Drax raises earnings guidance for 2025 in Q1 trading update; shares gain

A major British renewable energy producer has upgraded its earnings guidance for 2025 following a robust first-quarter trading update released on Wednesday. The power generator’s shares responded positively to the announcement, gaining nearly 4% in early London trading.

Revised Financial Outlook Signals Confidence

In its quarterly trading statement, the UK-based power company reported that operations had performed well during the first three months of the year, prompting management to raise its financial projections for 2025.

The energy producer now expects adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) for 2025 to be “modestly ahead” of current market consensus, which stands at approximately £684 million ($856 million).

This upward revision reflects stronger-than-anticipated performance across the company’s renewable energy generation portfolio and its growing biomass supply chain operations.

“The start to 2023 has been good, and we remain on track to deliver adjusted EBITDA for the year in line with market expectations,” the company stated in its trading update.

Strong Operational Performance Drives Optimism

The power generator cited several factors contributing to its positive outlook, including improved biomass generation output and continued progress on cost reduction initiatives throughout its operations.

The company’s flagship power station in North Yorkshire, which has been converted from coal to sustainable biomass, has demonstrated particularly strong reliability during the quarter. This facility now represents one of the UK’s largest renewable power generators and a cornerstone of the company’s generation portfolio.

Additionally, the energy producer reported that its biomass pellet production operations had achieved increased output volumes while maintaining strict quality standards, supporting both its own generation needs and growing third-party sales.

Strategic Position in UK Energy Landscape

The power company continues to position itself as a key player in the UK’s energy transition, with ambitions to expand its bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) technology in the coming years.

This strategic focus aligns with the UK government’s net-zero targets and provides potential for long-term growth as carbon reduction becomes increasingly important in the energy sector.

CEO Will Gardiner highlighted the company’s commitment to the UK’s energy security agenda: “As the UK’s largest provider of flexible, renewable power, we stand ready to invest billions to deliver critical energy infrastructure to support UK energy security and ambitious climate targets.”

Market Reaction and Analyst Response

Following the trading update, the energy producer’s shares climbed approximately 3.9% in morning trading on the London Stock Exchange, reaching 554 pence per share.

This positive market response brings the company’s year-to-date share price gain to around 8.5%, outperforming many peers in the UK utility sector.

Analysts at RBC Capital Markets maintained their “outperform” rating on the stock following the update, noting: “The company continues to demonstrate operational resilience and strategic clarity in a challenging energy market environment.”

Bernstein analysts similarly viewed the updated guidance positively, highlighting that the renewable power producer “remains well-positioned to benefit from increasing power price volatility and growing demand for reliable, dispatchable renewable generation.”

Market observers note that the company’s growing confidence in its financial outlook comes despite ongoing regulatory uncertainties in the UK energy market, suggesting robust operational fundamentals underpin the improved guidance.