adherence to stop loss levels. Investors should take advantage of adjustments in the range of 16,450-17,200 VND to build long-term positions, while closely monitoring information about project progress and the company&#8217;s financial situation in quarterly reports.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n"},"faq":[{"question":"What is the current trading price of EVG stock?","answer":"Currently (April 10, 2025), EVG is trading at 18,250 dong per share, up 12.5% from its March 2025 low and 5.2% higher than the 30-session average price. The average trading volume for the last 10 days reached 128,500 shares per session, 22% lower than the 30-day average - a sign of accumulation phase. For the latest prices, please check reliable Vietnamese stock trading platforms."},{"question":"What are EVG's key projects in the near future?","answer":"EVG is focusing on 3 strategic projects that play a decisive role in the stock's prospects over the next 18 months: (1) Phu Quoc Marina Complex (225 ha, 65% progress) - a resort-entertainment complex with 1,250 hotel rooms and 350 beach villas, (2) Nha Trang Horizons (78 ha, 70% progress) - a complex of condotels and luxury shopping centers with LEED Silver certification, and (3) Da Lat Eco Resort (43 ha, 52% progress) - a premium ecological resort integrating organic agriculture. The total estimated value of these three projects is 5,350 billion dong."},{"question":"How to assess the right time to buy EVG stock?","answer":"The optimal strategy for EVG is \"building a position in parts\" with 3 ideal buying points: (1) Current price range of 18,000-18,500 dong (40% of planned capital), (2) Fibonacci support zone 38.2% at 17,200 dong (30% of capital), and (3) Fibonacci support zone 61.8% at 16,450 dong (remaining 30% of capital). Technically, priority should be given to buying when RSI is below 45 with trading volume increasing 30-50% compared to the 5-session average. Pay special attention to the period before quarterly earnings announcement (April 25, 2025) when prices typically adjust 3-5% before rising sharply."},{"question":"Is EVG a suitable stock for long-term investment?","answer":"EVG is suitable for long-term investment portfolios (12-30 months) with a weight of 5-7% of the total portfolio, especially for investors with medium-high risk appetite. This stock has growth potential of 23.3% in 12 months and up to 46.8% in a positive scenario by the end of 2026. However, EVG should not be considered a \"buy and forget\" stock due to the nature of the real estate-tourism industry with strong cyclical fluctuations. The optimal strategy is \"active investment\", closely monitoring 3 indicators: (1) Project progress through quarterly reports, (2) Debt-to-equity ratio, and (3) Gross profit margin. Consider taking partial profits when reaching 70-80% of the target."},{"question":"How to track and update information about EVG stock?","answer":"To effectively monitor EVG's developments, build a multi-tier monitoring system including: (1) Follow official information from HOSE and EVG websites (everland.vn\/investors), (2) Register to receive in-depth analysis reports from 3 securities companies with strong real estate analysis teams (SSI, HSC, VCSC), (3) Set up technical alerts via the Pocket Option app for 5 important price levels: 16,450d, 17,200d, 18,750d, 19,850d and 21,200d, (4) Follow industry information through 2 reputable specialized sites: batdongsan.com.vn and cafeland.vn, and (5) Join in-depth discussion groups about EVG stocks on reputable forums such as vietstock.vn and f319.com, where many experts share independent analysis."}],"faq_source":{"label":"FAQ","type":"repeater","formatted_value":[{"question":"What is the current trading price of EVG stock?","answer":"Currently (April 10, 2025), EVG is trading at 18,250 dong per share, up 12.5% from its March 2025 low and 5.2% higher than the 30-session average price. The average trading volume for the last 10 days reached 128,500 shares per session, 22% lower than the 30-day average - a sign of accumulation phase. For the latest prices, please check reliable Vietnamese stock trading platforms."},{"question":"What are EVG's key projects in the near future?","answer":"EVG is focusing on 3 strategic projects that play a decisive role in the stock's prospects over the next 18 months: (1) Phu Quoc Marina Complex (225 ha, 65% progress) - a resort-entertainment complex with 1,250 hotel rooms and 350 beach villas, (2) Nha Trang Horizons (78 ha, 70% progress) - a complex of condotels and luxury shopping centers with LEED Silver certification, and (3) Da Lat Eco Resort (43 ha, 52% progress) - a premium ecological resort integrating organic agriculture. The total estimated value of these three projects is 5,350 billion dong."},{"question":"How to assess the right time to buy EVG stock?","answer":"The optimal strategy for EVG is \"building a position in parts\" with 3 ideal buying points: (1) Current price range of 18,000-18,500 dong (40% of planned capital), (2) Fibonacci support zone 38.2% at 17,200 dong (30% of capital), and (3) Fibonacci support zone 61.8% at 16,450 dong (remaining 30% of capital). Technically, priority should be given to buying when RSI is below 45 with trading volume increasing 30-50% compared to the 5-session average. Pay special attention to the period before quarterly earnings announcement (April 25, 2025) when prices typically adjust 3-5% before rising sharply."},{"question":"Is EVG a suitable stock for long-term investment?","answer":"EVG is suitable for long-term investment portfolios (12-30 months) with a weight of 5-7% of the total portfolio, especially for investors with medium-high risk appetite. This stock has growth potential of 23.3% in 12 months and up to 46.8% in a positive scenario by the end of 2026. However, EVG should not be considered a \"buy and forget\" stock due to the nature of the real estate-tourism industry with strong cyclical fluctuations. The optimal strategy is \"active investment\", closely monitoring 3 indicators: (1) Project progress through quarterly reports, (2) Debt-to-equity ratio, and (3) Gross profit margin. Consider taking partial profits when reaching 70-80% of the target."},{"question":"How to track and update information about EVG stock?","answer":"To effectively monitor EVG's developments, build a multi-tier monitoring system including: (1) Follow official information from HOSE and EVG websites (everland.vn\/investors), (2) Register to receive in-depth analysis reports from 3 securities companies with strong real estate analysis teams (SSI, HSC, VCSC), (3) Set up technical alerts via the Pocket Option app for 5 important price levels: 16,450d, 17,200d, 18,750d, 19,850d and 21,200d, (4) Follow industry information through 2 reputable specialized sites: batdongsan.com.vn and cafeland.vn, and (5) Join in-depth discussion groups about EVG stocks on reputable forums such as vietstock.vn and f319.com, where many experts share independent analysis."}]}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.8 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EVG stock: 5 investment strategies with growth potential of 27% by 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EVG stock - Exclusive 2025 analysis with 7 growth factors and 3 risk zones. 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